[stevenash]

Sorry about that Texas Ranger brain fart last night, I'm only human.
I've said I'm going to pick losers here and there a millions times already this season.

I can hear it now "But Nash, it's the Astro's your'e backing."
I know, I know, however, Wandy is a quality pitcher, with a quality arm, with sound across numbers so far this season.

3.75 ERA is sound, 1.25 WH/IP ratio is sound. Sound K ratio. Sound pitcher.

He's facing a Votto-less lineup. That Cincy lineup, sans Votto, is ordinary, at best.
OK, Bruce can ding you if you make a mistake, Phillips has a stick, Ludwick is hit or miss, Stubbs? Please, he's an 0 for 4 with 2 strikeouts waiting to happen.

Reds lineup is crap once you get past Bruce and Phillips.

Reds start Latos, not suggesting Latos is crap, to do so is ignorant, I am saying Latos is vastly overrated though.
4.23 ERA is below National League *league* average. 1.23 WH/IP ratio is sound, but it's the same as Wandy's.
They both strike out hitters.

There is no edge here in starting, you can even make a case that Wandy has a slight edge here.

Altuve at the top of the order has a stick. He's .294 and getting better every game.
Marwin Gonzales is a no name, but a no name with tons of talent. He's only 23 and proving himself.
Chris Johnson can handle Latos, and is vastly underrated.

The Astro kids are not pushovers, they are playing every game with a future MLB paycheck on the line. There are no guaranteed paychecks no "I think I'll mail it in tonight, I got a 6 year guaranteed contract is my hip pocket" in that clubhouse.

I'm not saying Astro's are a stone cold lock. (No such thing)

What I am saying is, if you have some scratch, looking for value with a live home doggy, Astro's +151, at home, with Wandy, facing a Votto-less Red lineup might be worth a play.

I like it, 200 gets me 302, if you don't like it, peace, I'm just putting it out there that Wandy at home has value, IMO lots of value.

[BigDeem5]

They can't hit.

[Vinnie Paz]

Nash how do you feel about under 7.5?
When i see this matchup last night I told myself under would be good, wish I could get 8 though....

[Brock Landers]

Houston is straight crap, Wandy Rodriguez isn't much better

not putting my money on that shit

[Mr KLC]

Astros are due. Wandy should bounce back after that terrible start at San Diego.

[Vinnie Paz]

Brock grab youself some -195 Halladay!!!

[JMobile]

Houston is straight crap, Wandy Rodriguez isn't much better

not putting my money on that shit

I'm all over the Astros today

[El Nino]

I was liking the under when this line came out.

[stevenash]

^
I don't want any part of Doc tonight either.
7.5 total is razor sharp, under or pass. I choose pass.

[stevenash]

Houston is straight crap, Wandy Rodriguez isn't much better

not putting my money on that shit

Houston ain't winning any pennants this season, I get that BL
This is just a spot play I really think pays off tonight, it's a spot play that's not for everybody, I get too.
Best of luck tonight BL

[borednaz]

Houston with Wandy at Home is always worth a look. GL Nash

[stevenash]

^
At +151 is what I am saying. BoL at you too borednaz

[aufordboy]

I'm on Hou +1.5 -110. BOL tonight

[El Nino]

^
I don't want any part of Doc tonight either.
7.5 total is razor sharp, under or pass. I choose pass.

Yeah, would be an edge at 8. 7.5 is tough. I like Latos as well. Houston definitely getting undervalued @ home after getting stomped by the Snakes this weekend.

[darrell74]

^
At +151 is what I am saying. BoL at you too borednaz

It's worth a gamble.(small one though)
gl Nash, not a bad idea.

Cinci couldn't hit vs. Milwaukee yesterday
However, Stros did give up 33 runs in Arizona this weekend.

If you look at the board, all the dogs are worth looking at today.

[stevenash]

^
Several barking doggies tonight.

[HoulihansTX]

Bullpen and lineup are AA status.

[kaliboyz]

Houston big tonight!!

[Smoke]

Stevie unreal

Stevie you are better than this

[BennyFang]

I like em FF. No faith in their bullpen right now if the game is close.

[SBRMAN23]

Like it a lot Nash on it already Bol

[ridims]

these two sp faced each other not to long ago. wandy had a couple bad innings and last 5 innings. Latos lasted 3 innings and gave up 4 ER.

that game ended 12-9 in favour of the reds.

5-3 astros win tonight. votto was the difference last game going 4-4 and i don't have faith in the reds lineup tonight esp against wandy who could throw a really good game in a revenge spot at home.

love the play. going to pleasure myself now

[RyanLeafOfBets]

Reds fan here... slightly nervous about this game. Enough so, not to lay the juice and take the Reds.

However, Latos last 5 starts are as follows:

7/18 4.2 IP 5 ER
7/13 5 IP 2 ER
7/5 7 IP 0 ER
6/30 9 IP 1 ER
6/25 9 IP 1 ER

I think the under is the play in this game, but I am not sure if I will bet.

[Jeff Grant]

Without Votto in the lineup - has a good chance of pitching deep into this contest

Like the play myself

[a4u2fear]

Thanks for write up Steve, Brock doesn't do those, he only takes two mins to chalk up some loser picks

[jjgold]

Nashy you drinking today??

This pick is not like you

[PickWinnerAllDay]

Stevenash... I worry about you... you don't take more recent statistics into account and go with all year statistics. Not really wise for sports betting.

Wandy has a better ERA than Latos right now... but over the last month, Latos has been a far superior pitcher.

[stevenash]

Stevenash... I worry about you... you don't take more recent statistics into account and go with all year statistics. Not really wise for sports betting.

Wandy has a better ERA than Latos right now... but over the last month, Latos has been a far superior pitcher.

What part of 'spot play' don't you understand?

[PickWinnerAllDay]

What part of 'spot play' don't you understand?

The spot where you say Wandy > Latos and Trumbo > Pujols even though that isn't the case recently. We aren't fans... season statistics should have little value for us, all we should care about is how a guy is hitting lately or pitching lately.

[ridims]

latos pitching lately (last 3 games) has only got past the 5th inning once.

7 ER in last 9 innings.

[stevenash]

The spot where you say Wandy > Latos and Trumbo > Pujols even though that isn't the case recently. We aren't fans... season statistics should have little value for us, all we should care about is how a guy is hitting lately or pitching lately.

Where did I say Wandy > Latos in this statement?
"There is no edge here in starting, you can even make a case that Wandy has a slight edge here."
Looks like I said the match up is even, and one could make a case that Wandy has a slight edge.
Did I say Wandy is greater than Latos?? Show me Wandy greater than Latos?? I don't see Wandy greater than Latos??
Let me spell it out for you, I think the pitching match up is a coin toss. I am getting +151 on what I perceive as a coin toss.
Get it? I have been kicking ass all season getting + money on what I perceive as coin tosses. Do I win every play? No. But 80 percent of my wagers have been dogs, and I've been cashing.
Once again SHOW ME WANDY>LATOS

Here's the thread from last night:
Show me where I said Trumbo > Pujols???
I never said Trumbo > Pujols
I did say Trout is a better hitter right now that Pujols.
I did say Trout, Pujols and Trumbo can hurt Harrison.
This is the third time you have put words in my mouth that I never said.

KNOCK IT FREAKING OFF

Here is the thread from last night.
Show me, or STFU

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...y-evening.html

[ridims]

laying -150 on the reds where they had to put up 12 runs to win last time with the same SP's is just not very smart. esp with there best hitter not in the lineup who was a big difference why they won last time.
id take the dog with a definite value here.

[Darkside Magick]

Took Houston +1.5@-125!!!!!

[stevenash]

all we should care about is how a guy is hitting lately or pitching lately.

Really?
Like Washburn against the Royals last week?
The part where KC young studs was going to tear Washburn a new a-hole because Washburn gave up 4 or more earned in recent starts, all I heard was Washburn would never seen the 5th inning.

How'd that work out.

That was a great spot play too.

[ColdBeerHere]

I agree game almost a coin flip here...I'm on houston , let's get this