[ebbearsfb1]

Will be posting plays in here.. feel free to add ideas or whatever... have a few different mm systems will post them when I get the chance... will first post my futures

[ebbearsfb1]

will add these to record at end of the season..

1) under 63 astros minus 130 risk 325 to win 250.

2) under 63 astros minus 135 risk 337.5 to win 250.

3) under 90.5 red sox minus 150 risk 375 to win 250.

4) under 69.5 orioles minus 120 risk 300 to win 250.

5) under 75.5 white sox minus 115 risk 230 to win 200.

6) over 86.5 rays minus 130 325 to win 250.

7) over 73.5 padres minus 120 120 to win 100

. 8) over 72.5 mets minus 120 120 to win 100

. 9) padres to win nl west 100 to win 2000.

10) rays to win al east 100 to win 500.

11) rays to win al 100 to win 900

[ebbearsfb1]

Will clean up the thread better when I'm off my phone... play 1... over 7.5 cardinals/marlins (system 2 totals) play x risk 100 to win 110.

[ebbearsfb1]

Play 2.. cards ml plus 165. 200 wins 330... considering playing every dog in april as its been successful in the past. And 2 of the ideas I'm looking at take a month to get data anyway.. might play all dogs.. and focus on totals and props

[Dexter]

Good Luck with the season

[ebbearsfb1]

Thanks dex .. first full season... good luck to you as well

[ebbearsfb1]

System 2 33% money management system
The Rules
1) Make only one bet a day following the predetermined amount in the series which are x, 2x, 4x, 6x, 8x, 12.5x. X is your unit value.
2) As soon as you make a profit, collect your winning and start a new series. That means if you win bet #1 or bet #2 or bet #3, you make a profit and stop the session.
3) When you start to win after bet #3, follow the predetermined amounts in the series until you show a profit. You will only need to win 2 games within 6.
4) If you didn’t win within the first 5 games (0-5), stop the series and accept the losses. You only have to recoup your losses and split your remaining bankroll in 4 parts. Then, you can start a new session with a new unit value.

System 18 MLB (start first day of may)
3 Rules to follow:
1) You must eliminate the game where the underdog has lost 3 or more games in a row or the favorite has won 3 or more games in a row. Remember that every baseball team face some long losing streaks as well as long winning streaks.
2) Eliminate games where the money line for the underdog are higher then 2.50 (+150). If this is the case, there is a reason and you must avoid these games.
3) Eliminate games where the underdog is facing a very good pitcher. If they’re facing a pitcher who’s in the top 20 of the MLB, move on to another selection. You can use any newspaper as well as a lot of web sites to have access to this information. www.tsn.com is a good one. The pitchers standing must be according to earned-run average (ERA).
System 19 MLB (may) and System 4 Money Management
You will simply look at the odds for each team and you’ll assign a number to each team. The number for each team will be the difference between the real Pct that a team is playing for compared to the odds that the lines makers have assigned to the team.
Do these for both teams
Record Percentage
Real Odds = 1 / (teams win %)
Live Odds= Actual Odds
Difference = Live Odds – Real Odds
Bet underdogs with those amounts over 1.00
ATTENTION: My advice to you would be to eliminate the games where the odds on the underdog is over 3.50 (+250).
Summary System 4
1) First, you have to place a first bet to the predetermined amount.

These amounts are $X, $2X, $3X, $5X, $8.5X, $14X, $23X, 39X.
2) If you win your first bet, stop the series and start another one.
3) If you lose your first bet and win the second bet with the predetermined amount of $2X in the series, you stop and put the profit into your bankroll. You start another series.
4) If you’ve lost your first 2 bets, you will move up 1 series amount after each loss and down 1 series amount after each win. So if you lose your second bet, your third bet will be for $3X. If you win your third bet, your fourth bet will be for $2X. Your goal now is to win any games within 3 games.
5) Now, you keep moving up one amount after each loss and moving down one amount after each win until you win 2 bets out of any 3. When you have reached this goal, you made a profit and you start a new series with the first amount of $10.

[ebbearsfb1]

looks like a

1-1 start up 230


good start with the cards win



for the first month... i think i may play every dog, until their is enough starts for pitchers and teams to get a hang of anything else...

will use the system 2 for totals..


lost game play x so will be on 2x next play.

[ebbearsfb1]

116344197-1	4/4/12 10:13pm	$200.00	$312.00		Pending	4/5/12 1:35pm Reduced Baseball 904 Pittsburgh Pirates +156* vs Philadelphia Phillies (R Halladay - R must Start E Bedard - L must Start)
116344197-2	4/4/12 10:13pm	$200.00	$292.00		Pending	4/5/12 2:20pm Reduced Baseball 906 Chicago Cubs +146* vs Washington Nationals (S Strasburg - R must Start R Dempster - R must Start)
116344197-3	4/4/12 10:13pm	$200.00	$272.00		Pending	4/5/12 4:05pm Reduced Baseball 907 Miami Marlins +136* vs Cincinnati Reds (M Buehrle - L must Start J Cueto - R must Start)
116344197-4	4/4/12 10:13pm	$200.00	$282.00		Pending	4/5/12 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 910 San Diego Padres +141* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (C Kershaw - L must Start E Volquez - R must Start)
116344197-5	4/4/12 10:13pm	$200.00	$264.00		Pending	4/5/12 1:05pm Reduced Baseball 911 Boston Red Sox +132* vs Detroit Tigers (J Lester - L must Start J Verlander - R must Start)
116344197-6	4/4/12 10:13pm	$200.00	$220.00		Pending	4/5/12 3:05pm Reduced Baseball 914 Cleveland Indians +110* vs Toronto Blue Jays (R Romero - L must Start J Masterson - R must Start)

[ebbearsfb1]

Play 2x on totals over 7 braves/mets

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Wow you took every single dog tomorrow? You just totally disregarded that huge paragraph about systems you posted lol.

[Full Time Hobo]

ebbears has a thread!
Good luck man!
What happened to 1 play a day

[ebbearsfb1]

Haha.. one play a day maybe when we get more into the system... d3 I'm gonna look into each of those systems starting may 1st... I think you need a few starts from everyone to see how they really perform

[ebbearsfb1]

Looks like we got some good lines on most of the dogs

[ebbearsfb1]

Add tigers to score first plus 105... 50 to win 52.5... not sure how often you will get this at plus money... plan on running a labby with this

[ebbearsfb1]

another thing I'm looked at is yankees minus 1.5 at home.... last year. If u did a chase it would of been 22 and 4... 3 of the series loses were to the sox... um wonder if it is profitable though..

[ebbearsfb1]

Well cash tigers to score first... dogs look like poop today.. no runs... boring ass games

[ebbearsfb1]

Might lay off totals for first month... pathetic offense today

[ebbearsfb1]

yup

dogs are the way to go in april my ass


gonna be 0-6 today..


terrible bullpens... gagging games away...

no wonder i've never seriously bet this garbage..


no pathetics for terrible hitting and bullpens that cant get out of their own way

[ebbearsfb1]

Well done with idea... yup dogs are the way to go.. hahaha 0 and 6... ******* scrubs... hate baseball seems like just a waste of money

[ebbearsfb1]

got killed today lost, every play put in...

all favorites one,

you know how that goes though, play favorites tomorrow and dogs win

[SASH]

how do you go 0-6 in mlb in a single day?? Even I tried I couldnt do that in mlb, and on opening day which is one of the easier days to cash in on in the mlb calender. Wow, amazing. Get em next time edbears

[ebbearsfb1]

how do you go 0-6 in mlb in a single day?? Even I tried I couldnt do that in mlb, and on opening day which is one of the easier days to cash in on in the mlb calender. Wow, amazing. Get em next time edbears

well when all dogs lose.. it ends up being pretty easy

everyone says play dogs play dogs


then you see threads everyone plays favorites

[ebbearsfb1]

April 4^th, 2012
1) Over 7.5 Cardinals/Marlins (System 2 Totals) Play X Risk 100 to Win 110
2) Saint Louis Cardinals ML +165 vs. Miami Marlins (Dogs in April) Risk 200 to Win 330
1-1 Up 230
April 5^th, 2012
3) Pittsburgh Pirates ML +156 vs. Philadelphia Phillies (Home) Risk 200 to Win 312

4) Chicago Cubs ML +146 vs. Washington Nationals (Home) Risk 200 to Win 292

5) Miami Marlins ML +136 vs. Cincinnati Reds (Away) Risk 200 to Win 272

6) San Diego Padres ML +141 vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (Home) Risk 200 to Win 282

7) Boston Red Sox ML +132 vs. Detroit Tigers (Away) Risk 200 to Win 264

8) Cleveland Indians ML +110 vs. Toronto Blue Jays (Home) Risk 200 to Win 220

9) Tigers +105 to score first vs. Red Sox Risk 50 to Win 52.5

10) Over 7 Braves/Mets (Systems 2 Totals) Play 2x Risk 200 to Win 210
2-8 Down 1117.5



not sure if im gonna continue to play dogs all april or what..


going to lower the bet size though.... 200 is only 1% of the bankroll but playing 15 games a team will be too much gonna lower it to 50.



seems like chasing with my props would be successful have to wait and see

[SASH]

well when all dogs lose.. it ends up being pretty easy

everyone says play dogs play dogs


then you see threads everyone plays favorites

whoever told you to take dogs at the rate your taking them in the mlb is just plain dumb, and you should not be associating yourself with or conversing with such people

[ebbearsfb1]

whoever told you to take dogs at the rate your taking them in the mlb is just plain dumb, and you should not be associating yourself with or conversing with such people

all dogs in april won over 30 units last month... cant be that dumb...

im gonna cut it down to just home teams for my sake of time


but a play here or there in the games today and could of been 4-2 or better

[ebbearsfb1]

Home Dogs
+100 to +180: 55-51 51.89%
+100 to +165: 55-48 53.40%
+100 to +155: 54-47 53.47%
+100 to +150: 54-47 53.47%
+100 to +145: 52-47 52.53%
+100 to +140: 51-47 52.04%
+100 to +135: 50-44 53.19%
+100 to +130: 48-43 52.75%


Data from Veg*sIns*der



looks like tomorrow tampa, astros are only home dogs

[SASH]

live your life accordingly bears, good luck to whatever you decide on

[ebbearsfb1]

Small dent today.. probably should of waited to start a thread till I see what works best for me.. thanks good luck sash.... well time to ponder

[ebbearsfb1]

Wonder what kind of money could be made fading the orioles and astros? Maybe use a labby line

[ebbearsfb1]

$57.50

$50.00

Pending

4/6/12 2:00pm Props Baseball 1960 TEX scores first -115* vs CWS scores first

starting a labby with this..


gonna need to grind our way out of this opening day mess.

[ebbearsfb1]

April 6th, 2012
11) Rangers to Score 1st Labby Risk 57.5 to Win 50
12) Minnesota Twins ML +108 vs. Baltimore Orioles (Orioles Fade) Risk 200 to Win 216
Tigers to Score first Labby
x-25-25-x
25-25-25-25

Rangers to Score 1st
25-25-25-25
25-25-25-25

Orioles Fade
100-100-100-100
100-100-100-100

[ebbearsfb1]

Rangers score first

[ebbearsfb1]

you bet your ass orioles will win a 100 games this year if i fade them..


unreal scrub pitcher throwing a gem

[ebbearsfb1]

April 6th, 2012
11) Rangers to Score 1st Labby Risk 57.5 to Win 50
12) Minnesota Twins ML +108 vs. Baltimore Orioles (Orioles Fade) Risk 200 to Win 216
13) Colorado Rockies ML -126 vs. Houston Astros (Astros Fade) Risk 252 to Win 200