[Jeff Grant]

Monday MLB Recap

-The Rangers were in the midst of an 0-for-29 slump with RISP before converting their first two opportunities
-Texas OF Josh Hamilton got three hits from the No. 5 spot in the lineup
-Red Sox SP Clay Buchholz is 5-1 with a 2.43 ERA in his last eight starts
-Atlanta snapped a string of 16 straight losses on Monday
-The Braves are a season-best 14 games over .500, starting their 10-game homestand with four straight wins
-The Marlins had 10 hits, but stranded 10 base runners
-Miami started four position players with batting averages under .210
-Cincinnati’s pitching staff walked a season-high 11 batters
-San Diego’s 11 runs equaled the most allowed by Cincinnati this season
-The Reds have still gone 11-3 without All-Star first baseman Joey Votto
-The Cubs won for the 11th time in their past 13 games at Wrigley Field
-Chicago Cubs 1B Anthony Rizzo leads all NL rookies with a .330 average, eight Hrs and 20 RBIs since being recalled on June 26
-Oakland improved to 19-4 this month, and now lead the majors with 12 walk-off wins
-Diamondbacks SP Trevor Cahill is 3-0 with a 1.85 ERA in four career starts against the Dodgers
-Dodgers OF Andre Ethier has just six RBIs in his last 29 games, none in his past nine contests
-Giants RP Sergio Romo was tagged for four runs, matching what he had allowed in his previous 30.2 IP

Check out the SBR Odds and Matchup Pages before handicapping Tuesday's MLB card

[EXhoosier10]

Cubs are something like 18-10 since Rizzo has been called up. He's been a huge lift!

[Jeff Grant]

Tuesday’s Early MLB Info


-Washington has won 14 of its last 18 meetings with Philadelphia
-Phillies SP Cliff Lee has lost his last two starts with a 5.84 ERA against the Nationals


-Eight of Yankees SP Ivan Nova’s wins have come in night games, going 8-2 with a 3.88 ERA (14 of 16 in 2011)
-Nova is 1-1 with a 4.19 ERA in three home starts against the Orioles
-Teixeira leads the team with 78 RBIs and has 20 HRs, could miss some time with a wrist injury
-Orioles SP Chris Tillman is 1-3 with an 8.71 ERA in five career starts against the Yankees
-New York has lost eight of its last 11 games


-Cincinnati’s bullpen got 22 of Monday’s 27 outs
-Bailey has a 1.43 ERA in five July starts
-The Reds are 5-0 in Bailey’s last five starts in the series (4-0, 3.18 ERA)
-35 of Reds’ closer Aroldis Chapman’s last 46 outs recorded have been strikeouts
-Marquis has gone 7-3 with a 3.71 ERA in his last 14 starts versus the Reds (9-5 team record)


-Detroit is 2-5 on its current road trip after going 13-2 over a heavy home stretch
-Beckett is 0-3 with a 6.62 ERA in his last three starts versus the Tigers
-Beckett and Verlander combined for 27.2 innings and allowed 11 hits and six runs in two meetings last year
-Beckett and Verlander are 0-3 and have yielded 29 hits and 16 runs in 25.2 innings in four combined starts this year
-Beckett is 1-1 with a 3.15 ERA in his last three starts against the Tigers at Fenway


-Medlen went 5-0 with a 3.86 ERA in 14 starts in 2010, with the Braves winning 13 of those games, including his last 11
-Medlen expected to be limited to 70 pitches
-Nolasco has a 7.56 ERA in his last three starts, never lost four in a row in his career
-Nolasco is 0-2 with a 9.64 ERA in two starts against the Braves this season
-The Braves are 7-2 against the Marlins this year


-Weaver has won seven straight starts, matching his career-best mark set in his rookie season
-Holland is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA L3 home starts vs Angels
-Weaver is 0-3 with a 11.15 ERA in his L3 starts in Arlington
-Texas scored more than five runs for just the fourth time in 22 games


-Pittsburgh will try to avoid its first three-game skid since June 24-26
-The Cubs have scored at least one run in the first inning in six straight games (nine runs)
-Chicago’s hitters are batting .217 lifetime against Burnett
-Burnett is 5-0 with a 3.47 ERA in six career starts versus the Cubs
-Dempster is 0-2 with a 2.70 ERA in two starts against the Pirates in 2012


-Shin-Soo Choo is a .356 career hitter at Kauffman Stadium, but may not be around due to the Trade Deadline
-Cleveland has won seven of eight in Kansas City
-Hochevar is 2-4 with a 6.31 ERA in his last six starts versus the Indians
-Lowe is 3-0 with a 3.32 ERA in his last three outings versus the Royals
-Lowe is 3-1 with a 5.81 ERA in five career starts at KC


-Houston has lost 27 of its last 30 games
-Gallardo has won eight straight starts in the series (0.86 ERA L3)
-Brewers pen has a 9.24 ERA L8 games
-Keuchel is 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA L3
-Milwaukee leads the majors in blown saves
-Astros are hitting .292 versus Brewers


-Minnesota snapped a five-game losing streak in the series, winning its fourth consecutive overall on Monday
-Blackburn is 0-3 with an 11.05 ERA L3 vs. Sox


-Cardinals have had their starting pitcher go at least six innings in every game except one in July
-Lohse has not lost a game since June 15 (4-0, 2.22 ERA L7)
-St. Louis (498) and Colorado (471) are first and second in runs scored in the NL
-Rockies starters have a league-low 18 wins and pitching staff has a league-high 5.30 ERA
-Francis is 6-1 with a 3.09 ERA in 11 career apps vs Cardinals
-Beltran is batting .204 since the All-Star break (team is 8-8)
-Lohse is 1-3 with a 6.43 ERA in four starts at Coors Field


-Milone has the lowest home ERA in the majors (0.91)
-Shields is 1-2 with a 6.46 ERA in five career starts at the Coliseum


-Capuano is 5-2 with a 1.64 ERA in 10 home starts
-Dodgers were 1-for-12 with RISP on Monday night
-Miley is 1-3 with a 5.92 ERA in his last four road starts
-Capuano is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA in two starts versus the DBacks in 2012
-Capuano allowed season-highs in hits (11) and earned runs (6) in his last effort


-Seattle is hitting .306 and scored 25 runs in winning five straight games
-Vargas has a 1.65 ERA L6 starts
-Laffey is 1-1 with a 3.53 ERA in six starts versus Mariners
-Vargas 0-3 with a 6.49 ERA in five career starts versus Blue Jays


-Lincecum is 4-0 with a 0.67 ERA L4 starts vs Mets
-David Wright is hitting .105 vs Lincecum
-Posey is hitting .453 with 16 RBIs L13 games

Check out the SBR Forum articles for all of today's action

[OhMyEli]

Amazing thread my man, really appreciate your approach on this board, wish I could offer you anything in return other than an electronic pat on the back

I'm not the biggest statistician when it comes to capping but baseball by far is most largely reliant on these hard numbers and trends since its a game of statistics more than nba and nfl. Thanks and keep it up.

[Jeff Grant]

Amazing thread my man, really appreciate your approach on this board, wish I could offer you anything in return other than an electronic pat on the back

I'm not the biggest statistician when it comes to capping but baseball by far is most largely reliant on these hard numbers and trends since its a game of statistics more than nba and nfl. Thanks and keep it up.

Thank you sir, appreciate the response

Just finished reading a quality NFL article that I posted on the forum

[Jeff Grant]

Detroit Tigers
-Verlander is 0-1 with a 3.21 ERA in two starts against the Red Sox this year
-Verlander has won six of his last eight decisions (2.47 ERA)
-Team is 14-13 versus AL East foes

Read about Verlander's chances on winning another Cy Young Award


Cincinnati Reds
-Cincinnati has won 14 of 17 games since the All-Star break
-Pitching staff has a 2.91 ERA this month, lowest since 1988
-Aroldis Chapman’s ERA versus NL teams is 0.20, with opposing hitters hitting .101
-SP Homer Bailey’s 1.43 ERa in July is the third-best mark in the majors
-Bailey is 4-0 with a 3.35 ERA in six career starts versus the Padres


Washington Nationals
-Rank second in the NL and third in the majors with a +82 run differential
-One year ago today, the Nationals trailed the Phillies by 17 games
-Won nine of the last 11 and 13 of 17 over the Phillies
-SP Stephen Strasburg is 5-1 with a 2.63 ERA in nine games against division opponents this year

[Jeff Grant]

Baltimore Orioles
-Gone 4-5 versus the Yankees this season (3-1 in the Bronx)
-C Matt Wieters has three career HRs versus Nova, most versus any pitcher
-In their last 21 games, the Orioles have been held to one hit with RISP six times and held hitless in eight others
-SP Chris Tillman is 1-2 with a 12.27 ERA in three career starts at Yankee Stadium


Boston Red Sox
-Leads all AL teams with a 17-9 record against the Central division
-1B Adrian Gonzalez is hitting .380 this month, while leading the majors with a .414 average with RISP
-Won eight of last nine against the Tigers at Fenway
-Own the best MLB record against the Tigers since 2008 (23-11)
-SP Josh Beckett has a 10.06 ERA in the first inning this season (3.55 in the rest)


Chicago White Sox
-Posted a 16-6 record in their last 22 games versus the Twins (8-3 at Target Field)
-Gone 12-6 in their last 18 games versus divisional foes (121-84 scoring margin)
-Hitting an MLB-best .294 with RISP, five players in the top 20 in average in that situation
-Bullpen has a 0.82 ERA in the last eight games
-SP Francisco Liriano is 0-3 with a 6.48 ERA in three starts since the break
-Liriano has allowed just six HRs to LHH in his career, lowest total in baseball since 2005


Cleveland Indians
-Own a 5-4 edge in the 2012 series versus Kansas City (12-6 last year)
-Gone 6-11 since the break, averaging just 3.0 runs per game, hitting .194 with RISP
-Pitching staff has a 5.56 road ERA, which is the second-highest in the majors (Houston, 5.78)
-SP Derek Lowe is 2-8 with a 7.59 ERA in his last 12 starts


Kansas City Royals
-SP Luke Hochevar is 1-0 with a 2.22 ERA in his last four home starts
-Hochevar is 2-4 with a 5.67 ERA in six career home starts against the Indians


New York Yankees
-Have not lost more than three consecutive home games since dropping six from May 11-20, 2011
-Ten of the team’s last 11 games have been decided by three runs or less, with six decided by one run (0-6)
-Scored 80 runs in the first inning, tied with St. Louis for the second-most in baseball (Rockies, 82)
Minnesota Twins
-The Twins are 12-13 this month, looking to avoid their first losing record in July since 2007
-Batting .336 with 71 runs scored in their last 10 home games
-113 HRs hit at Target Field altogether this year
-Starting rotation has posted a 3.93 ERA in the last 12 games
-SP Nick Blackburn has allowed the opposition to score the game’s first run in nine of his 15 starts


Tampa Bay Rays
-Gone 8-9 since the All-Star break, posting an AL-best 2.67 ERA
-Scored three runs or less in six of seven games on their current road trip
-Bullpen has an MLB-best 1.53 ERA since the break
-SP James Shields leads the majors with 156 hits allowed
-Shields has a 5.45 career ERA in July, his highest of any month by almost a full run


Chicago Cubs
-Gone 13-3 in their last 16 home games, leading the NL and third in the majors in win percentage since June 25
-Scored at least one run in the first inning in six straight games
-SP Casey Coleman has yet to record a decision in three games (one start) against the Pirates (1.23 ERA)


Colorado Rockies
-Gone 82-85 all-time against St. Louis, including a 44-38 mark at home
-OF Carlos Gonzalez has hit safely in 28 straight home games (.427 average)
-The Rockies are 11-15 versus NL Central opponents (1-3 vs. Cardinals)
-SP Jeff Francis is 3-0 wit ha 2.70 ERA in five home starts against the Cardinals


Miami Marlins
-Second game of a stretch of playing 22-of-28 on the road
-Marlins 3-4-5 hitters combined to go 7-for-11 last night
-Gone 1-7 in their last eight games against the Braves, outscored by a 48-11 margin
-SP Ricky Nolasco is 2-3 with a 4.85 ERA this month, but is 17-12 with a 3.89 ERA in his career in July


Philadelphia Phillies
-Bullpen has a 1.44 ERA in their last 10 games (Cardinals, 1.32)
-Scored just 41 runs while Cliff Lee is in the game, while also losing seven of his last nine starts
-Lee has gone 32-13 after the All-Star break since 2008


San Diego Padres
-Gone 17-12 all-time at GABP
-Pitching staff ranks fourth in the NL in ERA (3.26) since the break, while the offense ranks third (4.88 rpg)
-Jason Marquis’ seven wins against the Reds is tied for his third-most against any team


St. Louis Cardinals
-3B David Freese is hitting a major league-leading .463 this month, while the team is hitting .276, which ranks second in the NL (Washington, .284)
-Four players with 15-plus HRs, Freese has 14
-Won nine of their last 11 games against the Rockies, two of three in Denver last year
-SP Kyle Lohse is 3-0 with a 1.58 ERA in six home starts against the Rockies, but 1-3 with a 6.43 ERA at Coors Field