Originally Posted by
SportGTI
Hey JoJo, tough luck last night to you. I myself have had a very frustrating baseball season (my 2nd) and though it seems unpredictable I've actually learned a lot this year.
First like gangeriver stated, try to stay away from heavy favorites, especially in baseball. Yesterday for example, the Phillies were around -280 against Livan and the Nats. Yes, on paper, the Phils should win that one easy, but win or lose, it's not worth putting 280 to win 100. You'd have to win 4 out 5 to just make a small profit. No way to hit 80% as the Phillies aren't even winning 80% of their games.
Personally, I'm always looking for small favorites -110 to -125 or underdogs that aren't getting a good number like +130 to +150. Playing these underdogs, you will lose a lot, but since you are playing + numbers, you don't need to win 60%. I like the idea of trying to watch as many games as possible as well. The more you watch, the more you know how the teams play.
Oh, and the biggest thing I learned, try not to bet (or don't bet big) early in the season. A lot of times, lines are set on public perception of what teams did last year. The Giants were huge favorites early in the season due to winning the world series last year. You must remember, what teams did last year does not correlate to this season. Try to wait a month into the season so that you can start to see where teams are going, and you'll have much better success. I speak to this one personally. I got killed in baseball this season, but my battering took place early. I'm actually doing well in the 2nd half.
I hope I didn't ramble too much. But bol JoJo.