I went back and looked at my sbr baseball thread from last year and looked at my record and this years ytd and I have already played as many games coming into june as I did last year, but that tracker thread last year was pretty neglected at times. The one thing I have always had a problem with was using someone elses models or getting into progressive betting systems or chasing steam. I have all my records and sheets going back 9 years and it happens every year when I start raising my units and thinking I have a good system I end up having enormous swings. Going to cut back on the units and maybe on some plays here in June and see if I can go into the summer with some good numbers.
Twins tt o4.5 -115 risk 2.30
Twins first 5 -.5 -105 risk 2.10
Twins -131 risk 2.62
The Twins are a horrible baseball team but Diamond (3-1 1.78 ERA) has been one of the few bright spots in that pitching rotation. He hasnt allowed a run in his two games at home this year but is coming off a rather shaky outing in Chicago. His home numbers at target field are worth a punt here, the A's are sending out a reliever who hasnt had a major league start since 2007 and wasnt too impressive even when he started (1-3 9.35 ERA).
The Twins have some strong bats here with Morneau, Willingham, Span and Mauer and they did show a brief little glimmer of hope here this season and if they are going to snap this losing streak, facing Blackley is the perfect opportunity to start winning some games.
Nationals +102 risk 1
I lost out on this one, rotoworld saying Freeman is out but mcann is back.