1. 04-17-12 02:17 AM #1
    Smutbucket
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    A promising look system TRACKD

    been doing a lot of number crunching and think I developed a little system that seems to be looking pretty freaking good. only has maybe 1 play a day, once had 2, sometimes none, started it on 4/13 and its been 5-0. on 4/13 plays were yanks (-140), orioles (+175), on 4/14 was texas (-160), on 4/15 was arizona (-110) and yesterday was heavy juice but was the angels (-210).....so its gone 5-0....(if you look at my thread they were always my biggest unit plays) anyways Im making this thread in order to track it for a couple weeks (no I wont be counting the ones that already won) anyways feel free to tail or fade....I really have high hopes for this "system" if you call it that, its basically me just running the numbers for all the games combined with criteria I learned from watching games and certain pitchers....anyways hope this works out. I know this last week its helped me a lot....lets see if this can continue.....

    (I will just use this thread for the system plays, I will continue to use my other thread for all my plays)

    havent ran numbers for tomorows game, won't do it till tomorrow afternoon....
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  2. 04-17-12 07:46 AM #2
    MarkTX
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    Good luck man!
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  3. 04-17-12 09:29 AM #3
    Aztec Empire2
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    Good Luck$$$
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  4. 04-17-12 04:26 PM #4
    Smutbucket
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    k. There's actually two plays today. I watch both these pitchers and like them a lot. my boy Gio lost a lot of shitty 0-1, 0-2 games in oakland last year. and Romero always impressed me (hopefully 1st bad start was just nerves) anyways units will vary 1-5 based on how well they fit the system criteria....

    4/17/12
    Washington (-175) risking 5.25 units to win 3u
    Blue Jays (-145) risking 2.9 units to win 2 u
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  5. 04-17-12 09:15 PM #5
    Smutbucket
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    w00t w00t. good 1st "official" day....cash em both, 2-0 +5 units

    remeber fortune favors the prepared mind.
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  6. 04-17-12 10:03 PM #6
    slambam
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    Good start, might have to tail this.
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  7. 04-18-12 05:53 PM #7
    Smutbucket
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    4/18/12

    Texas (-110) risking 3.3 units to win 3 units
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  8. 04-18-12 09:33 PM #8
    Smutbucket
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    cash texas. 1-0 + 3units

    system ytd: 3-0 +8 units....

    im so on fire right now in baseball its not even funny. wasnt trying to go to crazy in start of season and only put $150 in my betus account. right now its at 650 and still got money on cards....and over in oak/laa....

    ive noticed that my success in betting directly correlates to the amount of time I put in (go figure) now that I always making good money every day I am more excited and spend more time looking at numbers . disciplined betting and hard work = key to success.
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  9. 04-18-12 09:55 PM #9
    dzuke155
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    Nice job!!!!! Going to start tailing. Let's make some serious money starting tomorrow. You going to post plays daily? Again nice job!!!!!!
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  10. 04-18-12 10:09 PM #10
    Smutbucket
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    ya, but I wait for the starting lineups to come out in afternoon so usually takes me a bit, will usually be able to get the plays out a lot sooner (only reason today I posted at 6:55pm is because I had a bunch of other stuff going on) but I will usually have them in around an hr before game time....
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  11. 04-19-12 05:27 PM #11
    Smutbucket
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    4/19/12

    Today is Blue Jays (-135). only risking 1.35 u to win 1 ...... imma start doing writeups too just been real busy last 2 days
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  12. 04-19-12 10:36 PM #12
    Smutbucket
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    well I dont expect to win every bet and I dont expect a team to win with 21 LOB....seems to be new trend for the jays....amyways tomorrows another day, to win back losses, pissed at myself for being afraid to take king felix against shitty ass tomlin, im surprised they havent scored more runs. i will fade tomlin in future.
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  13. 04-19-12 10:36 PM #13
    Smutbucket
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    Ytd: 3-1 +6.35
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  14. 04-20-12 07:12 AM #14
    dzuke155
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    Yeah man cannot expected to win them all. Let's get our money back today afternoon or evening games. Let's roll!!!!
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  15. 04-20-12 12:57 PM #15
    Smutbucket
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    damn actually glad i didnt take felix since they blew it in the 9th.....ha....i dont see how tomlin won. wish I woulda watched it. yea I gotta be more conservative next time on betting pitchers I havent seen (alvarez) just went off the numbers....nothing in afternoon....waiting for lineups for evening games but may look like a pass...
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  16. 04-20-12 05:00 PM #16
    Smutbucket
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    4/20/12

    Stlouis (-140) risking 4.2 units to win 3 units - really like them today, been hiting well, mortons numbers about to show their real value, terrible, lynn will hold the pirates bats to a couple runs
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  17. 04-20-12 08:51 PM #17
    Smutbucket
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    win. YTD: 4-1 +9.35 u
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  18. 04-21-12 05:19 PM #18
    Smutbucket
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    a lil lean on dodgers (-190) but not a system play, i didnt put enough time to call qualify.
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  19. 04-22-12 10:45 AM #19
    Smutbucket
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    so far just one....this caught my eye last night at -135, ran the numbers and the numbers agree....

    4/22/12
    Reds -150 risking 4.5 to win 3 units
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  20. 04-22-12 04:34 PM #20
    Smutbucket
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    win. YTD: 5-1 +12.35 units
    Points Awarded:

    dzuke155 gave Smutbucket 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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  21. 04-22-12 06:50 PM #21
    Dom177
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    Good job sir keep it rollin!
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  22. 04-23-12 06:17 AM #22
    dzuke155
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    Great job again man!! Let's keep rolling in the $$$$$
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  23. 04-23-12 02:21 PM #23
    Smutbucket
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    just starting to rent a new place on palm beach. taking day off to relax, go to beach its way better living 1min away then 20min.... didnt look like it was gonna have a system play anyways but im not gonna look to heavy into them...of course ill have a little action, ill lazily follow a few other people i trust picks today but thats what we call a day off, i got a 60 inch tv hooked up to my laptop now so lets see if my capping abilities improve with more screen surface means more good quality info right?

    thanks for encouraging words they motivate more to make this thread profit
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  24. 04-23-12 04:01 PM #24
    cmaulsby
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    Been tailing for the past week and check in every day. Keep up the good work.
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  25. 04-23-12 06:05 PM #25
    joco
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    Nice work dan..buf im gonna beat u in both of our contests
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  26. 04-23-12 06:23 PM #26
    Smutbucket
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    ha, pssh imma be smarter this contest, not make 5-6 plays a day.....how the hell you get 1500 pts?! u playing other contests and shit or just loyalty points?
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  27. 04-24-12 04:45 PM #27
    Smutbucket
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    got caught up doing some work putting up a barn at my friends house. just got home. not enough time to give a fair play for system....sigh....
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  28. 04-24-12 04:48 PM #28
    Dom177
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    Tigers ML or -1...there's a freebie for ya
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  29. 04-24-12 06:18 PM #29
    joco
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    Jus posting and winning a contest here n there bud. And im on the tigers as well dom...even wit the juice
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  30. 04-26-12 12:29 PM #30
    Smutbucket
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    No play yesterday or today.. ughh sucks cuz im itching to make one but gotta hold off....

    in patient times I like to think of one of my favorite quotes from the show "boardwalk empire"...

    "Ive made my living, in large part as a gambler, some days I make 20 bets, some days I make none, their are weeks, sometimes months in fact I dont make a bet at all, because there is no play, so I wait, plan, matial my resources...and when I finally see an opportunity and there is a bet to make, I bet it all
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  31. 04-27-12 05:25 PM #31
    Smutbucket
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    4/27
    angels (-155) risking 1.55 units to win 1 unit
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  32. 04-28-12 12:54 PM #32
    Smutbucket
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    lame loss in end of game but what you gonna do? Im gonna start implementing some First five inning bets for games like this one.....i.e. bet heavily based on SP's and team has terrible bullpen like the angels....they gave up so many Hits to clevland...

    next day. 4/28 2 today (one with juice but what you gonna do)
    reds (-200) risking 4 units to win 2 units
    red sox (-110) risking 3.3units to win 3 units
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  33. 04-28-12 12:55 PM #33
    Smutbucket
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    also if you want two lil system leans and get less juice on reds
    first five innings red -1/2 at -140
    detroit first five innings +105
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  34. 04-28-12 09:01 PM #34
    Smutbucket
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    cash em both.

    correction to my previous YTD stats there was a correctopn it was . 5-1 +12.35 units it was 5-1 +12.65 units (simply made wrong subtraction when torontol loss) so with corrected recod new YTD: 7-2 +16.1 units

    if mets and texas hold on tonight stay tuned for an epic story (with screenshots) of how crazy my bankroll has changed in last week....
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  35. 04-29-12 08:20 AM #35
    Smutbucket
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    Lets hit it today. after saturday night I bet about half my acct on tilt and lost I was at $5, I deposited another $110, yesterday morning and now its up to $758.....putting 300 down on good ole cubbies.....lets break a stack!

    4/29/12
    Chicago Cubs (-110) risking 3.3 units to win 3 units
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