1. 04-30-12 10:24 AM #1
    RoadDog
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    Take the Astros Tonight

    Houston Astros Career statistics vs. R.A. Dickey
    BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
    Brian Bixler 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 .200 .200 .200 .400
    Travis Buck 3 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 .667 .667 2.000 2.667
    Jason Castro 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 .667 .667 1.000 1.667
    Matt Downs 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 .500 .500 2.000 2.500
    Chris Johnson 14 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 .286 .286 .357 .643
    Carlos Lee 21 8 3 0 1 5 0 2 .381 .381 .667 1.048
    Jed Lowrie 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .500 .333 .500 .833
    Jordan Schafer 7 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 .429 .429 .429 .857
    Chris Snyder 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 .000 .167 .000 .167
    Brett Wallace 11 4 3 0 0 1 0 1 .364 .364 .636 1.000
    Totals 73 26 9 0 3 10 1 6 .356 .360 .603 .963

    Very small sample size, I know. But look deeper into the numbers. Lefties are hitting an even .400 off of Dickey this season. He has a 2.08 era at home and a 7.15 era on the road. He has allowed opposing batters on the road to hit .362 off of him. Last season against the Astros, Dickey was 0-2 with a 6.75 era. In 13.1 innings pitched against Houston he allowed 19 hits, 10 earned runs, 3 home runs and the Astros hit .333 against him. In his one start last season at Minute Maid, Dickey went 5.1 innings giving up 11 hits and 6 earned runs. Astros hit .407 off of him. That pencils out to a 10.13 era. I like the numbers a lot. Bud Norris isn't Cy Young but I think he can throw a quality start tonight while the Astros put up runs.
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  2. 04-30-12 10:27 AM #2
    Bcatswin
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    I think Lee is still out. I was leaning Mets but won't make a play here.
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  3. 04-30-12 10:28 AM #3
    RoadDog
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    Dont care much about Lee. Want left handed bats all throughout the lineup tonight.
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  4. 04-30-12 10:40 AM #4
    No coincidences
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    I lean Astros, but don't like the line move.
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  5. 04-30-12 10:43 AM #5
    RoadDog
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    I dont pay attention to line movement in baseball. Doesnt mean much.
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  6. 04-30-12 10:44 AM #6
    hydrosmak
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    Quote Originally Posted by RoadDog View Post
    I dont pay attention to line movement in baseball. Doesnt mean much.
    I would agree in some respects except for when it crosses from a team being a dog to a favorite.
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  7. 04-30-12 10:47 AM #7
    RoadDog
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    Books readying themselves for the public Mets money coming in at game-time? No one really knows what the movement signifies. I'm just going with the numbers.
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  8. 04-30-12 10:51 AM #8
    jstblaze
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    No, the line is moving toward houston for all the stats the guy listed.

    No lee is huge though. just because he keeps the line moving.
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  9. 04-30-12 11:41 AM #9
    RoadDog
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    Quote Originally Posted by RoadDog View Post
    Books readying themselves for the public Mets money coming in at game-time?
    Public money already coming in on the Mets. Didnt even have to wait until game-time. I like this play.
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  10. 04-30-12 11:44 AM #10
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by RoadDog View Post
    I dont pay attention to line movement in baseball. Doesnt mean much.
    I disagree.

    Plus, the public isn't on the Mets any more than the Astros so far. There's more driving the Mets than just public money.

    74% on Astros RL so far.
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  11. 04-30-12 11:48 AM #11
    RoadDog
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    I dont know where you're seeing those numbers because I see 68% on Mets
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  12. 04-30-12 11:51 AM #12
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by RoadDog View Post
    I dont know where you're seeing those numbers because I see 68% on Mets
    68% on Mets ML.
    74% on Astros +1.5.
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  13. 04-30-12 11:54 AM #13
    crackerjack
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    I liked it this morning before I saw the line. Astros!
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  14. 04-30-12 11:55 AM #14
    RoadDog
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    I dont see how that matters. When it comes to baseball I like to cap games based off of numbers, not line movement. NCAAB was a different animal. Concentrating too much on line movement in baseball will make your head spin and throw you off your game. My opinion, anyways.
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  15. 04-30-12 11:58 AM #15
    crackerjack
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    I agree...I've switched my pick so many times this season because of line movement and been burned more times than not. I don't even look at it anymore...
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  16. 04-30-12 11:59 AM #16
    RoadDog
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    Quote Originally Posted by crackerjack View Post
    I agree...I've switched my pick so many times this season because of line movement and been burned more times than not. I don't even look at it anymore...
    Rather lose a bet when I have the numbers on my side than lose a bet purely based off of line movement.
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  17. 04-30-12 02:08 PM #17
    Betn247
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    Im on the Mets.....
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  18. 04-30-12 03:57 PM #18
    CarpeDime
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    mets 2h but i agree would not take mets on the full game
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  19. 04-30-12 04:06 PM #19
    GUMMO77
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    I feel the last 2 seasons when Dickey has been pitching the line moves for the Mets. The price gets inflated too much when he is on the mound.

    Same with Baltimore last season. The line would move big for them and betters were getting buried all season.
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  20. 04-30-12 04:27 PM #20
    KingJD31
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    not enough at bats to know how they are gonna do against dickey. I remember last year he got fuking torched by them in a day gm hence those stats. Also I no it was in Colorado but Mets offense lit up the scoreboard, no play for me
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  21. 04-30-12 04:33 PM #21
    YOUNGBUCK
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    Line is telling
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  22. 04-30-12 04:37 PM #22
    TC Woods
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    68% on Mets ML.
    74% on Astros +1.5.
    Have a link where the rest of us can see this info?

    Thanks
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  23. 04-30-12 04:41 PM #23
    Madison
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    Knuckablers are hot and cold. When on ride em when not fade. IMHO prior season stats means little, momentum lots. Dickey solid in last? He may be ready for a run. BOL?
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  24. 04-30-12 04:41 PM #24
    ProfaneReality
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    Lee is a donkey, him being out is addition by subtraction
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  25. 04-30-12 05:05 PM #25
    vrksayy
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    How efficient is a knuckleball in 10mph wind? Why is Lowrie batting third? Will Torres leading off tonight matter? Can Norris last a strong seven innings?

    vrksayy's Big Ball plays for 4/30:

    Hou +105 ml, Lad +120 ml
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  26. 04-30-12 05:11 PM #26
    Pete0
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    I took Hou TT ov 3.5 (-125) instead

    Good luck !
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  27. 04-30-12 05:43 PM #27
    RoadDog
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pete0 View Post
    I took Hou TT ov 3.5 (-125) instead

    Good luck !
    Nice. BOL.
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  28. 04-30-12 08:56 PM #28
    Pete0
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    No idea how dickey threw a no hitter for 1st 5


    good 6th inning though !! common one more run !
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  29. 04-30-12 10:04 PM #29
    RoadDog
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    Winner
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