Dodgers win today, (Large Play of the week), Plus other games.

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  • TimeTraveler75
    SBR Sharp
    • 06-28-16
    • 408

    #1
    Dodgers win today, (Large Play of the week), Plus other games.
    7-1 day yesterday, it continues today.

    Game #1 BAL@LAD, This is the play of the week!!! guys, lock in that ML, if you've got bigger balls then me then take the RL, but for this game, i'm making my pick for the ML @ -150, let's do this the mathematical way! Why? Baltimore has about 50% of public bets on them, yet REAL movement is not occurring, Vegas is not worried!, Dodgers to win.

    Game #2 PIT@STL We take the Cardinals RL -115 in this game, line movements suggest, you can also take the ML @ -150 but i'll make this pick for the RL.

    Game # 3 OAK@MIN Let's take the Twins ML@-115, reading the movements!!

    Game # 4 MIA@NYM I really want the Mets RL here but this reminds me not to be soooo greedy!! we take NYM ML @ -148..


    Game # 5 LAA@TB if you'd ask me for my confidence level on this game, i'd say i'm 70% sure, still good enough. Let's take TB RL +135 wooo, again i wanted ML but making these picks based on the movement.


    Other game, but take caution with this one, small bet, Texas Rangers RL @-125, this line confuses me a lot, but in the end it looks like Vegas is just trying to cover it's potential loss, small bet!

    Other game, better feeling, KC RL -135 vs the Blue Jays, small bet on the Royals.
  • Coolice
    SBR High Roller
    • 03-08-16
    • 238

    #2
    Best of luck today,... good work.
    Comment
    • LetsgoJay
      SBR Hustler
      • 03-16-16
      • 70

      #3
      timetraveler amazing work yesterday!! I had a question for you though.. Are you basing your line movements from current time? What if a line for a game moves at noon but before the 4pm game time the line moves the other way?
      Comment
      • TimeTraveler75
        SBR Sharp
        • 06-28-16
        • 408

        #4
        Originally posted by LetsgoJay
        timetraveler amazing work yesterday!! I had a question for you though.. Are you basing your line movements from current time? What if a line for a game moves at noon but before the 4pm game time the line moves the other way?
        I'm basing it off of what it looks like when i read the movements in the morning, it doesn't matter what way a line moves, just remember that odds makers do this to try to level out the action, actually the earlier you read the movement (the correct way) the better it is so see what side vegas is going with.
        Comment
        • TimeTraveler75
          SBR Sharp
          • 06-28-16
          • 408

          #5
          Every pick i make here counts for my record, even if i mention it's a small bet
          Comment
          • LetsgoJay
            SBR Hustler
            • 03-16-16
            • 70

            #6
            Good luck today TT!!
            Comment
            • Ro0k
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-04-14
              • 678

              #7
              Originally posted by TimeTraveler75
              I'm basing it off of what it looks like when i read the movements in the morning, it doesn't matter what way a line moves, just remember that odds makers do this to try to level out the action, actually the earlier you read the movement (the correct way) the better it is so see what side vegas is going with.
              So you're saying that you basically read the movement from the opening line within the first 8ish hours, and try to decipher which way vegas is trying to even out the money? Like the above poster said, what happens when someone comes in with large money later in the day? There is still another 6.5 hours before the Dodgers start. Just trying to understand a bit better. I read somewhere once that line movements were always the tell all sign but then once internet gambling came along, the books figured out they could move the line a bit and "trick" us into reading the wrong movements.
              Comment
              • vegaschulo
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 05-22-16
                • 957

                #8
                Good work yesterday man I had some of your picks..thanks and keep up the hard work brother!!!
                Comment
                • TimeTraveler75
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 06-28-16
                  • 408

                  #9
                  Thank you everyone!

                  Adding CLE RL@ -115
                  Comment
                  • TimeTraveler75
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 06-28-16
                    • 408

                    #10
                    Adding SEA RL -170 wow lots of juice!! low bet here
                    Comment
                    • Snake24
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-14-14
                      • 2366

                      #11
                      Originally posted by TimeTraveler75
                      Thank you everyone!

                      Adding CLE RL@ -115
                      I like the play. It is now at +105. Can you define the movement, please? Thanks and GL.
                      Comment
                      • vegaschulo
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 05-22-16
                        • 957

                        #12
                        Good work yesterday man I had some of your picks..thanks and keep up the hard work brother!!!
                        Comment
                        • TimeTraveler75
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 06-28-16
                          • 408

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Snake24
                          I like the play. It is now at +105. Can you define the movement, please? Thanks and GL.
                          Don't worry, it's still a green lightt
                          Comment
                          • oChRoNiCo
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-18-09
                            • 2984

                            #14
                            Great work yesterday TT75 I agree with you on NYM, LAD, TEX, CLE, STL and we're battling on OAK/MIN Lets bang home some more winners!
                            Comment
                            • thebestinsj
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 05-24-16
                              • 60

                              #15
                              If I pick two of these plays to parlay, which of the two would you suggest?
                              Comment
                              • KingHawkins
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-18-13
                                • 1311

                                #16
                                tailing on all but TX RL, and gonna go pretty big on LAD if I like what I see after lineups get posted.
                                thanks a ton for posting.
                                Comment
                                • TimeTraveler75
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 06-28-16
                                  • 408

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by oChRoNiCo
                                  Great work yesterday TT75 I agree with you on NYM, LAD, TEX, CLE, STL and we're battling on OAK/MIN Lets bang home some more winners!
                                  Chronic, let's get this brother!!
                                  Comment
                                  • TimeTraveler75
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 06-28-16
                                    • 408

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by thebestinsj
                                    If I pick two of these plays to parlay, which of the two would you suggest?
                                    I don't do parlays, but if you had to, do TB Rays + CLE Indians ML.
                                    Comment
                                    • TimeTraveler75
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 06-28-16
                                      • 408

                                      #19
                                      Guys, Tb Rays RL looking like a stronger play right about now, also the ML is about -180 if you want to hit that up, i really like this play!!
                                      Comment
                                      • RavensFan2k3
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-18-12
                                        • 17378

                                        #20
                                        Hmm starting to like the other side
                                        Comment
                                        • TimeTraveler75
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 06-28-16
                                          • 408

                                          #21
                                          TB Rays loosing 4-1, don't panic yet!!
                                          Comment
                                          • TimeTraveler75
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 06-28-16
                                            • 408

                                            #22
                                            Rays up by 1 now, Royals are a total bust today, waiting to see if the Mets come back from 2-1, Indians doing great, i need 1 more run STL!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • readytowinem
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-29-15
                                              • 3089

                                              #23
                                              Go Dodgers!
                                              Comment
                                              • iloseagain
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 06-29-10
                                                • 10681

                                                #24
                                                Lol.. Lookin like an awful awful night for u..
                                                Comment
                                                • iloseagain
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 06-29-10
                                                  • 10681

                                                  #25
                                                  Cards mets tb kc sea all lose by a mile... I hope ur thirsty cuz ur drinking lots of juice on these plays
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Ro0k
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-04-14
                                                    • 678

                                                    #26
                                                    Never understood the negativity towards one another on a losing night. Shit happens. Doesn't contribute anything to the conversation. The books are the enemy.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Manny0825
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-09-15
                                                      • 1452

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Ro0k
                                                      Never understood the negativity towards one another on a losing night. Shit happens. Doesn't contribute anything to the conversation. The books are the enemy.
                                                      Misery loves company
                                                      Comment
                                                      • blackeyeshamus
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-19-11
                                                        • 6632

                                                        #28
                                                        ⛽️🔥
                                                        Comment
                                                        • finfan88
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-06-11
                                                          • 676

                                                          #29
                                                          Never tail you again
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SeahawkSanders
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 09-30-08
                                                            • 150

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Ro0k
                                                            Never understood the negativity towards one another on a losing night. Shit happens. Doesn't contribute anything to the conversation. The books are the enemy.
                                                            Exactly right. Just makes people look like dbags, probably accurately so.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jtoler
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 12-17-13
                                                              • 30967

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Ro0k
                                                              Never understood the negativity towards one another on a losing night. Shit happens. Doesn't contribute anything to the conversation. The books are the enemy.
                                                              Agreed. TS not sure if youre a new gambler or not just basing on when joined here but if youre only going by whats "provided" by bet percentages then you should find another way to place sides, that aint gonna cut it. Its only percentages which isnt telling anything significant. Books dont know who's gonna win games. Why not cap the teams, pitchers, lineups, bullpen etc. Youll fair better. Stay away from high juiced ml's as anyone can lose on any given day. Like all sports youll fair better if you simply based on value.
                                                              Last edited by jtoler; 07-06-16, 01:10 AM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • spicollifcfd
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 07-03-15
                                                                • 662

                                                                #32
                                                                What he did yesterday wasn't luck and what he did today wasn't bad luck. It was gambling his style his way so let the dude cap how he wants for more than a few days before tellin him the juice ain't worth the squeeze. " may your best of today's be the worst of your tomorrows "
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jtoler
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 12-17-13
                                                                  • 30967

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by spicollifcfd
                                                                  What he did yesterday wasn't luck and what he did today wasn't bad luck. It was gambling his style his way so let the dude cap how he wants for more than a few days before tellin him the juice ain't worth the squeeze. " may your best of today's be the worst of your tomorrows "
                                                                  Wasnt trying to do that, only trying to help. Ive said the logical thing for years here and thats betting percentages mean nothing, not sure why thats so hard to understand. Wish him and everybody the best of luck.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • killer chipmunks
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 01-23-12
                                                                    • 335

                                                                    #34
                                                                    💀💀💀
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • iloseagain
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 06-29-10
                                                                      • 10681

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Ro0k
                                                                      Never understood the negativity towards one another on a losing night. Shit happens. Doesn't contribute anything to the conversation. The books are the enemy.
                                                                      Because he's acting like he's the next best thing sonce sliced bread with his cockiness and acting like he has some special way of handicapping games and just like i told him before, if he thinks this is the way to cap games he will be in for a surprise and that's exactly what happened here
                                                                      Comment
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