With a perfect record at home this year in Johan Santana's starts, look for the Twins to continue that streak today when they open their ALDS versus the Athletics.
We are not a big fan of laying -175 in Major League Baseball, but we believe this is a situation that warrents it.
The Minnesota Twins have got to be on a huge emotional high, having won the NL Central by surpassing the Detroit Tigers on the last day of the season. What this means is very significant. Instead of opening on the road in Yankee stadium, they start the postseason at home against the Oakland A's.
Twins starter Johan Santana has made 18 home starts this year and Minnesota has won every single one of them. This is truly an amazing stat. Santana himself is a sparkling 12-0 at home with an ERA of just 2.19 and a WHIP below one. Furthermore, Santana has had excellent success in his career facing the Oakland A's, going 4-1 with an ERA of 3.19.
A's starter Barry Zito is very formidable in his own right, but he hasn't exactly been lights out down the stretch, having only two quality starts in his last five outings.
Bottom line in this one is that the Twins have the better offense, the better starting pitcher and Santana's amazing streak of 18-0 at home this season that we aren't about to buck.