1. #1
    Ganchrow
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    August 1 Ganchalysis

    Baltimore 53% - Moyer's career domination of Baltimore is not nearly as significant as his recent struggles. The heat in Baltimore probably won't help things. Lopez has also been iffy this season but his starts at home have gotten better. This should a back and forth affair which will benefit Baltimore.

    Cincinnati 65% - Arroyo stumbled in his last start, but he has been much better at home this season, and he should have a solid outing here. The Dodgers' offense has picked it up a bit of late, but they are still very mediocre, and will be hard pressed to produce as much as Cincinnati is likely to against Sele. The Cincinnati bullpen is now reasonable enough to pull them through most close games.

    Arizona 52% - Hill is probably much better than his performance in the majors to date indicates. Vargas is vulnerable, and the Cubs' lineup is coming around a bit. Is this is a close high-scoring game as it is likely to be, the Cubs will have an edge. The line is a bit too high due to Hill's poor big league record.

  2. #2
    Ganchrow
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    Minnesota 54% - Both starters are shaky, and this game will come down to which is shakier. Eaton was good in his first few innings, but lost his command quickly, and he probably doesn't have the arm strength yet to be good deep into the game, which will expose the soft Texas middle relievers. Baker could have an effective start, but will probably match Eaton's short and mediocre one. Minnesota will have an edge if the game is close.

  3. #3
    Ganchrow
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    Milwaukee 53% - Bush figures to have a strong outing here, as he was good for a while before his rhythm was thrown off by Milwaukee's bullpen problems. Their problems in that area are still very prevalent, but for this game their impact will be minimized. Fogg has been OK, but overachieving, and while he should also have a decent start, it is likely to be less so than Bush's. Colorado doesn't have a strong bullpen themselves, and Fuentes may not be in peak shape if he is called upon here.

  4. #4
    Ganchrow
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    Angels 54% - Both starters should have strong games here. Blanton is coming into his own, and he is very effective in West Coast pitchers' parks. Saunders seems very ready for the majors, based on his first start and his minor league record. The Angels have a bit more firepower in their lineup, giving them a small overall edge.

    San Diego 57% - This game has a high degree of uncertainty. Peavey is traditionally less effective off of a high pitch count, which was 129 in his last game, and his general struggles may not be behind him. He made "changes to his delivery" in his last start, and he doesn't seem to be in the groove of excellence he has been in for most of his career. Pettitte is also struggling, but he may catch a break going against the weakish San Diego lineup at Petco. He may also have another strong second half, as he did last season, and he could start it off here.

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