Looked Back to 2000 , to see how Yankees have played in ALDS game 3's when series is 1-1.
2000- against A's , Yankees won Game 3 in ALDS NY ( won at home )
2002 - Lost Game 3 ALDS against Angels in LA ( lost on road )
2003- Yankees win Game 3 in ALDS in Minnesota ( won on road )
2004- Yankees Game 3 winner in Minnesota ( won on road )
2005 - Lost Game 3 in NY against LA ( lost at home )
2006- Lose Game 3 in Detroit ( lost on road )
What I get from this is the Yankees have only had success against the Twins in ALDS in the past 10 years.
The play tonight, I would say is Verlander at home.
As well, after doing research I have noticed something as well, If the yankees lose Game 3 with another team than the Twins , they lose the next one and lose the series 3-1. If you have confidence Verlander wins tonight than it is very likely Yankees go down 3-1 in the series. Everything is looking that way as well with Burnett pitching game 4. So if you think Verlander wins tonight I would place in a bet for the Tigers -1.5 for the series. I currently see the Yankees -1.5 at +240 so I am only imagining that -1.5 for the Tigers is = or much better. If anyone knows the line let me know.
But yeah , If you feel Verlander shuts em down tonight than I think as well the -1.5 will hit.
Tigers ML ( -130 )
Tigers Series -1.5 ( don't know )
BOL