1. 08-13-11 09:55 AM #1
    TheLocal
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    Angels @ Blue Jays

    Looks as if it will be another dominate outing by Weaver today. I cant see him getting hit much today,but still not going to bet on him. Romero has some quality stuff and has been pitching very well lately. The total of 7 under looks to be a very solid play ,but laying off that as well. The best bet for me in this game is Toronto's team Total which will be out shortly. I will assume it will be a flat 3 at under EV $ to - 115 .
    Regardless of the $ line, I'm all over the under today.

    prediction
    L.A. 4 Toronto 1

    Toronto Team Runs
    Under 3? ( My play)

    4 - 2 + 370.12
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  2. 08-13-11 10:13 AM #2
    borednaz
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    I like it thats a really solid approach, might want a very small play on the over to hedge. Because at least in my eyes if toronto blows the tt over then this game will also definitely go over
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  3. 08-13-11 10:15 AM #3
    GemSportsPicks
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    Love the logic and I agree... But if you have a final score of 4-1... You believe the angels will win by 3 and your team total will only win by 2... So wouldn't Angels be the better play... That is if you got them early a -115... Now I see the dilema and debate over juice, but earlier angels seemed like the play.
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  4. 08-13-11 10:23 AM #4
    wikkidinsane
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    Whatever.... You have to pick Angels here. Betting against weaver is suicide. ML for me on this 1
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  5. 08-13-11 10:24 AM #5
    Allure
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    Just play the under.

    Abreu, Aybar, Bautista & Rasmus are all out.
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  6. 08-13-11 10:26 AM #6
    GemSportsPicks
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    Aybar is 1 of his last 31 and he is awesome defensively so if anything he is an under player... I still like under but aybar being out only benefits over.
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  7. 08-13-11 10:32 AM #7
    Cappinpicks
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    8-0 yesterday Going 140 on Toronto.
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  8. 08-13-11 10:37 AM #8
    pinnerpsk
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    Angels are gonna take this one
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  9. 08-13-11 10:38 AM #9
    GemSportsPicks
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    8-0 wow that is tremendous day... Wish I could have an 8-0 day.
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  10. 08-13-11 10:43 AM #10
    TheLocal
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    Quote Originally Posted by GemSportsPicks View Post
    Love the logic and I agree... But if you have a final score of 4-1... You believe the angels will win by 3 and your team total will only win by 2... So wouldn't Angels be the better play... That is if you got them early a -115... Now I see the dilema and debate over juice, but earlier angels seemed like the play.
    The juice really didnt factor into my decision here. I play all games at a flat 100/200/300 regardless of the $ line.
    Example last night- Marlins -110, I bet 200 to win 181.82. I just believe the TT suits better for my cash. Really all points to a under 7 and Weaver coming out with the W. If a TT was unavailable , I would be on the U/ for sure.
    GL today
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  11. 08-13-11 10:50 AM #11
    GemSportsPicks
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    Tru, even if you flat bet 100/200/300 juice still comes into play except it affects you on the win, rather then the loss... Example Marlins -110 200 to win 181.82... Marlines -130 200 to win 153... So on a win you lost out on roughly 23... In long run this adds up and its why getting best line possible is imperitive to long term success.
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  12. 08-13-11 10:54 AM #12
    cadillac pete
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    Does the time off help or hurt Weaver???
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  13. 08-13-11 10:55 AM #13
    TheLocal
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    Quote Originally Posted by GemSportsPicks View Post
    Tru, even if you flat bet 100/200/300 juice still comes into play except it affects you on the win, rather then the loss... Example Marlins -110 200 to win 181.82... Marlines -130 200 to win 153... So on a win you lost out on roughly 23... In long run this adds up and its why getting best line possible is imperitive to long term success.

    Your right /can't argue you there. GL
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  14. 08-13-11 11:01 AM #14
    TheLocal
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    Lines are up
    Blue Jays TT
    Under 3 EV
    Locked
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  15. 08-13-11 11:14 AM #15
    TheLocal
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    Quote Originally Posted by wikkidinsane View Post
    Whatever.... You have to pick Angels here. Betting against weaver is suicide. ML for me on this 1

    How does anyone have to bet on Weaver here. If it were that easy, we would all win everyday.
    GL none the less
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  16. 08-13-11 11:20 AM #16
    wikkidinsane
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    today it should be that easy
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  17. 08-13-11 11:21 AM #17
    Cappinpicks
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    Added more on toronto +118, cashed angels easy yesterday
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  18. 08-13-11 11:25 AM #18
    TheLocal
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    Added more on toronto +118, cashed angels easy yesterday
    ????
    your on both sides today?
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  19. 08-13-11 11:26 AM #19
    Cappinpicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheLocal View Post
    ????
    your on both sides today?
    No, cashed angels yesterday, not today. I bet toronto today buddy.
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  20. 08-13-11 11:34 AM #20
    TheLocal
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    Ok - i misread that-
    GL today hope you cash it
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  21. 08-13-11 12:37 PM #21
    TheLocal
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    what a shit ball way to start the day
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  22. 08-13-11 12:40 PM #22
    GemSportsPicks
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    Weaver looks absolutely awful right now... Not good for either of us
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  23. 08-13-11 12:44 PM #23
    Romanianbornwin
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    Quote Originally Posted by cadillac pete View Post
    Does the time off help or hurt Weaver???
    Hurts him.
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  24. 08-13-11 12:45 PM #24
    encephalization
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    Sitting on under and not really liking what I see.. 3 after 2.. Hoping for some slow innings here.
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  25. 08-13-11 12:45 PM #25
    Romanianbornwin
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    Well the under is in a little bit of trouble. We need like 2 or 3 scoreless innings to get back on track.
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  26. 08-13-11 01:02 PM #26
    kbryant24
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    I took the under, now i'm suffering pitch by pitch. I can't believe it though, Weaver ERA 1.78, today 3 runs in 3 Innings already damaged done by Encarnacion, Davis and Mcdonald which probably don't even earn 100K a year together...

    Oh, and now add Callaspo to the mix HR, are u f..in kiddin me
    Last edited by kbryant24; 08-13-11 at 01:26 PM.
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  27. 08-13-11 01:33 PM #27
    Cappinpicks
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    Looks like weaver is still thinking about detroit
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  28. 08-13-11 01:36 PM #28
    GemSportsPicks
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    Nice play capping picks... I flushed 460 down the drain on this one... Worst part is I could have got off it... but was to pleased with myself for beating the closing line by so much... Dumb DUmb Dumb.
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  29. 08-13-11 01:36 PM #29
    hondo5
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    It's all over now.
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  30. 08-13-11 01:38 PM #30
    Romanianbornwin
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    Wow, so much for Weaver getting the Cy Young. Kid was due to regress big time and it has happened in the last 2 starts.
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  31. 08-13-11 01:39 PM #31
    Cappinpicks
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    Toronto and over I liked just from fading the public. Both won easily
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  32. 08-13-11 01:48 PM #32
    wikkidinsane
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    loading up on tennis.... If there is a doubt.... dont do it!
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  33. 08-13-11 01:49 PM #33
    AribaAriba
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    what u look for tennis wikki? might worth a look
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  34. 08-13-11 02:07 PM #34
    wikkidinsane
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    im taking serena tonight at -1.5 games margin win vs Azarenka. Serena looks very good out there after her surgery and 3-1 vs Azarenka on hard court. When she is on point no one can beat her. I just won a ton betting on Samantha Stosur in live betting when sets were tied 1-1 and kept betting her throughout the third set.
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  35. 08-13-11 02:08 PM #35
    wikkidinsane
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    Took Mardy fish today also
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