Lincecum is clearly not the pitcher he was a season or two ago. Going back to when he first came into the majors I always felt like he would break down early and his success would be limited. We've seen his velocity drop for a couple years now but it seems that this season he is really struggling making up for it with his good stuff. The control has been an issue all year.
I've got the Brewers tonight ML -105 for 2.5 units. The line says it all but I think Greinke has a solid performance and the Milwaukee bats get to Timmy. I think the Over 6 is also a good play for this game. Brewers should be able to manage at least 3 or 4 runs tonight but probably more. They've been shut out in their last two games and it's time for a bounceback performance. Milwaukee 1st 5 may also be worth a play.