[Ganchrow]

Pittsburgh 53% - Chacon lost his way a bit in the past few months, but he was a quality starter last season, and was even so earlier this year. He could easily bounce back with a strong start in this game. Hudson continues to have consistent problems and it would not be at all surprising if he wound up on the DL soon. Hot-hitting LaRoche will probably not play for Atlanta due to injury, and their bullpen is also not in optimal shape for this game.

Yankees 64% - Lidle has pitched well recently, and he should have a decent start here again. His low volatility gives the Yankees a big edge for this game, as they are unlikely to be held down by Marcum and the Toronto bullpen. The Yankees' chances of a win by a relatively small margin are greater than usual for this game.

[Ganchrow]

Philadelphia 51% - Marquis has had an extremely high degree of volatility this season, and he is more likely to get hit here than usual against the recently productive Philadelphia lineup. Hamels has also had a high degree of volatility, but not as stark as Marquis, and that will benefit him with the St. Louis lineup being a bit less productive of late.