Minnesota 46% - The Yankees are going to have real bullpen issues as long as Mariano Rivera is out. Kyle Farnsworth as a closer does not inspire a ton of confidence, and the setup situation will be a notch worse.

Darrell Rasner's likely performance is unclear, and Minnesota starter Matt Garza has settled down a bit after his initial major league shakiness. After the bullpens are involved, however, Minnesota will have a clear advantage, giving them value as an underdog.


Mets 41% - Despite not having multiple big bats in the lineup today, the Mets will still field a reasonable attack, one that is on par with what Houston will send out. Oswalt is strong, but the Mets are keeping Hernandez well rested, and he could easily match Oswalt's performance. In that case, the Mets will again have an edge due to their superior bullpen. Unless Hernandez gets crushed, which is always a possibility, the Mets will have a good chance to win. They are deep enough that they should not be this much of an underdog just because they are missing a few top hitters.