[brahmabull117]

Saying it to protect myself? No, I'm saying that because it's a fact. It's literally mathematically impossible for -230 to have value there. Literally impossible. I have a degree in actuarial science, trust me I know these things.

Washington winning 8-0 would do nothing at all to support you sayIng there is value in them at -230, that's just a cold hard fact buddy.

what is this based on?


if the nationals win this game let's say 75% of the time, there is no value in the line?


A -500 line can have value if the favorite wins it more than 85% of the time. It's all about picking lines where the team has a better chance to win than the numbers indicate

[No coincidences]

it's the first half inning, relax guys



you don't win baseball games with 3 runs in the first inning

Again, unreal.

You can't be an actual person. This has to be an SBR mod fvcking around with an account.

[No coincidences]

what is this based on?


if the nationals win this game let's say 75% of the time, there is no value in the line?


A -500 line can have value if the favorite wins it more than 85% of the time. It's all about picking lines where the team has a better chance to win than the numbers indicate

Wow.

[thetrinity]

so much for this being a dull tuesday afternoon at sbr. i guess the natties will need more then 1 or 2 runs brahm

[NittanyLionsFan]

what is this based on?


if the nationals win this game let's say 75% of the time, there is no value in the line?


A -500 line can have value if the favorite wins it more than 85% of the time. It's all about picking lines where the team has a better chance to win than the numbers indicate

From the hundreds of thousands of MLB games that have been played over the years. It's based on that, that I can tell you with over 99.9% confidence that it's impossible for the Nationals to have a 75% chance of winning that game in that exact situation going in.

[ThaTopMoron]

i should have factored this guy into the equation before putting WAS into my parlay

[KingJD31]

Square as fuk thinking Anthony bass is a sctub very good prospect,.licecum clone

[Love The Action]

While I never pay juice over the -150 range, I disagree with anyone who claims that situations do not exist where heavy favorites hold value. We see it all the time. Had the Nationals opened at -180 and closed at -210, the efficiency of the market would have confirmed such value. I am certainly not agreeing with the ridiculous chalk-loving mentality of the OP, however, anyone who says that value cannot exist on big favorites is not being accurate.

[KingJD31]

While I never pay juice over the -150 range, I disagree with anyone who claims that situations do not exist where heavy favorites hold value. We see it all the time. Had the Nationals opened at -180 and closed at -210, the efficiency of the market would have confirmed such value. I am certainly not agreeing with the ridiculous chalk-loving mentality of the OP, however, anyone who says that value cannot exist on big favorites is not being accurate.

if your laying those odds shouldn't you think they are gonna win by atleast 2? there is no value in that, take the points or buy the hook

[PickWinnerAllDay]

While I never pay juice over the -150 range, I disagree with anyone who claims that situations do not exist where heavy favorites hold value. We see it all the time. Had the Nationals opened at -180 and closed at -210, the efficiency of the market would have confirmed such value. I am certainly not agreeing with the ridiculous chalk-loving mentality of the OP, however, anyone who says that value cannot exist on big favorites is not being accurate.

Of course value can exist higher up. Not usually in baseball though. And as Brahma has displayed, he has no idea what value is. He just refuses to admit that a -200 + team will ever lose.

[thetrinity]

i agree with love the action to some degree, but you are probably better off going against these games for the most part. the fact it dipped over 30 cents from the opener is proof that this was definitely not one of those times.

[YorkHunt]

4-0 JAMES DARNELL homered off straus

[NittanyLionsFan]

While I never pay juice over the -150 range, I disagree with anyone who claims that situations do not exist where heavy favorites hold value. We see it all the time. Had the Nationals opened at -180 and closed at -210, the efficiency of the market would have confirmed such value. I am certainly not agreeing with the ridiculous chalk-loving mentality of the OP, however, anyone who says that value cannot exist on big favorites is not being accurate.

I didn't. I said -230 in this situation.

This guy is acting like the Nationals were equivalent to a 10 point football favorite lol. That's why it's so comical.

[brahmabull117]

From the hundreds of thousands of MLB games that have been played over the years. It's based on that, that I can tell you with over 99.9% confidence that it's impossible for the Nationals to have a 75% chance of winning that game in that exact situation going in.

based on what?


the brewers won 71% of their home games last year and that includes matchups against superior teams where they had an inferior pitcher starting


What do you base it on that a team can't win 75% of games in a certain situation? The yankees have won 75% of CC Sabathia's starts since he put on the yankees uniform

[PickWinnerAllDay]

What was the juice on the Cardinals? They are down 3-0 to the Cubs.

[Inkwell77]

Bhrama bringing the heat. Post more!

[Ghenghis Kahn]

wow strasburg getting spanked by the mighty san diego. that's embarrassing.

[YorkHunt]

I am assuming this guy is on Sabathia tonight.....Orioles it is

[Dad]

Would be classic if the scrub from San Diego threw a no hitter.

[thetrinity]

Would be classic if the scrub from San Diego threw a no hitter.

its gona be classic regardless

[brahmabull117]

I am assuming this guy is on Sabathia tonight.....Orioles it is

no actually I don't like that line. Orioles are a good team at home and the pitcher they're starting is good too



Only other line I really like is Dodgers at home against Arizona and Chicago at home with red hot jake peavy starting

[delpiero7]

Put on a small day game double on Nats and Indians. Just turned my PC on to see they're now 5-0 down.

[ram749]

Peavy was the easy $$ ba$$ shoulda threw a no- no that woulda been classic

[brahmabull117]

Peavy was the easy $$ ba$$ shoulda threw a no- no that woulda been classic

yea I liked peavy a lot and ended up going with the sox in this game

[thetrinity]

brahma any value on spurs -925 tonight?

[PickWinnerAllDay]

brahma any value on spurs -925 tonight?

[boeing power]

brahma any value on spurs -925 tonight?

He's already on it

He got it at -1200 though

[Robber]

Good thing Brahma is an air bettor

[HoulihansTX]

Brahma Buried Me

[PickWinnerAllDay]

Fading idiots never works b/c idiots win sometimes.

But because of the heavy juice he always pays, fading Brahma could be pretty profitable.

[PickWinnerAllDay]

If you faded Brahma, you have the Sixers +250 right now for the series and can hedge. Easy profit.

[SASH]

alright, come on nats, time to start things here in the 7th

[Sam Odom]

brah... Shake it off! M/M the LAD & LAA in the next 5 san diego gms

[Kalis]

Let Bass pitch the 8th 6-1

[hawley]

Unreal. I pounded the fuk out of the Celtics series price yesterday then hammered the Nats today.


Brahmaburied.