1. 08-14-11 08:15 PM #1
    No coincidences
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    Looking back, what was with the StL/COL total?

    Opened at 9, closed at 8.5 with the over at +113. Public 75% on the over.

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  2. 08-14-11 08:16 PM #2
    JT OZ
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    Public isn't always wrong...
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  3. 08-14-11 08:16 PM #3
    JT OZ
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    With that being said the over hasn't cashed yet...
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  4. 08-14-11 08:17 PM #4
    JT OZ
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    I'm just happy I didn't jump at one of the huge live totals like 12/13.
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  5. 08-14-11 08:17 PM #5
    broadway6
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    bro. 5dimes and bookmaker moved there number when pinny opened at 8.5. I'm willing to bet not one dollar was the reason for the move.
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  6. 08-14-11 08:20 PM #6
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by broadway6 View Post
    bro. 5dimes and bookmaker moved there number when pinny opened at 8.5. I'm willing to bet not one dollar was the reason for the move.
    But Pinny opened at 8.5 with the over at -115 and closed at 8.5 with the over at +113. That's a pretty significant swing, especially given the over was a public play.
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  7. 08-14-11 08:21 PM #7
    broadway6
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post

    But Pinny opened at 8.5 with the over at -115 and closed at 8.5 with the over at +113. That's a pretty significant swing, especially given the over was a public play.

    yeah... guess they were getting money on the under but didn't want to push it to 8.
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  8. 08-14-11 08:28 PM #8
    BigDofBA
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    Over hasnt cashed yet.....

    A few months ago I bet an over and Only needed one run after the 5th inning. Needless to say, there wasn't another run scored.
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  9. 08-14-11 08:48 PM #9
    borednaz
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    I live bet + on under 13, so happy right now.
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  10. 08-14-11 09:41 PM #10
    Cappinpicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by borednaz View Post
    I live bet + on under 13, so happy right now.
    Same here for $500, need under 8.5
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  11. 08-14-11 10:04 PM #11
    BigDofBA
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    Over hasnt cashed yet..... A few months ago I bet an over and Only needed one run after the 5th inning. Needless to say, there wasn't another run scored.
    I bet over backers are starting to sweat. 6 runs in the first and no runs since.

    This is why I quit betting totals. The Oakland/Texas games was like 0-0 in the 7th the other day and the game ended up going over.
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  12. 08-14-11 10:15 PM #12
    BernardMadoff
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    Paid the extra juice and got over 7.5 before game didn't think it'd make after so little scoring after the first.
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  13. 08-14-11 10:18 PM #13
    PD77
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    I got over 8 -105 20 minutes before start at 5Dimes. Wish I would have bought it down now.
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  14. 08-14-11 10:42 PM #14
    No coincidences
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    Consider this a lesson learned folks.

    Will this win every time? Of course not. But don't ever, ever mess with a total or a side that does this. Either tail it or don't play it. Period.

    Sharp money and big money doesn't always win, but if you fade it, you're asking for trouble.
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  15. 08-14-11 10:46 PM #15
    hawley
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    The line movement was the only reason I played the under

    Sure we may of got lucky as f\*\*k but with movement like this I would play it every time
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  16. 08-14-11 10:47 PM #16
    lolguy999
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    oh btw where did you get the stats that 75% of public is on over?
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  17. 08-14-11 10:50 PM #17
    TwoWays
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    Anyone that thinks line movement or vegas has anything to do with this game staying under the total is a joke. With the number of players in scoring position almost every inning, it was pure luck the game stayed under more than anything else. Edwin Jackson was well on his way to giving up at least one run when he was pulled with a bad hammy.
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  18. 08-14-11 10:58 PM #18
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by TwoWays View Post
    Anyone that thinks line movement or vegas has anything to do with this game staying under the total is a joke. With the number of players in scoring position almost every inning, it was pure luck the game stayed under more than anything else. Edwin Jackson was well on his way to giving up at least one run when he was pulled with a bad hammy.
    You're right. It was just a coincidence.
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  19. 08-14-11 10:59 PM #19
    chantrain
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    ^ what he said
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  20. 08-14-11 11:02 PM #20
    hawley
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    Coincidence or not the Books were right
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  21. 08-14-11 11:05 PM #21
    BigDofBA
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    I tried to tell you guys in the second inning the over hadn't cashed yet. I've been screwed on totals way too many times. This game played out like a lot I have seen which is why I don't even mess with totals anymore.

    If they game starts off high scoring, it usually goes under. Likewise, if the game starts out low scoring, it usually goes over.

    I played basketball games in which the score was like 60-60 at halftime, the total was 190, and the game still went under.
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