[Ganchrow]

Atlanta 54% - This is a tricky game to call. Hernandez has been vulnerable in the daytime this season, where most of his disastrous starts have come. However, he is well-rested here which will help him a lot. It's not clear why Hudson has been so off this season, but he is very likely to have a sub-par outing himself once again. However, if he can pull off a 7 or 8-inning, 4 or 5-run performance, that could put Atlanta in a good position. The Mets have a strong bullpen edge, but Atlanta will have an edge if the game turns into a slugfest, which it is likely to. The lineups are very up in the air, and who is in and who is out could affect the number greatly. This game has a low confidence number.

Boston 53% - Weaver has been very impressive, but this could be a tough spot for him. He has an alarmingly high percentage of fly ball outs, and that could be a problem here in a day game against a powerful lineup. It is no accident that his most dominant starts have come in West Coast pitchers' parks. Still, even though he was less dominant at Tampa Bay and Cleveland, he was still plenty good. Combining him with the capable Angels' bullpen and hot lineup presents a powerful ensemble. Beckett might not be up to the task of holding down the Angels' lineup. He has been very good at home and in the daytime, but has also demonstrated high volatility.

Yankees 71% - Johnson does seem to have settled into good form recently, but he is more vulnerable to having a bad start than he might seem. Seo threw a good start against the Yankees the last time he faced them this year. If he can repeat that, or if Johnson does get hit, Tampa Bay will have a decent shot, and both of those things have a small but significant chance of happening.

Oakland 67% - Zito usually does well at home against Toronto and relatively free-swinging teams like them. Unless someone knows something about what McGowan can do, or he does something no one knew he could do, Oakland should have a big advantage. McGowan has gotten hit at every level this season, and his last 2 minor league starts weren't even quality starts.

White Sox 68% - The White Sox might not use their full battery of offensive weapons for this game. Konerko may sit out after leaving the last game with an injury. Still, Johnson had an ERA over 4 and a WHIP over 1.4 in Double A this year, and he is very likely to be in for a rude welcome to the majors here in a day game against whomever the White Sox do send out. Furthermore, the White Sox have a deep and quality bullpen, so in the event that Garland gets hit and the game is close, they will still have an edge, with Baltimore's top relievers not likely to be used in this game. The comeback from yesterday may well spur the White Sox to regain their normal level of offensive prowess, which will not be a good thing for Baltimore here. Garland has been throwing very well of late, and while he is likely to have a less stellar outing here than he has had in his recent starts, all he will need is any kind of quality start to put the White Sox in good position to win.

[Ganchrow]

Milwaukee 60% - Milwaukee is a dangerous team to take at this point, with an iffy bullpen and Lee gone. But Germano does not as yet have anything to recommend him. He has been hit hard in the majors, and was nothing special at AAA this year. Davis might not be much better right now, but he has thrown some good starts at home this year, and is somewhat likely to have a quality start here. A decent start by Davis and a poor one by Germano will give Milwaukee a solid edge, despite their weaknesses in their lineup and bullpen.

Pittsburgh 54% - Gorzelanny is likely to have some strong starts soon, and he may well have one here. His last start was reasonably good, and San Francisco will send out a decent but beatable lineup. Wright is capable of throwing a good game, but he is also more likely to have a mediocre one. That, combined with Gorzelanny's upside and a capable bullpen gives Pittsburgh an edge overall.

Florida 62% - Philadelphia is already entering into the rebuilding phase of their season, and going up against a still-hungry young Florida team with Willis on the mound is not a good situation for them to come out with a win. Hamels has flashes of excellence, but he is not yet putting it all together consistently. Willis, on the other hand, while he has not been as dominant this year as he has been in the past, has been very consistent, and in this game a solid quality start will give Florida a big edge overall.

[Ganchrow]

Texas 68% - De La Rosa had some good starts in Double A recently, but that is not the same thing as facing Texas at Ameriquest. Millwood has had problems at home, and this game could turn into a high-scoring back and forth affair, which would benefit Kansas City. Still, in this game Millwood is likely to outpitch De La Rosa, and Texas should hang on.