1. 08-04-12 02:17 AM #1
    Ratzz
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    AUG 4 • SEATTLE (+125) can't see the Yanks getting past 'K¡NG FELIX'

    the Yankees might be playing wiffle-ball with King Felix Saturday...
    Kuroda is great, and kept them to a single run two weeks ago..

    but can't do it twice..

    AUG 4 • SEATTLE (+125)*
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  2. 08-04-12 02:59 AM #2
    You mad bro
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    Yanks hit good pitching all the time
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  3. 08-04-12 03:33 AM #3
    Ratzz
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    Quote Originally Posted by You mad bro View Post
    Yanks hit good pitching all the time
    i ain't mad, bro... "you-mad"
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  4. 08-04-12 05:52 AM #4
    LT Profits
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    You need a better book, I got M's +139
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  5. 08-04-12 05:52 AM #5
    LT Profits
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    I DO agree that M's are a GREAT play today though
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  6. 08-04-12 06:18 AM #6
    LT Profits
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    Mariners +140 at Bookmaker
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  7. 08-04-12 06:43 AM #7
    marcojuiceman
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    What good is Felix pitching with the Mariners are not hitting
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  8. 08-04-12 07:11 AM #8
    rm18
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    Take the 1st 5 no reason to bet the game here, unless you are betting a sickenly large bet
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  9. 08-04-12 07:12 AM #9
    Br0nxer
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    dumb fukkin angle

    yanks get up for aces and seattle is whoreshit

    yanks or nothing if i was making a play which I am not
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  10. 08-04-12 07:20 AM #10
    jjgold
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    Seems like under is a solid bet

    Kurdoda not bad either
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  11. 08-04-12 07:45 AM #11
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Br0nxer View Post
    dumb fukkin angle

    yanks get up for aces and seattle is whoreshit

    yanks or nothing if i was making a play which I am not
    Absolutely ZERO value laying over -140 here, we are talking about one of the best pitchers in baseball. M's are the only playable side at the price win or lose.
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  12. 08-04-12 07:59 AM #12
    Br0nxer
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Absolutely ZERO value laying over -140 here, we are talking about one of the best pitchers in baseball. M's are the only playable side at the price win or lose.

    not playing it so i could care less

    not even going to look into it

    GL with your play
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  13. 08-04-12 08:03 AM #13
    Monchito
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    Keep Dreaming !!! NYY WON!!!
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  14. 08-04-12 08:28 AM #14
    40ozfreedom
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    Hiroki Kuroda has a 0.00 ERA through 4 Day starts this season to go with a 2.63 Home ERA.

    Im thinking under and Yankees cover by 1 maybe 2. GL tho.
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  15. 08-04-12 08:35 AM #15
    LT Profits
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    Day/Night splits are meaningless. Kuroda having a good home ERA in a hitter's park is a valid point, BUT he has just a 3.82 FIP. Hernandez is sixth in the Major Leagues with a 2.94 FIP. I come up with the Yankees winning this game about 56% of the time, making Seattle +EV.
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  16. 08-04-12 08:56 AM #16
    Shipcity
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Day/Night splits are meaningless. Kuroda having a good home ERA in a hitter's park is a valid point, BUT he has just a 3.82 FIP. Hernandez is sixth in the Major Leagues with a 2.94 FIP. I come up with the Yankees winning this game about 56% of the time, making Seattle +EV.
    nice response. I was going to post something about this because although im not excited about that play, I wanted to run the numbers to see how often Seattle has to win for this to be plus ev and I came up with about the same numbers. ill be taking the under tho
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  17. 08-04-12 09:19 AM #17
    Madison
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    You might want consider under. Kuroda has 1.9 era in 14 inn vs Sea this year. FH 3.86 in 14 inn. vs NYY.
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  18. 08-04-12 10:51 AM #18
    zoo youk
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    going against the grain here. playing 1st five innings over 4.5 +115
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  19. 08-04-12 11:08 AM #19
    frogsrangers
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    Look at King Felix's career numbers at Yankee Stadium
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  20. 08-04-12 11:15 AM #20
    orangeman51
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    Queen Felix pitches in the same place that Philip Humber was able to throw a perfect game. He's had 3 road games in his last 10 starts...San Diego, Oakland, and KC...now he's about to pitch in a place where a check swing could send a ball over the right field fence. He's in for a rude awakening.

    Yanks win...10-3
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  21. 08-04-12 11:15 AM #21
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by frogsrangers View Post
    Look at King Felix's career numbers at Yankee Stadium
    Only four starts but they are great. 1.47 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, .204 OBA, 34 K vs. 12 BB in 30.2 IP with only 1 HR allowed
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  22. 08-04-12 11:17 AM #22
    Thurgood
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    Quote Originally Posted by marcojuiceman View Post
    What good is Felix pitching with the Mariners are not hitting
    Play the under 8
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  23. 08-04-12 11:18 AM #23
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by orangeman51 View Post
    Queen Felix pitches in the same place that Philip Humber was able to throw a perfect game. He's had 3 road games in his last 10 starts...San Diego, Oakland, and KC...now he's about to pitch in a place where a check swing could send a ball over the right field fence. He's in for a rude awakening.

    Yanks win...10-3
    Hernandez has an xFIP of 3.28 so he's fine in any park, and as mentioned he's already proven he can pitch in the Bronx.
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  24. 08-04-12 11:20 AM #24
    Monte
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    well +139 has no value either iam afraid, unless we don't believe in pinny lines which i kinda do for bases.
    But whateva, i could always bang my head against a brick wall when i read stuff like +125..if you are a victim at least don't make it so obvious and don't post the shitty line you took. You know, pride and everything...
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  25. 08-04-12 11:34 AM #25
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Monte View Post
    well +139 has no value either iam afraid, unless we don't believe in pinny lines which i kinda do for bases.
    But whateva, i could always bang my head against a brick wall when i read stuff like +125..if you are a victim at least don't make it so obvious and don't post the shitty line you took. You know, pride and everything...
    How does +139 have no value? At 56%, no-vig line is 127. Right now the +139 is basically tied with current Pinny no-vig line, let's see where Pinny closes.
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  26. 08-04-12 11:36 AM #26
    Monte
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    Because the 56% obv. only exists in your mind.
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  27. 08-04-12 11:37 AM #27
    dolson
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    Yanks -1.5 , +140 is the bet , the Yanks will hit Felix hard today because he hurt A-Rod.
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  28. 08-04-12 11:37 AM #28
    daimoshokage
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    pass
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  29. 08-04-12 11:39 AM #29
    freakydave
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I DO agree that M's are a GREAT play today though
    I don't believe this is a good play at all.By your own calculations you lose this bet 56% of the time.
    I realize it's a value bet & in the long run profitable(if your calc's are accurate) but I am sure there are better situations on the card today.
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  30. 08-04-12 11:42 AM #30
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by freakydave View Post
    I don't believe this is a good play at all.By your own calculations you lose this bet 56% of the time.
    I realize it's a value bet & in the long run profitable(if your calc's are accurate) but I am sure there are better situations on the card today.
    Value is EVERYTHING in betting, you basically HAVE to take +139 when a game should be +127. 56% is major -EV at Yankees' line.
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  31. 08-04-12 11:43 AM #31
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Monte View Post
    Because the 56% obv. only exists in your mind.
    But my mind is very sharp.
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  32. 08-04-12 11:43 AM #32
    CHR1S
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    Play the no runs in the 1st just for kicks
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  33. 08-04-12 11:45 AM #33
    Vinnie Paz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Monte View Post
    Because the 56% obv. only exists in your mind.
    Lol
    Some of you guys on herr I tell ya...
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  34. 08-04-12 11:46 AM #34
    luvtogamble
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    seattle and the under; seattle is one of the hotter teams in bases right now.
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  35. 08-04-12 11:49 AM #35
    dolson
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    Felix won't even qualify for a decision today, they are coming after him.
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