1. #1
    Ganchrow
    Nolite te bastardes carborundorum.
    Ganchrow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-28-05
    Posts: 5,011
    Betpoints: 1088

    July 5 Ganchalysis

    San Diego 61% - Peavey is likely to have a strong game here. He has been inconsistent, and while he could certainly get hit in this park by the Philadelphia lineup, his last 3 starts have been decent, and he will be working on 5 days rest, a situation which has has benefitted him throughout his career. Mathieson has good ability, and he could throw a good game vs the weak San Diego lineup, but he is still likely to get outpitched by Peavey no matter what.

    Washington 60% - Petit has not done well in the majors or minors this year, and the Washington lineup has improved to a respectable level recently, so he is not likely to have a good start here. O'Connor has been inconsistent, throwing a bunch of mediocre starts, and he does not have great stuff, but he has had some good outings vs strong lineups, and he is likely to have a quality start here.

    Cleveland 51% - The blowout from yesterday sets the Yankees up for a bounce-back win. However, Byrd has been very effective of late, and he is likely to have another quality start here in his last outing before the break. Mussina is also likely to have a strong outing. With both pens shaky and both offenses strong, the performances of the starters factor heavily into the likelihood of various outcomes of the game, giving this game a high degree of uncertainty and a low confidence factor.

    Mets 70% - Hernandez is likely to have a sub-par outing, and Wells can't stay terrible for long, but the Mets still have a huge edge for this game. They will have a lineup and bullpen edge which should eventually prevail here.

    Boston 52% - This game has a very high degree of uncertainty. Both starters are likely to get hit, the question being which will get hit harder. Johnson is less likely to get crushed, but also less likely to have a strong outing. Boston has had problems offensively on the turf this year.

  2. #2
    bigboydan
    bigboydan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 55,425

    anything on the texas/toronto game tonight ganchrow ?

  3. #3
    Ganchrow
    Nolite te bastardes carborundorum.
    Ganchrow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-28-05
    Posts: 5,011
    Betpoints: 1088

    Texas 59% - Padilla is coming off of a high pitch count, which is likely to hurt him here. He relies on his fastball, and any minor reduction in the effectiveness of his fastball turns him into a picther who can get crushed. Janssen is also likely to get hit here, however, and he is in more danger than Padilla of having a bad day. The Toronto offense is likely to come down to earth in the near future, and the Texas offense is likely to heat up in the near future. Texas will also have all their top relievers rested for this game, while Toronto has some iffy middle relievers who will likely be needed to come in for this game.

  4. #4
    Ganchrow
    Nolite te bastardes carborundorum.
    Ganchrow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-28-05
    Posts: 5,011
    Betpoints: 1088

    Colorado 60% - Fogg has gotten hit hard his last 2 home starts, and he is likely to get hit here again. Wright, however, is also likely to get hit here. Wright has mixed some very solid outings along with his bad ones all year, but the Colorado offense is capable and getting stronger, and Wright is likely to get hit by them. A high-scoring game favors Colorado, with their strong lineup likely to take advantage of San Francisco's iffy pen.

  5. #5
    Ganchrow
    Nolite te bastardes carborundorum.
    Ganchrow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-28-05
    Posts: 5,011
    Betpoints: 1088

    Seattle 57% - Colon's 3 starts since returning from the DL have not been great, and the Seattle offense should be able to take advantage if he is off again. Moyer is of course a master at pitching at Safeco, and the Angels' lineup does not pose a strong threat, although he is off of a high pitch count and that might affect his pinpoint command.

  6. #6
    onlooker
    I'm still watching...
    onlooker's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 36,572
    Betpoints: 4543

    How about the Diamondback/Dodger game Ganch. You guys look at that one yet?

Top