system integrity is back
this is how i will play the system
* pick the biggest favorite of the day, play them -1 run
* minimum of 3 games must be on the schedule for the day
* if the race for the biggest favorite is a tie….pick the game with the highest run total
* pinnacle opening lines are used to select the game
* if a team is posted as the biggest favorite and afterwards there’s pitching change…the play for that day is cancelled
* the system starts on the first day of the season, 5th of april and last play will be august 31st
i will stop at the end of august because 4 years of the 6 years I have data from, september has shown real inconsistent results.
for example last years top team philly lost 6 in a row at home……4 of the 6 was vs lowly washington………..play-off teams are resting player…motivation is questionable etc.
if we have a loss on august 31st…I will play into september and stop immediately after first win in september.
losing streaks
i will deal with losing streaks slightly different compared to last year.
if we have a 3 game losing streak I will split the total up in 4 parts and chase each part back at a time.
if we have a 4 game losing streak I will split the total up in 5 parts and chase each part back at a time.
if we have a 5 game losing streak I will split the total up in 6 parts and chase each part back at a time.
the system has never had a 6 game losing streak based on the 6 years i have in the database.
we should be able generate in the neighborhood of 70 units....that is excluding september.
i suggest the unitsize to be 1% of your total bankroll and not change it throughout the season.
if you have any questions regarding stats just let me know and I will try answer
feel free to post your own version of the system if you play it differently but the daily updates i will post is based on the above way of playing the system.