1. #36
    stingyrivers
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    wow, this thread is interesting to me... i have a 1st inning scoreless thread and strategy im gonna start for opening day, but based on your intro, im wondering if it is on the same track as your strategy, either way, i like it and will be a loyal follower..... LETS DO THIS

  2. #37
    solobass
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    i am on the red sox today, most of the tigers players from the WBC will not play until wednesday.

  3. #38
    TMajic
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    Some pretty good information. Thanks CK for letting us in, and to all others that have also provided insight.

  4. #39
    cocknocker
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    I have been expanding the pitcher -150 or more log today and I am almost finished. I have about 30-40 more to go and then i can move into the next phase of the research, which is field sizes and the correlation to the pitchers on a particular staff, and the totals that umpires usually produce.

  5. #40
    cocknocker
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    Okay I am finished for the day updating the pitcher logs for -150/+150. I will ge tback to it early in the morning!

  6. #41
    Dexter
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    watch out for the marlins

  7. #42
    Dexter
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    Quote Originally Posted by cocknocker View Post
    Okay I am finished for the day updating the pitcher logs for -150/+150. I will ge tback to it early in the morning!
    when you say..

    Carlos Zambrano*** 0-7 as a favorite of -140 or more

    does that mean zambrano is 0-7 as far as his wins/losses, or the cubs are 0-7 in those games where he was a fav of -140 or more?

  8. #43
    cocknocker
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    I mean that when he has the heavy chalk the Cubs are 0-7

  9. #44
    MoneyintheBank09
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    yea i was wondering the same stuff when you say they are 0-5 or something is that the team for the whole game or is that the first 5 innings and stuff sorry if that is a dumb question lol thanks for all the great stuff CK

  10. #45
    solobass
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    booked tigers +105 they have all WBC players back in the lineup

  11. #46
    cocknocker
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    It's the whole game MoneyintheBank09. Incidently I only take whole game lines when I see a line of -150 or more. Other than that, I play 5 innings only

  12. #47
    MoneyintheBank09
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    so you take the dog in that game? you dont take any favs that are less then -150

  13. #48
    solobass
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    gotta love spring training. first off, tigers WBC players still not in the lineup but wait there is hope. tigers stake
    themselves to a 6-1 lead looking pretty good. then what do you know, rookie bullpen pitcher gives up 5 and the
    game is tied.......


  14. #49
    TodaysAction
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    Every season there are a few certain home ump's that are more favorable to overs/unders and happens, don't be afraid to lay to the wood on it.

  15. #50
    solobass
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    and of course the tigers come back with 4 more runs. interesting note on espn gamecast, i am not sure if this is new or not. based on the score and God knows what else, they calculate the projected winner. right now in the top of the 7th with a 4 run lead they say detroit has a 94% chance of winning. anyone know if this is a new feature or not?

  16. #51
    TodaysAction
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    CK,

    Nice information you're posting. Will drop in now and then to see how things are going but can tell, you'll have a good season.

  17. #52
    TodaysAction
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    Quote Originally Posted by solobass View Post
    and of course the tigers come back with 4 more runs. interesting note on espn gamecast, i am not sure if this is new or not. based on the score and God knows what else, they calculate the projected winner. right now in the top of the 7th with a 4 run lead they say detroit has a 94% chance of winning. anyone know if this is a new feature or not?
    4 run lead in the 7th and they offer you a 94% chance of winning - wow they sure are brave/bright. but wait this is the tigers were talking about so anything's possible. to bad no o/u for the games yet.

  18. #53
    solobass
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    Today I booked

    Braves -115
    braves trotting out Jurrgens and some other quality and the yanks are using 3 long men in competition

    Tigers +110
    trotting out edwin jackson and they will let him work today. perry scheduled to picch 2 innings also.

    best of luck today!

  19. #54
    therber2
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    Quote Originally Posted by cocknocker View Post
    Your sportsbook must offer proposition wagers that inlcude first inning props. One that also has live betting for televised baseball games is even better. One such book that has both is Betus. Greek.com also has the prop but not live wagering on baseball games that are not playoff games.
    Ck, around here Betus has a horrible reputation. Is that where you are placing these wagers? Just wondering. Thanks; good luck on your season!

  20. #55
    MJT1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by solobass View Post
    Today I booked

    Braves -115
    braves trotting out Jurrgens and some other quality and the yanks are using 3 long men in competition

    Tigers +110
    trotting out edwin jackson and they will let him work today. perry scheduled to picch 2 innings also.

    best of luck today!

    Tigers 2-11 on the road in ST so far, I'm steering clear of this one...

    Ive got...

    MIL (top pick)
    LAA
    SFO
    WAS
    STL

    1 unit each...

  21. #56
    solobass
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    Quote Originally Posted by MJT1212 View Post
    Tigers 2-11 on the road in ST so far, I'm steering clear of this one...

    Ive got...

    MIL (top pick)
    LAA
    SFO
    WAS
    STL

    1 unit each...
    ha, go figure the tigers cash. strange game for sure. best thing about yesterday is even going 1-1 they were both dogs so net profit! best of luck today brother

  22. #57
    BiggDogg5n2
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  23. #58
    solobass
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    Booked play

    Braves -110

  24. #59
    solobass
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    Looking @ Rangers against the Angels today, leaning Rangers. What drives me nuts is they are both -110. I want that dog ML on the Rangers....

  25. #60
    johnnymapalo
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    Always play overs with Dontrelle Willis..

  26. #61
    cocknocker
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    Quote Originally Posted by MoneyintheBank09 View Post
    so you take the dog in that game? you dont take any favs that are less then -150
    Dogs in games where the favorite is -150 or more. Those are the only type of games that I will wager on. I very rarely take a favorite because i like crumbs when i make a wager.

  27. #62
    cocknocker
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    Quote Originally Posted by therber2 View Post
    Ck, around here Betus has a horrible reputation. Is that where you are placing these wagers? Just wondering. Thanks; good luck on your season!
    No I use Greek.com daily, but I use Betus when I do live wagering as Greek doesn't always offer that option.

  28. #63
    cocknocker
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    The launching pads:

    Rangers Park 1.229 home runs per game
    Chase Field, Arizona 1.068
    Coors Field, Colorado 1.299
    Great America Ball Park, Cincinnatti 1.230
    U.S. Celluar Field, Chicago 1.353
    Oriole Park a Camden Yards 1.359
    Comerica Park Detroit 1.188
    Wrigley Field, Chicago 1.163
    Minute Maid Park, Houston 1.155
    Citizen's Bank Park 1.022
    Turner Field Atlanta 1.014

  29. #64
    cnleaf
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    CK, could you recommend some of the MLB sites that I can do research on the game since I am new to this world?

  30. #65
    MJT1212
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    im on:

    Nat's
    Angels
    Dodgers
    Brewers

    For today.

  31. #66
    Pick'nParlays
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    we should build a list relievers as well

  32. #67
    cocknocker
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    The Rally Killer Parks

    Petco Park San Diego 0.743 home runs per game
    Kauffman Stadium Kansas City 0.788 per
    Progressive Field Cleveland 0.824
    Dolphin Stadium, Florida 0.844
    Fenway Park, Boston 0.850
    Tropicana Field, Florida 0.850
    Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles 0.857
    PNC Park, Pittsburgh 0.869
    Miller Park Wisconsin 0.893

    Fork in the Road Stadiums

    Hubert H. Humphrey Dome, Minnesota 0.896
    Safeco Field Washington State 0.900
    Busch Stadium, St. Louis 0.915
    Rogers Centre, Toronto 0.926
    Angel Stadium , California 0.933
    National's Park, Washington D.C. 0.942
    Yankee Stadium New York 0.982
    McAfee Stadium, Oakland, 0.988
    AT&T Park, San Francisco 0.992

  33. #68
    cocknocker
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pick'nParlays View Post
    we should build a list relievers as well
    No way. They are all terrible, lol! What i find most interesting about relievers is that you never know how the manager will actually use them. This is why I usually take the 1st halves of games.

    But on the real, if anyone wants to make that list it would be good for the board on the whole.

  34. #69
    cocknocker
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    Quote Originally Posted by cnleaf View Post
    CK, could you recommend some of the MLB sites that I can do research on the game since I am new to this world?

    i think that ESPN has one of the most comprehensive research sites on the internet. I also like CBS Sports as well for tracking individual players

  35. #70
    peeiempee
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    Hey CK,

    Pretty excited about this baseball thread. One question, any problems with payout of anything in general with betus? SBR gave them a C-.

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