1. 07-15-12 01:03 PM #1
    Jeff Grant
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    Statistically Speaking - Rangers Worthy of Sunday's High Tariff

    You're not going to get rich backing -180 road favorites in Major League Baseball wagering, but Sunday's situation between the Texas Rangers and Seattle Mariners is deserving of the price

    -Texas is 27-6 as a road favorite of -150 to -200 since 2010
    -The Rangers are 13-4 in their last 17 games after being shutout
    -The Rangers are sixth in baseball with a .266 daytime batting average (Mariners are dead last at .200)
    -SP Matt Harrison is 4-0 with a 1.26 ERA in six games (four starts) at Safeco Field, the second-lowest ERA for any pitcher that has made at least four starts at the venue
    -Harrison is one of 10 pitchers ever to beat the Mariners in seven consecutive starts
    -Seattle is 43-82 during the day since 2010
    -The road team is 13-6 in Gary Cedestrom's 19 assignments behind home plate
    -Harrison has won both of his career starts with Cedestrom behind the dish (16 IP, ER)

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  2. 07-15-12 01:10 PM #2
    R.P. McMurphy
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    I don't think it's Texas pitching so much that people question. The true worry is laying that kind of juice with a team whose bats have been in a coma for the last month.
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  3. 07-15-12 01:20 PM #3
    Jeff Grant
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    Quote Originally Posted by R.P. McMurphy View Post
    I don't think it's Texas pitching so much that people question. The true worry is laying that kind of juice with a team whose bats have been in a coma for the last month.
    Can't argue with that - but the guy behind the plate may take care of that

    Rangers 20-7 with Cederstrom
    Mariners 7-19 in the same situation
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  4. 07-15-12 01:59 PM #4
    R.P. McMurphy
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    Now there is an interesting stat. I just hate laying crazy juice if the pitcher and his supporting offense have my confidence I would rather just go with the RL in spots to cut the juice. Or just look for a better bargain like Oakland who I took today at -107. They have been hot and undervalued almost all season and that price with a great pitcher going against the Twinkies was an a no brainer for me. Even if they lose at least I know the right play was made by me.
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  5. 07-15-12 02:04 PM #5
    ShogunRua
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    Love the Rangers tonight.

    Took the RL though, don't think this one will be close.
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  6. 07-15-12 04:01 PM #6
    Jeff Grant
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    Quote Originally Posted by ShogunRua View Post
    Love the Rangers tonight.

    Took the RL though, don't think this one will be close.
    Good luck to you
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  7. 07-15-12 04:10 PM #7
    sportsguy04
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    I'm on rangers first five -.5 . Hoping they can keep this lead.
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  8. 07-15-12 05:20 PM #8
    Jeff Grant
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    Quote Originally Posted by sportsguy04 View Post
    I'm on rangers first five -.5 . Hoping they can keep this lead.
    Congrats on the five innings
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  9. 07-15-12 05:23 PM #9
    TheAntFather
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    Any thoughts on night game Jeff?
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  10. 07-15-12 06:29 PM #10
    CHR1S
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    Jeff you were right that ump was giving Harrison plentyy of pitchers pitches. Helped me go +$1200 today. Keep up the good work.
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  11. 07-15-12 09:00 PM #11
    Jeff Grant
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    Quote Originally Posted by CHR1S View Post
    Jeff you were right that ump was giving Harrison plentyy of pitchers pitches. Helped me go +$1200 today. Keep up the good work.
    You're welcome sir - glad to help out
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