Mets 61% - The Mets should have a strong edge here, even though their edge in starting pitching is not as great as it might seem. They should still have a solid lineup advantage, and with a strong bullpen, they are not likely to blow the lead they are likely to get.
Toronto 62% - The inner turmoil of Toronto probably won't have an immediate negative effect on them. They will enjoy a solid edge in starting pitching for this game. Brad Halsey is particularly ill-suited to the circumstances of this game, and he will likely have a mediocre outing at best. Unless Burnett gets hit hard, which is a possibility, but still unlikely, Toronto will have a strong overall edge.