1. 08-05-12 07:27 AM #1
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    MLB - Sunday, 8/5/12

    1 MLB Play Sunday


    Blue Jays +150 (Bookmaker)


    YTD: 224-186-16, +46.45
    Points Awarded:

    Weeton gave LT Profits 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 08-05-12 08:30 AM #2
    PRIMO99
    when Primo speaks ALL LISTEN !
    PRIMO99's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-21-12
    Posts: 110
    Betpoints: 636

    LT , i cant see how you like this play other than the fact your gettng 1.5 to 1...meaning you need to hit 40.01 out of 100 to make it profitable...
    milones numbers are EXCEPTIONAL at home, and they have a HUGE edge in the pen,

    stymied on this one..
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 08-05-12 08:46 AM #3
    scottsins
    scottsins's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-05-11
    Posts: 103
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by PRIMO99 View Post
    LT , i cant see how you like this play other than the fact your gettng 1.5 to 1...
    Ummm....yeah. The ML pay/price determines the value of the bet. +150 is substantially higher than where it should be.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 08-05-12 08:53 AM #4
    StackinGreen
    Can't stop Won't stop
    StackinGreen's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-10
    Posts: 12,141
    Betpoints: 4514

    If Cespedes isn't in the lineup again, this is a no-brainer. Oakland is just a decent team who got hot because their pitching is solid. Their O is anemic, however.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 08-05-12 09:31 AM #5
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by PRIMO99 View Post
    LT , i cant see how you like this play other than the fact your gettng 1.5 to 1...meaning you need to hit 40.01 out of 100 to make it profitable...
    milones numbers are EXCEPTIONAL at home, and they have a HUGE edge in the pen,

    stymied on this one..
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/mlb-baseball...etics-a-25952/
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 08-05-12 10:53 AM #6
    40ozfreedom
    40ozfreedom's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-03-12
    Posts: 19
    Betpoints: 312

    Tommy Milone has a 1.51 home ERA coming off a really tough 8-0 loss to James Shields. Laffey is 5.24 in the month of July and likewise got buried by Seattle.

    The lineup for the Jays yesterday was almost 50/50 recent minor league callups including some real stinkers. After Griffin got hurt in the second inning, It took them until the 9th to get a single run off the A's bullpen which pitched into the 15th the night before. Milone COULD blow it but thats pretty much the only chance the jays have here. As long as the A's keep the pen out of it, they cover.

    Jays covered in extras yesterday at +160. Best of luck but i think you might have missed the boat on this one.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 08-05-12 11:08 AM #7
    PRIMO99
    when Primo speaks ALL LISTEN !
    PRIMO99's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-21-12
    Posts: 110
    Betpoints: 636

    again its all IMO, good arguments....
    at +150 that is slightly inflated il agree...

    but I know the jays, ive watched over 80 games..and THEY SUCK...
    and i know laffey
    despite to pitching to corners...HE SUCKS...

    and the jays pen...daw gone it THEY F***** SUCK ....

    so betting the jays
    and right now especially
    sucks !
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 08-05-12 11:14 AM #8
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by 40ozfreedom View Post
    Tommy Milone has a 1.51 home ERA coming off a really tough 8-0 loss to James Shields. Laffey is 5.24 in the month of July and likewise got buried by Seattle.

    The lineup for the Jays yesterday was almost 50/50 recent minor league callups including some real stinkers. After Griffin got hurt in the second inning, It took them until the 9th to get a single run off the A's bullpen which pitched into the 15th the night before. Milone COULD blow it but thats pretty much the only chance the jays have here. As long as the A's keep the pen out of it, they cover.

    Jays covered in extras yesterday at +160. Best of luck but i think you might have missed the boat on this one.
    Quote Originally Posted by PRIMO99 View Post
    again its all IMO, good arguments....
    at +150 that is slightly inflated il agree...

    but I know the jays, ive watched over 80 games..and THEY SUCK...
    and i know laffey
    despite to pitching to corners...HE SUCKS...

    and the jays pen...daw gone it THEY F***** SUCK ....

    so betting the jays
    and right now especially
    sucks !
    This game is a toss up at best so +150 is the right play. No team that is dead last in the Major Leagues in batting should be favored by this much.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 08-05-12 11:15 AM #9
    PolishSensation
    PolishSensation's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-03-11
    Posts: 132
    Betpoints: 5065

    Athletics should win, but the Jays @ +150 is a +ev play. +EV plays will make you money in the long-run.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 08-05-12 11:24 AM #10
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    MLB 5-Pack

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    1 MLB Play Sunday


    Blue Jays +150 (Bookmaker)


    YTD: 224-186-16, +46.45
    Adding:

    Twins / Red Sox UNDER 11 -120 (Heritage)
    Orioles +215 (Heritage)
    Royals +130 (Bookmaker)
    Blue Jays / Athletics UNDER 7 +100 (Rebate Wager)


    MLB Card complete
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 08-05-12 11:35 AM #11
    Koldazzice
    Koldazzice's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-08-11
    Posts: 2,392
    Betpoints: 4257

    I have over 10.5 in red sox -
    but can't argue with your other plays and their value - at +150 you only need to win 41% of the time and I think toronto wins 5 outta 10 in this spot. I'm gonna wait a few days and watch the A's but going to be considering a huge A's fade train soon. Basically labby them not to win 3 in a row for the next month. They have been a bank roll builder for me so its only smart to build more on their regression.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 08-05-12 11:41 AM #12
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
    Seto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 12,906
    Betpoints: 2560

    Good luck

    Been following your plays very solid stuff
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 08-05-12 12:06 PM #13
    freakydave
    freakydave's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-11
    Posts: 1,106
    Betpoints: 589

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Adding:

    Twins / Red Sox UNDER 11 -120 (Heritage)
    Orioles +215 (Heritage)
    Royals +130 (Bookmaker)
    Blue Jays / Athletics UNDER 7 +100 (Rebate Wager)


    MLB Card complete
    GL to you
    I think there is a very good chance you go 1-5 today.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 08-05-12 12:20 PM #14
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by freakydave View Post
    GL to you
    I think there is a very good chance you go 1-5 today.
    Are we going to go through this every day? No matter what I play, the reason I play it is because I think the odds offered are better than the odds of my projections. Oh and how DO you go 1-5 with five plays anyway?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 08-05-12 12:52 PM #15
    starbuck2233
    starbuck2233's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-02-11
    Posts: 54
    Betpoints: 710

    Jays

    I'm not playing this game,jays just have too many injuries right now,so,if I was,my play would be oakland,they have way better pitching and a hot team right now to boot....
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 08-05-12 12:57 PM #16
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by starbuck2233 View Post
    I'm not playing this game,jays just have too many injuries right now,so,if I was,my play would be oakland,they have way better pitching and a lucky team right now to boot....
    Fixed. Oakland leads the world in walk-off wins and they are 18-12 in one-run games. They are not a legit second place team.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 08-05-12 01:01 PM #17
    Vinnie Paz
    Vinnie Paz's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 12,177
    Betpoints: 3413

    The mans record speaks for itself
    I dont agree with 70% of his plays but at the end of the night the guy wins me bets so i cant complain
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 08-05-12 03:13 PM #18
    BigD46
    BigD46's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-25-12
    Posts: 123
    Betpoints: 644

    Cespedes in but I believe in LT!

    Good start.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 08-05-12 04:08 PM #19
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Adding:

    Twins / Red Sox UNDER 11 -120 (Heritage)
    Orioles +215 (Heritage)
    Royals +130 (Bookmaker)
    Blue Jays / Athletics UNDER 7 +100 (Rebate Wager)


    MLB Card complete
    Winning day assured, I hope I don't end up winning 15 cents.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 08-05-12 04:21 PM #20
    bigant78
    bigant78's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-12
    Posts: 185
    Betpoints: 572

    Damn LT, you stay killing it. A 200 plus underdog who the hell cares about the jays.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 08-05-12 05:26 PM #21
    altieriflyers
    Rosamund
    altieriflyers's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-23-12
    Posts: 777
    Betpoints: 7788

    LT
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 08-05-12 05:32 PM #22
    darrell74
    darrell74's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-16-07
    Posts: 14,206
    Betpoints: 19428

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Winning day assured, I hope I don't end up winning 15 cents.
    Good day.
    Taking a chance on the O's was the big one. Great value. 1-0 in 10 innings
    Royals walk off in 10 on an error
    Alfredo slammed the door in the ninth after getting shelled the night before.

    A win is a win regardless.
    L.T. is the best on here, nevertheless.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 08-05-12 06:00 PM #23
    mncosoldier
    mncosoldier's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-26-09
    Posts: 3,215
    Betpoints: 383

    Lt didnt u work for a paysite
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 08-05-12 06:14 PM #24
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by mncosoldier View Post
    Lt didnt u work for a paysite
    Yes but no longer as of yesterday.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 08-05-12 06:16 PM #25
    Winner211
    Winner211's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-23-11
    Posts: 30
    Betpoints: 884

    good 1.8 win...i follow and learn...thanks!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 08-05-12 06:22 PM #26
    shimeon40
    shimeon40's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-15-12
    Posts: 2,319
    Betpoints: 0

    LT..u like anything in cards vs brewers game?..just woke up..last game to play
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 08-05-12 06:27 PM #27
    freakydave
    freakydave's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-11
    Posts: 1,106
    Betpoints: 589

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Are we going to go through this every day? No matter what I play, the reason I play it is because I think the odds offered are better than the odds of my projections. Oh and how DO you go 1-5 with five plays anyway?
    You are good 4-1- congrats.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 08-05-12 06:40 PM #28
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by shimeon40 View Post
    LT..u like anything in cards vs brewers game?..just woke up..last game to play
    No not a thing. But I do have Arizona Cardinals Money Line in NFLX.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 08-05-12 06:40 PM #29
    Vinnie Paz
    Vinnie Paz's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 12,177
    Betpoints: 3413

    Lt is the king of underdog bets
    Been doin it all year
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 08-05-12 06:44 PM #30
    NewYorkKnicks87
    NewYorkKnicks87's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-31-11
    Posts: 410
    Betpoints: 161

    Hater will hate, great Day LT keep up the great work!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 08-05-12 08:31 PM #31
    EastSideLV
    EastSideLV's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-11
    Posts: 106
    Betpoints: 1462

    Well done LT.. hope you lose the Cardinals pick tho = )
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 08-06-12 12:18 AM #32
    JimmyG_415
    JimmyG_415's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-19-12
    Posts: 83
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by NewYorkKnicks87 View Post
    Hater will hate, great Day LT keep up the great work!
    Yup,
    They hate before the game, tell him he will lose, and they are fading him.
    Only one guy has the guts to come back and tell him good job.

    They will be ripping his plays tomorrow, too.
    Good job, LT.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 08-06-12 07:39 AM #33
    scottsins
    scottsins's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-05-11
    Posts: 103
    Betpoints: 0

    Great day.
    I've also had great results playing a round robin parlay when you show three recommended underdog plays. 3 for 3 yesterday on those dogs paid +500 at least yesterday. With the large payoffs, hitting 2/3 is way into plus money for the round robin with 3 live dogs.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Baseball Betting | Next Thread »