1. 07-31-12 07:24 PM #1
    JMon
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    James Shields as a road dog vs. the hot winning Athletics

    Something I have followed since the 2010 season, is simply fade the Rays when Shields is on the road vs a winning team..teams that have have won 54 to 62% of their games on the season. Dating back to Shields' rookie campaign (2006), the Rays are an remarkable 4-21 SU in this situation, losing by an average of 2.1 runs. This situation is 1-0 on the season thus far (Shields vs. Pettitte May 6th). When Vegas lists Shields has a dog in this role, the Rays are 2-17 since 2006- only beating this trend on Aug. 8th 2007 vs. Tigers and Aug. 31 2011 vs. the Rangers. *Note the month of August.

    It is also interesting to note...that in the month of July, the Rays are 0-10 SU when Shields starts as a 100+ road dog, against since 2006 (rookie campaign).




    Anyone have additional thoughts on this game? I am backing the Athletics here tonight.
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  2. 07-31-12 07:33 PM #2
    Cappinpicks
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    A's are due to drop 1 to a decent pitcher though, Rays win
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  3. 07-31-12 08:04 PM #3
    Jeff Grant
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    Shields' career ERA in July is his worst of any month - nearly a run higher than any other
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  4. 07-31-12 08:06 PM #4
    dshaffe4
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    Great Stats JMon. Went large on OAK earlier
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  5. 07-31-12 08:07 PM #5
    JMon
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    ^ interesting...Jeff. Didn't know that!
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  6. 07-31-12 08:26 PM #6
    Cappinpicks
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    wont matter tonight rays spank A's
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  7. 07-31-12 08:29 PM #7
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    wont matter tonight rays spank A's

    I have seen you around the forum today touting the Rays, can you convince me to buy back my bet other than the A's will get spanked? I am interested in your view of the game.
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  8. 07-31-12 10:42 PM #8
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    wont matter tonight rays spank A's
    your spanked theory is working rather well tonight...nice job. .
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