1. #1
    MagicDiceFlow
    blinded by nostalgia
    MagicDiceFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 4,585

    MagicDiceFlow's Play of the Day for Tuesday

    Play of the Day for Tuesday:

    Last week we faded the Yankees with Nova on the mound and scored a big win with the White Sox +170. However today, circumstances are much different and I believe the Yankees will win tonight. Nova is a very solid road pitcher. He's got a very respectable 3.44 ERA away from home and the key here is his dominance against Tampa Bay in his career, a solid 2.82 ERA against the Rays. Another important factor to consider is the Rays bats currently. Their offense has gone terribly stale the last several games. There is absolutely no one on this lineup that is intimidating. The Rays will have to beat the Yankees with small ball which I don't believe will be effective against the powerful Yankees lineup. Don't get too greedy or cute by taking the -1.5 run line. Book the safer win here as -120 is a great number given the circumstances tonight.

    For the Rays, they have a respectable pitcher in Shields on the mound. Shields does have the potential to shut out a team but the savvy veteran has been very unreliable for over two months now. At times brilliant and most of the time, very unstable. Coupled with the fact that the Yankees has seen so much of Shields over the years, that could be the factor that spells doom for him tonight.

    Yankees will take one tonight in Tampa....it's a solid play.

    -------------------------------YANKEES -120 --------------------------------------

    (no parlays tonight, best of luck everyone)






    Wager Type : Money Line
    Wager Status : PendingRisk / To Win Amount : 1,000.00 / 840.34(USD)
    Accepted : 7/3/2012 11:08AM - PST



    Sport / Period : MLB Baseball / Game
    Selection : New York Yankees
    Time : 7/3/2012 4:10:01PM - (PST)
    Line : -120
    Pitchers : I. Nova - R - Must Pitch / J. Shields - R - Must Pitch
    Game Notes : (MLB)


  2. #2
    russiaboss
    russiaboss's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-10
    Posts: 735
    Betpoints: 304

    On TB +106
    GL

  3. #3
    a4u2fear
    TEASE IT
    a4u2fear's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-29-10
    Posts: 8,147
    Betpoints: 35447

    on it

  4. #4
    R.P. McMurphy
    Update your status
    R.P. McMurphy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-15-12
    Posts: 9,654
    Betpoints: 175

    SWEET!! Reassuring to know you're on them MDF you been on fire. Got them this morning at -113. Evil Empire shall conquer tonight!!
    Last edited by R.P. McMurphy; 07-03-12 at 04:52 PM.

  5. #5
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    MDF, i never really saw your 1st thread until you were at end of the goal you had laid out (congrats on that btw)...but i have noticed quite a few of your post lately and more times than not we seem to be on the same side and/or pretty much agree on lot of points....nyy was 1st play i booked last night so seems we continue to be seeing things similarly (cards-1.5 was my biggest play yesterday as well)...anyway thought id stop in and say like your thought process on lot of these gms and to keep doing what you doing..gl tonight and moving forward

  6. #6
    EVPlus
    EVPlus's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-07-12
    Posts: 1,111
    Betpoints: 451

    BOL on this MDF.

  7. #7
    good2go2mexico
    good2go2mexico's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-25-11
    Posts: 791

    I'm on the Yankees straight and I'm throwing out a New York (Mets), New York (Yanks) parlay for myself.

  8. #8
    Tofudog
    Tofudog's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 858

    Quote Originally Posted by R.P. McMurphy View Post
    SWEET!! Reassuring to know you're on them MJD you been on fire. Got them this morning at -113. Evil Empire shall conquer tonight!!
    lol MJD...

    Any reason the line is dropping? I just got them at -109???

  9. #9
    ghislaine
    ghislaine's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-14-10
    Posts: 1,131
    Betpoints: 1281

    Respect Your insights and would like to know as to why mets ? Any particulars ? Cause I kinda like that parlay
    Quote Originally Posted by good2go2mexico View Post
    I'm on the Yankees straight and I'm throwing out a New York (Mets), New York (Yanks) parlay for myself.

  10. #10
    ChrisJ
    ChrisJ's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-05-11
    Posts: 148
    Betpoints: 1129

    BOL tonight MDF. Tailing again for sure, but we should almost add some kind of parlay - you are due for a magic $2-4k hit

  11. #11
    PMcG012
    PMcG012's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-17-12
    Posts: 154
    Betpoints: 516

    What do you guys think of NYY tt over 4? Thinking of getting it at -120

  12. #12
    JuniorAnalyst
    JuniorAnalyst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-21-11
    Posts: 2,148
    Betpoints: 66

    Pmcg, the key to this game isnt the yanks ability to score alot of runs its that we expect Nova to hold tampa stale. I believe thats why mdf says to stick to ml not rl. this could easily be a 2-1/3-2 type game . if your aiming at a team total dont touch the yanks go under on the rays as they would be lucky to squeeze 3+

  13. #13
    PMcG012
    PMcG012's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-17-12
    Posts: 154
    Betpoints: 516

    Thanks, I'll just steer clear of totals for this game and stick with the ML.

  14. #14
    good2go2mexico
    good2go2mexico's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-25-11
    Posts: 791

    Quote Originally Posted by ghislaine View Post
    Respect Your insights and would like to know as to why mets ? Any particulars ? Cause I kinda like that parlay
    I'm not looking to take over Magic's thread but real quickly: the Mets have been consistently raking against right handed pitching over the last month, the Mets have won 6 of 9 against the Philliess, the Phillies are coming in on a 5 game losing streak and rumors are swirling that they're looking to trade off Cole Hammels. I just see it as 2 teams heavily trending opposite directions. Oh and I'm a huge Mets fan to top it off.

  15. #15
    good2go2mexico
    good2go2mexico's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-25-11
    Posts: 791

    Quote Originally Posted by good2go2mexico View Post
    Oh and I'm a huge Mets fan to top it off.
    I was joking about that part. While I am a huge Mets fan but I have bet against them many, many times.

  16. #16
    BigPage25
    BigPage25's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-17-12
    Posts: 3,571

    I believe magic is a real good capper... But I'm leaning more towards betting on the rays ... i don't know what it is but for some reason playing the yankees always seems to bring out the best in the rays... Rays win tonight 5 - 3

  17. #17
    JuniorAnalyst
    JuniorAnalyst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-21-11
    Posts: 2,148
    Betpoints: 66

    take houston TT Under or Pirates Over... Heck play the pirates -1.5

  18. #18
    rumnblack
    rumnblack's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-21-12
    Posts: 876

    BOL Majic

  19. #19
    ghislaine
    ghislaine's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-14-10
    Posts: 1,131
    Betpoints: 1281

    Thanks man
    Mind if I lock that in as well !!

    Quote Originally Posted by good2go2mexico View Post
    I'm not looking to take over Magic's thread but real quickly: the Mets have been consistently raking against right handed pitching over the last month, the Mets have won 6 of 9 against the Philliess, the Phillies are coming in on a 5 game losing streak and rumors are swirling that they're looking to trade off Cole Hammels. I just see it as 2 teams heavily trending opposite directions. Oh and I'm a huge Mets fan to top it off.

  20. #20
    ghislaine
    ghislaine's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-14-10
    Posts: 1,131
    Betpoints: 1281

    Let's hope it hits, pays out more than double

  21. #21
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by BigPage25 View Post
    I believe magic is a real good capper... But I'm leaning more towards betting on the rays ... i don't know what it is but for some reason playing the yankees always seems to bring out the best in the rays... Rays win tonight 5 - 3
    believe spanks have lost 8 in a row at the trop....and Shields has owned them at home..that said still feel like with current form of each team nyy has some decent value...

  22. #22
    BigPage25
    BigPage25's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-17-12
    Posts: 3,571

    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    believe spanks have lost 8 in a row at the trop....and Shields has owned them at home..that said still feel like with current form of each team nyy has some decent value...
    True but i just feel the Rays are going to get the win tonight

  23. #23
    alta
    alta's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-06
    Posts: 1,457
    Betpoints: 10353

    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    believe spanks have lost 8 in a row at the trop....and Shields has owned them at home..that said still feel like with current form of each team nyy has some decent value...
    Shields is 5-13 with a 4.55 ERA in 23 starts against the Yankees, who have beaten him more than any team.
    He's 0-2 with a 7.88 ERA in three outings this year,

  24. #24
    alta
    alta's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-06
    Posts: 1,457
    Betpoints: 10353

    Sure would like too see Nova continue his success against the Rays and stop the current Rays home streak vs the Yankees.
    The Yankees have won all six starts by Nova against the Rays, with the right-hander going 4-0 with a 2.82 ERA. That includes a 2-0 mark and 1.80 ERA in two this year.

  25. #25
    bighawk12
    SEATTLE
    bighawk12's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-06-12
    Posts: 445
    Betpoints: 891

    Nice dice im on it w you.


  26. #26
    hundredbombs
    hundredbombs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-15-12
    Posts: 174
    Betpoints: 952

    The more important stat is the Yankees have 4 HR and 13 RBI's off Shields this season alone. He also gave up 6 runs against them in his first start of the season AT HOME.

  27. #27
    JuniorAnalyst
    JuniorAnalyst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-21-11
    Posts: 2,148
    Betpoints: 66

    Cant complain so far.

  28. #28
    MagicDiceFlow
    blinded by nostalgia
    MagicDiceFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 4,585

    Best of luck guys!

    Yankees pounding on Shields early 1st inning. Double/Double/Single ....nice 2-0 lead here early.

  29. #29
    MagicDiceFlow
    blinded by nostalgia
    MagicDiceFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 4,585

    .....
    Last edited by MagicDiceFlow; 07-03-12 at 06:36 PM.

  30. #30
    hzw7500
    hzw7500's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-14-12
    Posts: 8
    Betpoints: 2294

    MDF what do you think of cards -1 play? Thinking about to put some dimes on the runline.

  31. #31
    Luca Fury
    I make my living betting on MMA
    Luca Fury's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-10-12
    Posts: 1,136
    Betpoints: 757

    Another recommended bet by Magic, and another one that looks like a winner!

    I tailed you on this and got it for -113 in the afternoon. It's looking good, with Yankees up 3-0

  32. #32
    mngambler
    mngambler's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-01-11
    Posts: 2,890
    Betpoints: 3057

    geeezus, had him gunned down at home and catcher drops the fking ball

  33. #33
    mngambler
    mngambler's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-01-11
    Posts: 2,890
    Betpoints: 3057

    yup saw that sh*t coming a mile away...fkin new that error at home was gonna fk em

  34. #34
    Prime Sports
    Prime Sports's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-20-12
    Posts: 105
    Betpoints: 114

    Good luck mate!!

    Let's cash this one!!

  35. #35
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    damn nyy is +190 live..guess books dont see them scoring again? crazy it that high in 1 run gm in 5th..

12 Last
Top