Both pitchers capable of giving up that many runs in one bad inning. Also, they have bad career numbers against opponent. Probably means final will be 1-0 but I think it will be more like 6-4.
I know WHIP is becoming a stat of the past and some advanced stats are much more telling, but Jackson's 0.84 WHIP might be more telling than his 4+ ERA, and the Padres don't exactly have a stellar lineup (dead last in batting average at .211). These stats might point towards the under. However Jackson is 0-3 5.16 ERA in his 3 career starts against the Padres and coming off of a bad start against the Astros where he allowed 5 earned in 5 innings. Volquez is also 1-1 with a 9+ ERA in 2 outings against the Nationals. Those stats would point towards the over.
The funny thing is that it doesn't seem like it, to me at least, but the Padres Over/Under record is 9-8, although the National's is 6-12. I don't see much of a trend/angle here, and the sample size is small.
I don't think I'm making a bet on this, just wanted to give a few pieces of info for those that might.
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padres nats over
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