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Fade the ASStros season thread
**all lines pulled from VI.com**
been a dog all 11 games so far this season. hypothetically starting with $200.....
had you faded every game, betting $50 a game, you would be sitting at a balance of $262.50
and for shits and giggles the over has hit 9 of 11 times.
I think you'd make more betting PIT team total under every game. You'd certainly be risking less.
God bless.
May want to consider fading the Padres at the moment, last place and they have the phillies, nationals and giants in the next three series
under is 9-2. will keep an eye on itOriginally Posted by keyboarding
they, along with KC are another ones im keeping my eye onMay want to consider fading the Padres at the moment, last place and they have the phillies, nationals and giants in the next three series
last year houston didn't string together a winning streak of more then 4 games. and that was maybe 3-4 times. their longest losing streak was 7 with about 7-8 streaks of 4 or 5.
Fade the Cubs. Love them, but my god they can't win games. They can't score typically and their bullpen is awful. Even if the starting pitcher does keep them close, the bullpen blows it immediately.
ASStros blow it in the bottom of the 8th!!
Balance $312.50
One of the Astros sells insurance with me. He plays for the Stros to supplement his income.
2 runs tonight makes it 10-2.
you might be on to something here KB
-155 today
$312.50 balance
77.50/50
Last edited by blackbeSSt; 04-19-12 at 08:16 AM.
I've been tinkering with a system and noticed the trend. Equally as trendy is DET team total over at home, but overs are always risky in case of injury and whatnot.you might be on to something here KB
-155 today
$312.50 balance
77.50/50
God bless.
4/19=loser
$235 balance
-125 today
62.50/50
also, o/u at 8 for pitt game.
under hits again in the pitt game. now 11-2
asstros games pending.
Edit: KB I just realized you meant Pitts team total, not game total. I'm not sure about the tt but game totals are cashing with the under!
Last edited by blackbeSSt; 04-20-12 at 09:22 PM.
winner winner!
balance $285
-200 today
100/50
I did mean team totals. I'm sure the games are going under as well since PIT hardly musters 3 runs but to limit variance I stick with fading their brutal offense.under hits again in the pitt game. now 11-2
asstros games pending.
Edit: KB I just realized you meant Pitts team total, not game total. I'm not sure about the tt but game totals are cashing with the under!
yeah i just realized last night that you meant pitts TT. i've been keeping up with the actual game total. both seem to be good plays right now
winner
balance $335
also the pitt game and tt went under again. i think thats 12-2 on game unders so far
is Wandy Rodriguez a threat to shut down the Dodgers?
and is Billingsley fo' real?
Wandy's play last year means you have to respect his game but even if he keeps LAD to 1-3 runs, his offense can't muster anything.
and they throw up 10, so far, runs today. oh well.
$267.50 balance
and as an aside, the pitt tt and game total both went under.....again
$267.50 balance
4/23
-230
115/50
**pitt game total 7.5 and tt hasn't been released yet (game total is 13-2 on the under so far)
good luck fading the astros the next few days
i have a hard time believing they will even win 1 game in milwaukee
good luck fading the astros the next few days
i have a hard time believing they will even win 1 game in milwaukee
agreed. but for the time being im just tracking it. just decided to make up the $200 starting balance and bets of $50. just wanna see how far it can either go, or how long before it goes bust. i don't think the latter will happen though
winner yesterday
balance $317.50
-135 today
67.50/50
pitt game total u7.5 and tt not posted yet
winnar yesterday
balance $367.50
-200 today
100/50
Went big on Over 8 last night w/Stros/Milw since Wolf sucks too. Spreading the wealth works pretty well for the NFL....pretty sad for baseball when teams like Houston, KC, Oakland, etc. are basically eliminated in April
I think it's safe to not only bet PIT team totals under all season but also chasing the losses. It seems the team is incapable of scoring more than 3 runs in consecutive games.
Same goes for the Mets.
loser yesterday
$267.50
as unders in pitt games are 15-3 on the year. kb you might be onto something as well with chasing. will also keep an eye on the mets
Houston is already eliminated because of years of mismanagement by their front office (i.e. not going over slot for draft picks, giving up draft picks in exchange for average free agents and giving said free agents huge deals, making questionable trades, closing their Venezuelan facility, etc...) not because of economic disparity of MLB. That being said they actually have a positive run differential.
Kansas City is a talented team whose record doesn't reflect the quality of baseball they've played thus far and will be much more competitive going forward.
I'm not as familiar with Oakland's dilemma, but you may actually have a point there.
$267.50 balance
-147 today
73.50/50
just a reminder that the pitt game totals are 15-3 this season
loser yesterday
$194 balance
-200 today
100/50
winner!
$244
i'll just add a damned spreadsheet and make it easier!
PIT scored season high last game, took them for under 3 against Wainwright.
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