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Florida 61% - Florida had a long "team meeting" after their last game, and with their day off, they should be well-focused for this game. The last time they did that they scored 15 runs the next game. They should be productive at the plate, and get a good start from Nolasco, who has had a high degree of volatility, but who is likely to have a strong outing here. Armas can be effective, but is unlikely to have a better start than Nolasco. This quote from Armas after his last start regarding his recent struggles is not encouraging: "It just seems every pitch I throw, I don't know what's coming. That kind of frustrates you".

Detroit 64% - Minnesota has had a ton of trouble playing at Comerica this year, and for this game their struggles are likely to only get worse. Radke's health is very dubious at this moment. He is pitching through pain by his own admission, and that can only spell trouble here. Even when he was healthy, Radke got hit each time out against Detroit. Detroit has hit an eye-popping .481 against Radke in his 3 starts against them this season. On the other side, Nate Robertson and the Detroit bullpen are capable, and should be able to contain the Minnesota lineup, which has only been able to score 11 runs over 7 games at Comerica this year.

Mets 58% - This game is likely to see a lot of scoring. All 9 of Trachsel's home starts this year have produced at least 10 runs. San Diego hits much better on the road than at home, and with the solidly mediocre Woody Williams going for San Diego, the "over" is a good play. The starting pitching and offenses involved rate more closely than they might at first seem on paper. Trachsel will be as vulnerable as Williams, and again, San Diego is much more productive away from Petco. Depending on who is in the respective lineups, the Mets will have only a small edge offensively. However, the Mets will have a significant bullpen edge, and unless one of the starters gets shelled, that will be an important factor, and it gives the Mets a big boost statistically.

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Houston 63% - Pittsburgh is by far the worst road team in baseball. Their ROI on the road is worse than -40%. It takes special circumstances for them to have value on the road, and this is not one of those times. Maholm is likely to get hit by the decent Houston lineup, and Backe is likely to have a quality start after his last one, which was his first good outing back from the DL. Houston hits lefties well, and has hit Maholm well this year. Pittsburgh's top hitter, Freddy Sanchez, is mired in a tough slump, and if that continues in this game, their offense will not be able to produce enough to stay close.

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Texas 60% - This game has a high degree of uncertainty, and a low confidence number. Millwood is likely to have a solid outing, as he is generally effective on the road, in pitcher-friendly parks, and against weaker offenses. The big question is how the Texas lineup will fare against Komine. His wildness in his last game will cost him if it continues here. Despite his great effectiveness recently in the minor leagues, he is likely to have a significantly less effective game than he did in his last start. A 4-inning, 5-run type of start would not be a surprise. If he does hold down the Texas offense, Millwood is likely to match his performance. Although Texas is likely to go to the bullpen with a lead, Oakland will have a small edge at that stage of the game.

Seattle 70% - Hernandez has been coming closer to his expected level of effectiveness of late, and he should have a strong start here. He has been very sharp, and his last start was cut short due to humidity. Seo has a high degree of volatility, and could match Hernandez' performance. Even if he does, Seattle will still rate an edge with their bullpen and lineup. The likelihood of Seo having a strong start and Hernandez having a poor one is low. Anything other than that confers a big edge to Seattle.

Dodgers 66% - Kim has a high degree of volatility, and statistically, he is more likely than usual to get hit hard here. He has had problems on the road, and the Dodgers' offense, which is strong right now, will easily take advantage if he has problems again. The Colorado lineup has been only modestly productive, and Maddux should have a low-grade quality start. He is not likely to get hit hard, which confers a big edge to the Dodgers.