1. 04-13-12 07:12 AM #1
    stevenash
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    8 Good Reasons to Back the Orioles Tonight at +172

    1) Orioles can rake with the best.

    2) Don't fall in love with Morrow's opener, it was a) Cleveland b) 20 degrees below zero in Cleveland (not really, just felt it though)

    3) Morrow did walk three, while striking out only three against Cleveland, and needed almost 110 pitches across seven innings doing that.

    4) Gave up that big fly to Kippins.

    5) Adam Jones, Nick Markakis, and to a lesser extent, Nolan Reinold has hit Morrow in the past pretty well.

    6) *pay attention* JJ Hardy has three at bats versus Morrow, two homers, as Meatloaf once sang "two out of three ain't bad"

    7) Tommy Hunter's opener versus the Twins was more impressive than Morrow's opener, Hunter pitched seven shut out innings, yielding six hits, walking one.

    8) Blue Jays are only 31 for 154 lifetime versus Hunter (.250) and the big boys can't touch him. Bautista is 3 for 17 no homers (.176)
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  2. 04-13-12 07:14 AM #2
    stevenash
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    If it goes down, it goes down, but I am seeing a ton of value there.
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  3. 04-13-12 07:47 AM #3
    fergie's balls
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    Agreed good value but I would be wary Jays big bats about to wake up, and Morrow is a real breakout this year I think he learns to harness it more. Line is perfect imo.
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  4. 04-13-12 08:48 AM #4
    EXhoosier10
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    Only team hitting worse than the Blue Jays so far this year is the Pirates. O's are the play today
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  5. 04-13-12 09:31 AM #5
    stevenash
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    I can't resist the big plus money with the O's here Hoosier.
    Let's start the weekend off right !
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  6. 04-13-12 09:40 AM #6
    jstblaze
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    especially after a couple losses to the yanks, o's lookin to get back on track.
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  7. 04-13-12 09:56 AM #7
    JMobile
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    ....
    Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 03-12-15 at 11:01 AM. Reason: image does not exist
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  8. 04-13-12 10:05 AM #8
    jbess
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    ^ lol wtf
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  9. 04-13-12 10:13 AM #9
    stevenash
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    ^
    I think he likes the play

    lol
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  10. 04-13-12 10:38 AM #10
    JMobile
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    LOL, I do guys. Nash, you convinced me so I'm considered IN with the gif. haha
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  11. 04-13-12 10:53 AM #11
    stevenash
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    The numbers say it's a bargain JM, but the game is played on the field, not on paper.
    Good luck to you too.
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  12. 04-13-12 11:03 AM #12
    Big Bear
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    careful on this game guys.. its a coin flip. if i had to make a play on this game I would bet on the Blue Jays -180 for Morrow is way too much juice. Morrow has great stuff but he is very inconsistent. For me to put money on him he is going to have to show some consistency.
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  13. 04-13-12 11:06 AM #13
    BetterBizness
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    Good write up!
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  14. 04-13-12 11:17 AM #14
    stevenash
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    ^
    Thank you sir
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  15. 04-13-12 11:28 AM #15
    OMGRandyJackson
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    lol at first I thought you really do not like Morrow hah.

    A few things to note tho:

    While you say the Jays cant hit Hunter, he is 1-3 in 6 starts vs the Jays with a 6.75 era.

    In '11 he went 0-2 with a 5.57 era in 21ip vs the Jays.

    He is 0-2 with a 6.32 era at Rogers Center.

    In '11 he tossed 8.2 innings at the Rogers Center with 1 start going 0-1 with a 4.15 era.
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  16. 04-13-12 11:32 AM #16
    stevenash
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    ^
    Two sides of every coin, you can fade me, it's all good
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  17. 04-13-12 11:44 AM #17
    OMGRandyJackson
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    Im still undecided, I think you brought up some great points, I just wanted to post a bit on Hunter.

    Im leaning the o8.5 at -102. What are your thoughts on that?
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  18. 04-13-12 11:46 AM #18
    stevenash
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    Total is pretty much a flip if you ask me.
    The game is a flip too, but whenever I can get +170 on a flip, I'm all over it.
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  19. 04-13-12 11:51 AM #19
    OMGRandyJackson
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    Yea I agree completely that Orioles look good in this spot at +170.
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  20. 04-13-12 11:52 AM #20
    OMGRandyJackson
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    btw its +175 at Pinnalce
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  21. 04-13-12 12:02 PM #21
    kfranz31
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    good info add to a parlay
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  22. 04-13-12 03:46 PM #22
    LostBankroll
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    My Baltimore Os win tonight. Im still pissed they changed back to the old logos.
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  23. 04-13-12 03:50 PM #23
    hels
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    The Jays are finding ways to win but there isn't any value in them being favored so heavily. You gotta take Baltimore or stay away.
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  24. 04-13-12 03:58 PM #24
    Bluedragon
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    I will be at the game tonight. My initial thoughts were O's but looking over the numbers and past match ups, i may take the over or no play. Morrow needs to show us fans that he's the real deal though. first friday night game here of the season, place will be buzzin' (for a jays game lol). Bautista sucks against Hunter but he's not the only bat we have. some of the dormant bats are likely to wake up soon. ahh, i like your value Mr. Nash but as someone here said, jays are finding ways to win.
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  25. 04-13-12 04:04 PM #25
    k2ku
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    Morrow is a bum. Got some on the over
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  26. 04-13-12 04:04 PM #26
    Bluedragon
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    i'm also kind of torn because of this (possibly) silly reason...i completely ignored the numbers today that Indians put up against Hochevar, so I backed the Royals, and then they went and put up 7 on him in the first. I am afraid that if I now take O's thinking "ok, i ignored the numbers before and got raped, I'm gonna play the numbers", I will get raped again. those types of situations always work out for me in that bad way. I don't play a situation i should have played and lose, so then next go around I play that situation the way i should have the first time around, and it goes the OTHER way. fuk me
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  27. 04-13-12 04:08 PM #27
    MJT1212
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    if this games a coin flip bear then we need to jump on orioles hard at +172, no need to be careful with those odds
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  28. 04-13-12 04:58 PM #28
    ebbearsfb1
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    questionable at saying hunters first game was more impressive than morrows


    morrow gave up one hit.


    neither team faced good line ups ..


    would

    take orioles +2.5


    at almost the same odds you could take jays ml


    jays win 5-3
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  29. 04-13-12 05:31 PM #29
    govolz
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    I'm on o let's go boysssss
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  30. 04-13-12 05:43 PM #30
    MagicDiceFlow
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    nice write up and excellent angle on the game Stevie ....I'm on O's with ya here.
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  31. 04-13-12 05:44 PM #31
    Living The Dream
    Looks like an Underdog Week 2!
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    I am half unit on 2 great dogs tonight, Os and Astros
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  32. 04-13-12 06:18 PM #32
    stevenash
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    O's with a scratch run in the first.
    Imperative Hunter puts up a goose egg in his half now.
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  33. 04-13-12 06:56 PM #33
    MagicDiceFlow
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    There we go ...O's grab the lead back...we need to jump on those first pitches.....I notice Morrow serves up grapefruits on most of his first pitches.
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  34. 04-13-12 07:10 PM #34
    govolz
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    Two errors in an inning... But lookin good so far
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  35. 04-13-12 07:17 PM #35
    MagicDiceFlow
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    O's lineup is hitting Morrow hard ....just getting unlucky , hitting them deep but outs....solo shot though as I type.
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