Originally Posted by
antifoil
batted balls can't be skewed by walks and strikeouts because they aren't batted balls.
i am saying in a year where the pitcher is unlucky and has a higher babip, the strikeout rate will continue to keep his era down because they are balls not hit. i am not sure what you mean babip is used to measure hitting more than pitching because the general understanding is hitters have a better ability to determine where the ball goes than does a pitcher. which is why ichiro continues to have one over .330 or whatever it is each year.
robertson has him in WAR, fip, era, HR/9(i doubt robertson can repeat his .14 HR/9 though. that shit is crazy). the only thing he doesn't have him in is walk rate.
i do not talk intangibles because they are not measurable and generally the sample size is too small to make accurate judgements. in this instance we don't know how good david robertson would be in those situations because we don't have a good measure. so at best this is inconclusive. people are just guessing and using selective memory on positive outcomes. if you have found a way to predict intangibles in your handicapping you have found a holy grail.