1. 04-19-12 11:36 AM #1
    Dad
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    Are you guys playing Beat The Streak?

    How are you doing so far?

    My streak is at 8 right now.

    I have Willingham and Kemp today.
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  2. 04-19-12 11:38 AM #2
    yisman
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    yes I am, Dad. Doubling down every day, tend to get a split.
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  3. 04-19-12 11:40 AM #3
    Dad
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    Quote Originally Posted by yisman View Post
    yes I am, Dad. Doubling down every day, tend to get a split.
    My streak should have ended yesterday, Yisman. I picked Ethier and Kemp. Eithier did not get a hit, but I was saved by Scotts so my streak continues.
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  4. 04-19-12 11:43 AM #4
    yisman
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    yeah I also signed up for that weird promo, yet to use it, haven't gotten high enough
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  5. 04-19-12 12:02 PM #5
    GUMMO77
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    I'm at 11 now, but probably jinxed it with this post.

    GL
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  6. 04-19-12 12:03 PM #6
    GUMMO77
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    Kemp? I don't think he hits Wolf very well.

    Maybe he's due.
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  7. 04-19-12 12:07 PM #7
    yisman
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    I have Span and Mauer against Phil Hughes
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  8. 04-19-12 12:22 PM #8
    PhillyFlyers
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    If you double down and one guy gets a hit and the other doesn't, does the streak end?
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  9. 04-19-12 12:24 PM #9
    yisman
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    if you dd and they both get a hit you get 2, so of course it ends if one doesn't.

    good strategy to do it until you have 6 or 8 or something
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  10. 04-19-12 12:33 PM #10
    PhillyFlyers
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    Quote Originally Posted by yisman View Post
    if you dd and they both get a hit you get 2, so of course it ends if one doesn't.

    good strategy to do it until you have 6 or 8 or something
    Thanks man.
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  11. 04-19-12 12:37 PM #11
    face
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    was up to 15. lost yesterday with granderson. starting over.
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  12. 04-19-12 01:13 PM #12
    simplydusty
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    This would be awesome to win, 5.6 million... Got up to 31 two years ago, thought it was a lot then realized it was just over halfway.
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  13. 04-19-12 01:18 PM #13
    GUMMO77
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    31, jezus.
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  14. 04-19-12 01:19 PM #14
    Smutbucket
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    got to 16 and busted....starting over
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  15. 04-19-12 01:25 PM #15
    PhillyFlyers
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    I signed up.

    Got Jeter and Ichiro today.

    Wish me luck.
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  16. 04-19-12 01:56 PM #16
    ClevelandNextYr
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    Quote Originally Posted by yisman View Post
    if you dd and they both get a hit you get 2, so of course it ends if one doesn't.

    good strategy to do it until you have 6 or 8 or something
    Why stop a 8? I'd keep DD unless it was a short board that day. I'm on
    Kemp as well today, other is Jeter
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  17. 04-19-12 02:15 PM #17
    yisman
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    because risking a double digit streak on it is clearly -EV

    the odds are against you. It's not worth risking a double digit streak when either one of two guys failing to get a hit (and one guy getting a hit in a game is rarely above 70%) can torpedo it.

    You double down early, go conservative late. Only reason to dd with a big streak is if it's september and you're running out of chances.
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  18. 04-19-12 02:21 PM #18
    revnecro1273
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    Quote Originally Posted by yisman View Post
    because risking a double digit streak on it is clearly -EV

    the odds are against you. It's not worth risking a double digit streak when either one of two guys failing to get a hit (and one guy getting a hit in a game is rarely above 70%) can torpedo it.

    You double down early, go conservative late. Only reason to dd with a big streak is if it's september and you're running out of chances.
    interesting analysis coming from a dude who put in around half his stack on a marginal hand out of position and if missed the flop would have had to fold
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  19. 04-19-12 02:21 PM #19
    face
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    Quote Originally Posted by yisman View Post
    because risking a double digit streak on it is clearly -EV

    the odds are against you. It's not worth risking a double digit streak when either one of two guys failing to get a hit (and one guy getting a hit in a game is rarely above 70%) can torpedo it.

    You double down early, go conservative late. Only reason to dd with a big streak is if it's september and you're running out of chances.
    they are seperate events though, the hits in different games, i don't follow the advantage you would have by waiting another day, each day. in fact in my thinking it's a disadvantage bc it takes you longer into the season before you bust, giving you less streaks in the season.
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  20. 04-19-12 02:31 PM #20
    yisman
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    Quote Originally Posted by revnecro1273 View Post
    interesting analysis coming from a dude who put in around half his stack on a marginal hand out of position and if missed the flop would have had to fold
    I didn't put half my stack. Since you obviously are unfamiliar with basic arithmetic, you have no business posting in this thread.

    You are incapable of understanding basic probabilities, and are likely mildly retarded.
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  21. 04-19-12 05:38 PM #21
    revnecro1273
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    Quote Originally Posted by yisman View Post
    I didn't put half my stack. Since you obviously are unfamiliar with basic arithmetic, you have no business posting in this thread.

    You are incapable of understanding basic probabilities, and are likely mildly retarded.

    okay...around 35 percent of your stack...so basically you were giving away 35 percent of your stack if you didn't hit the flop...which the majority of the times you will not...like you said earlier a10 not that good from that position but yet call a re raise with really no plan once the flop comes
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  22. 04-19-12 05:49 PM #22
    yisman
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    Absolutely wrong. You are completely off base as usual.
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  23. 04-19-12 06:13 PM #23
    TheAntFather
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dad View Post
    My streak should have ended yesterday, Yisman. I picked Ethier and Kemp. Eithier did not get a hit, but I was saved by Scotts so my streak continues.
    Yes sir, my streak is up to 7 and I have Jeter today. Jeter is seeing the ball well off right handed pitchers right now. The pitcher Jeter is facing gives up alot of hits versus right handers. Weird, but I went with it.

    Is anyone interested in making a pack or a group? Just like they do in the lotto, we make a group of 10 or so and split the money. The majority of the cash gos to the winner obviously, while a tiny percentage gos to the rest of the group. I would be down for this, I'm not greedy. I think you are allowed to have a friends list on MLB BTS to see how your friends are doing. Anyone up for this?
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  24. 04-19-12 07:36 PM #24
    TheAntFather
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    Nice, Jeter got a single in the 2nd inning. No sweat tonight, congrats on all the Jeter backers. My streak is up to 8 now.
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  25. 04-19-12 08:22 PM #25
    ThaTopMoron
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    usually a Dad thread leads to me beating something else... but this time he tells me to beat the streak, signing up tonight! 56 sounds easy, just going to pick players on teams batting vs the Indians
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  26. 04-20-12 10:30 AM #26
    Dad
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dad View Post
    How are you doing so far?

    My streak is at 8 right now.

    I have Willingham and Kemp today.
    Willingham got a hit and Kemp got 2 hits.

    My streak is at 10.

    Going with Pujols and Kendrick today.
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  27. 04-20-12 10:34 AM #27
    HoulihansTX
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    Stay away from the Angels
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  28. 04-20-12 10:42 AM #28
    Dad
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    I took out Kendrick. Sticking with only Pujols today.
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  29. 04-20-12 10:45 AM #29
    yisman
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    Wednesday went with Yankees
    Thursday went with Twins
    Friday going with Red Sox

    at 4, aiming for 6.
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  30. 04-20-12 10:58 AM #30
    PhillyFlyers
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    Trying out a new system today based on a theory.
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  31. 04-21-12 04:38 AM #31
    TheAntFather
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    Dam, Rafael Furcal made me sweat tonight. He got a double in his last at bat to bring my streak to 9 games.
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  32. 04-21-12 05:33 AM #32
    crackerjack
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    There are tons of people in with streaks in the 20s. Did anyone win last year? Seems like it might be tough to catch up...
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  33. 04-21-12 06:09 AM #33
    genghis518
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    me too! i'm at streak 13. looking at brandon phillips today 10-28 lifetime vs maholm.
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  34. 04-21-12 06:45 PM #34
    yisman
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    Quote Originally Posted by crackerjack View Post
    There are tons of people in with streaks in the 20s. Did anyone win last year? Seems like it might be tough to catch up...
    no one has ever 'won', because winning means that phony grand prize. It's like the perfect bracket thing, no one is going to do it and they know that. No one in the history of the game has even come close.

    I'm at 7. Boston hit for me yesterday and I only took one today because I wasn't going to be on in the morning. Took Jeter.
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  35. 06-05-12 08:02 PM #35
    DemoralizdDreamr
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    Anyone playing this??
    My best is 20 this year. Anyone get 25 plus?
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