1. #1
    Ganchrow
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    August 5 Ganchalysis

    Oakland 55% - Haren is likely to have a strong game here, although not as strong as his last 2 starts have been. The Seattle lineup is not likely to be shut down, but is likely to be held down by Haren. The key to this game is the performance of the inconsistent Piniero. He has pitched reasonably well of late, and the Oakland offense is not powerful. But he is still fundamentally flawed, and not likely to have a quality start.

    Angels 53% - Santana, while having pitched very well at home in his career, has also been vulnerable in the daytime, and he will be so here against the recently productive Texas offense. Koronka has a high degree of uncertainty, but he is likely to keep Texas in the game.

  2. #2
    Ganchrow
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    Milwaukee 61% - St. Louis will start winning at least a little very soon, and Sheets has had some troubles against St. Louis in the past. Still, the story of this game is Sheets' recent excellence and St. Louis' recent struggles, and both of those trends should continue here. Milwaukee has major bullpen issues, but they probably aren't as bad as they seem, and for a game such as this, where a strong and deep start from the starting pitcher is likely, their negative impact is minimized. Reyes is likely to have a solid but short start, and the St. Louis pen is somewhat shaky.

    Detroit 52% - Rogers is in an interesting situation. In his last 7 starts, his ERA is over 9, and he has given up 5 or more runs in 5 of those starts. Still, Detroit has won 5 of those 7 games, and this could be another game like that. Byrd has been getting hit hard, and the Cleveland bullpen is having major problems. This is the kind of game where that will be particularly likely to cost them, namely, high-scoring, close, and on the road. On the other hand, Byrd has pitched well at Comerica in his career, and for good reason, as he is well-suited to the spacious dimensions of the stadium. He does have a reasonable chance of having a strong game, and if that happens, Cleveland will have a sizable edge.

  3. #3
    Ganchrow
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    San Francisco 51% - Jennings has been very good recently, and does well in pitchers' parks. He should have another strong game here. Lowry is also likely to have a strong start. Pitching at home and at night, off of a weak start, and going up against a modest offense, is a promising scenario for him statistically. In every other way as well, this game rates very even.

  4. #4
    Ganchrow
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    San Diego 52% - San Diego's poor play, especially at home, is likely to continue in this game. Thompson has pitched reasonably well at home, and he should have another modestly good start here. Astacio is iffy, but he should have a roughly equivalent start to Thompson, and keep Washington in the game. Washington's offense has been much more productive than San Diego's recently, and while that should eventually even out a bit, Washington rates a sizable edge in that area for this game.

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