Baltimore 53% - Moyer's career domination of Baltimore is not nearly as significant as his recent struggles. The heat in Baltimore probably won't help things. Lopez has also been iffy this season but his starts at home have gotten better. This should a back and forth affair which will benefit Baltimore.
Cincinnati 65% - Arroyo stumbled in his last start, but he has been much better at home this season, and he should have a solid outing here. The Dodgers' offense has picked it up a bit of late, but they are still very mediocre, and will be hard pressed to produce as much as Cincinnati is likely to against Sele. The Cincinnati bullpen is now reasonable enough to pull them through most close games.
Arizona 52% - Hill is probably much better than his performance in the majors to date indicates. Vargas is vulnerable, and the Cubs' lineup is coming around a bit. Is this is a close high-scoring game as it is likely to be, the Cubs will have an edge. The line is a bit too high due to Hill's poor big league record.