The line is 8 at +105, and on the year Schmidt's home starts have been 10-5 to the over at 8. He is less effective in the daytime, and here he is not in top form, the opposing lineup is as good or better than usual, and the opposing starter is worse than usual.

Schmidt hasn't been dominant for a while, and he is likely to give up at least 3 runs here. Stults of course is mostly untested and a shut down start from him here would be a big surprise.