1. #1
    killawookie
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    Join Date: 12-25-09
    Posts: 3,457

    KW's High Risk/Low Reward System

    I started to track my plays last year in a thread but I lost a couple and refocused on my picks and gave up on posting plays. This time I'm going a riskier route and I'm currently at around 16-1-2 for plays before making this thread.

    I will try to explain what I use to filter out games as I go along, but I figured I try to keep track of my plays in a thread for a few days and see if I can keep on winning.

    The details I will disclose right now are these:

    Money Management (or lack of):
    Starting Bankroll is $100.00
    All-in until Double Up
    Plays after will be based on a grade scale of strength
    Split Bankroll either 50/50 or adjust to whom I think will win outright

    Handicapping Strategy:
    Find two high scoring teams playing each other
    Teams need to have at least have had a 3 or 5 day previous good run count
    If in a series, all games before hand need to be decided by multiple runs
    Plays both team's RL according to strength of matchup

    That's all for now..

    Bankroll - $100
    System Record - 0-0-0

  2. #2
    killawookie
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    Play #1-
    120553570-1 5/8/12 6:11pm $60.00 $93.00 Pending 5/8/12 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 967 Texas Rangers -1½ +155* vs Baltimore Orioles (N Feliz - R must Start J Arrieta - R must Start)
    120553548-1 5/8/12 6:11pm $40.00 $82.00 Pending 5/8/12 7:05pm MLB Baseball 968 Baltimore Orioles -1½ +205* vs Texas Rangers (N Feliz - R must Start J Arrieta - R must Start)

  3. #3
    killawookie
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    120553570-1 5/8/12 6:11pm $60.00 $93.00 $153.00 Win 5/8/12 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 967 Texas Rangers -1½ +155* vs Baltimore Orioles (N Feliz - R must Start J Arrieta - R must Start)
    Play #1 - Win
    Bankroll = 153.00
    Record 1-0-0

    Play #2 (Gut feeling)
    120587774-1 5/8/12 10:07pm $118.00 $102.61 Pending 5/8/12 10:10pm Reduced Baseball 979 Detroit Tigers -1½ -115* vs Seattle Mariners (J Verlander - R must Start K Millwood - R must Start)
    120587740-1 5/8/12 10:07pm $35.00 $122.50 Pending 5/8/12 10:10pm MLB Baseball 980 Seattle Mariners -1½ +350* vs Detroit Tigers (J Verlander - R must Start K Millwood - R must Start)

  4. #4
    killawookie
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    120652532-1 5/9/12 12:50pm $52.61 $110.48 Pending 5/9/12 1:10pm Reduced Baseball 902 Milwaukee Brewers -1½ +210* vs Cincinnati Reds (J Cueto - R must Start Z Greinke - R must Start)
    120652449-1 5/9/12 12:49pm $68.00 $108.80 Pending 5/9/12 1:10pm MLB Baseball 901 Cincinnati Reds -1½ +160* vs Milwaukee Brewers (J Cueto - R must Start Z Greinke - R must Start)

    Play #3 - Using only profit... holding 100 back. This play I have a feeling this wont be a pitchers duel

  5. #5
    killawookie
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    Play #4
    120669126-1 5/9/12 4:36pm $40.00 $86.00 Pending 5/9/12 7:05pm MLB Baseball 922 Baltimore Orioles -1½ +215* vs Texas Rangers (C Lewis - R must Start W Chen - L must Start)
    120669102-1 5/9/12 4:35pm $60.00 $84.00 Pending 5/9/12 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 921 Texas Rangers -1½ +140* vs Baltimore Orioles (C Lewis - R must Start W Chen - L must Start)

    Bankroll = 100.00
    Record = 2-1-0

  6. #6
    killawookie
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    Play #4 was postponed due to rain ..

    Here is new PLAY #4
    120690630-1 5/9/12 8:09pm $65.00 $68.25 Pending 5/9/12 8:10pm Reduced Baseball 927 Boston Red Sox -1½ +105* vs Kansas City Royals (J Lester - L must Start B Chen - L must Start)
    120690604-1 5/9/12 8:09pm $35.00 $89.25 Pending 5/9/12 8:10pm MLB Baseball 928 Kansas City Royals -1½ +255* vs Boston Red Sox (J Lester - L must Start B Chen - L must Start)

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