1. #1
    jeffdane
    jeffdane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-09
    Posts: 5,165
    Betpoints: 48

    anyone here tracking MLB rlm?

    got any numbers for the year? appears to be hot lately.

  2. #2
    nrok2118
    nrok2118's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-10-12
    Posts: 1,182
    Betpoints: 635

    I started a thread a week ago with the intention of playing reverse line movements, using a 60/40 or greater public split. But I haven't been strict, and making some bets the night before trying to predict plays and get better value. This leads to plays that end up not meeting criteria. But I started hot so we'll see how it goes over time.

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-b...plays-day.html

    I was doing this for hockey for a little bit doing well before getting sucked into a system and following that for the remainder of the season, so I don't know if that would have held up over time. A lot of haters on these boards against reverse line movement, but I like the idea and when you go on runs its very profitable playing mainly dogs.

  3. #3
    jeffdane
    jeffdane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-09
    Posts: 5,165
    Betpoints: 48

    i got it tracked back to 05-27. very small sample, as far as days, but counting today there have been 75 plays. +20 units since the 27th. was wondering how it did earlier this year. im going to continue to track.

  4. #4
    nrok2118
    nrok2118's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-10-12
    Posts: 1,182
    Betpoints: 635

    Whats your criteria and are you using ending lines or intial?

  5. #5
    jeffdane
    jeffdane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-09
    Posts: 5,165
    Betpoints: 48

    closing lines. 44% or less. tampa bay prime example here. at least a 4 cent move.

    6/9

    07:15 PM
    975 - TB - M Moore

    976 - MIA - C Zambrano
    +123
    -131
    +102
    -108

  6. #6
    nrok2118
    nrok2118's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-10-12
    Posts: 1,182
    Betpoints: 635

    You have a minimum amount of points it needs to move?

  7. #7
    jeffdane
    jeffdane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-09
    Posts: 5,165
    Betpoints: 48

    Quote Originally Posted by nrok2118 View Post
    You have a minimum amount of points it needs to move?
    i have been using 4 cents.

    problem with my backtracking is i am using pregame's sportsbook spy. they show an open line of 20 cents and closing of 10 cents so i need to guess a little.

  8. #8
    jolmscheid
    jolmscheid's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-20-10
    Posts: 3,256

    Sbr odds has public percentages...might want to expand your filters to a larger move...

  9. #9
    jolmscheid
    jolmscheid's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-20-10
    Posts: 3,256

    Have you been tracking rlm for nba at all?

  10. #10
    jeffdane
    jeffdane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-09
    Posts: 5,165
    Betpoints: 48

    i follow it in all sports but tracking no.

    in theory a larger move would make sense but what i have tracked so far has worked, which is why i asked this question.

  11. #11
    jolmscheid
    jolmscheid's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-20-10
    Posts: 3,256

    And you use sportsbook spy?

  12. #12
    jeffdane
    jeffdane's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-09
    Posts: 5,165
    Betpoints: 48

    i use pregames sportsbook spy to backtrack. i dont have a sportsinsights account. if i am by a computer while the games are played, like today, then i use sportsinsights, via thespread.com

  13. #13
    jolmscheid
    jolmscheid's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-20-10
    Posts: 3,256

    Thanks...I thought the spread doesn't offer that anymore. Ill have to look into that..

Top