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Hitting avg past 10 gamesOriginally Posted by borednaz
Washington .294
Chicago Cubs .264
OBP past 10 games
Washington .351
Chicago Cubs .339
Saying the Nats can't hit is not true. Their bats are hotter then the cubbies who are on a tear. The only reason they are that big favs is because of Wang.
I'm on the Nats .
BOL
not sure im ready to trust Wang-chung. would like to and certainly believe if he has a good sinker he could cause problems for cubs as they tend to be pretty aggressive swingers. Just not sure i have seen enough to believe Wang has a quality sinker at this point of his career.
just a gm im not sure i wanna be involved in but there no fukkin way anyone could convince me to lay -180 on the Cubs
Took a quick glance at the card today. It looks like there are lots of live dogs tonight.
I'm gonna sprinkle a little on the under and see what happens. Hopefully Cy Young Wang and Garza are in the zone tonight. Did I just call him, "Cy Young Wang"
hard to argue as there really only 2 favs i trust today, and who knows if im trusting the right ones
just at 1st glance it hard to argue with Pads but i feel like i kinda missed the boat with them on this roady, at least i only bet pit once or twice in that seriespisses me off cause i normally look to get on sd when they leave home but didnt do it this time for some reason and now i would be really pissed if i hop on and they go back to losing so ive pretty much relegated myself to the sidelines on this one for better or worse.
totally understand twinks play and who knows i might go there before it all said and done but i doubt it. Like most things for twinks in this game but feel like i should be getting a better price to go against sox here.
CWS obviously i like and am happy where i got it at, that said if line keeps going up i might get tempted to buy out and make some a little change. seriously doubt i do but not sure where line gonna stop yet.
Not a lot to like about this card as far as I'm concerned.
Plus, weird shit happens on Mondays.
please give me a solid under umps for the cws/bal and min/bos gms.
Im dreading the money I layed on the cubs thanks guys lol.. Oh well I cashed out 900 & have 300 in play. Anyone have experience with how well bodog pays out? Im putting the money @ a different book for football as bodogs company change stuff in Dec worries me.
Might put it @betislands or heritage.
despite bodogs many flaws they have a few good things going for them. 1st they got some killer props at times. 2nd they real nice on dogs especially in ncaa hoops and nfl as you can catch a extra 1/2 point with same juice lots of times as their clientele loves favs. 3rd i have never had any prob getting a payout from them.
I dont think bodog is changing company's just names as the american branch of bodog hasnt been owned by bodog for some time the way i understand it. With our idiot gov the way shit is shit tough but i see no reason not to continue to trust them as one of your books (they will be 1 of mine until i here something scary, wouldnt have a ton of money anywhere now tho)
I hear you BD, I dont mind having a few hundred in bodog to catch a live game or prop or two. I just dont want over a hrand sitting in anything off shore again. Went on a heater @ full tilt poker before black friday & lost round 4k... Never again is my slogan.
Dan let me ask you, would you feel comfortable taking the cubs here if this was -130 type of line?
honestly i didnt look far into the game but i mean yea id have to say -130 worth a play if books have them at -180 now. id actually do ff at that theoretical price. Thing is they are not -130 they are high as shit and while some ppl around here like to scream "it doesnt matter as long as you pick the winner", that is ignorant as we all know it doesnt always work that way and "winning" long term a lot harder when you miss huge fav where you have to hit 2 gms to make up for that one. not saying i wont lay juice cause im sure you have seen i have no problem with it, but on a marginal team i really dont trust? i know fading Wang is tempting as all hell but i gotta think if Nats didnt think he could perform up here that someone else would be getting the shot. It stands to reason there a solid chance Wang gets bombed and you cash easy bro, just dont think the juice worth the squeeze for me.
i was really hoping to get hou tt un 3.5 but i see 3 has popped up with ev money on the under. this has been a new little project of mine for a autobet when i get a solid right hander against this team of minor leaguers to play tt under. hoping what i saw yesterday isnt a indicator of what could be wrong with this, i did get the push but mil was content leaving one of their lesser relievers in with a nice lead until hou got to 3 and they brought Lowe in to finish it out. the blowout factor could hurt this i suppose as if teams are up a decent amount they have little motivation to waste their better relief guys. Hoping Wandy can hold zona down enough to where this isnt the case tonight as i think i gotta go hou tt un 3 ev once again.
not as committed to this one as i have been but still gonna play it and see what happens, just not for as much as i have been on the few ive really liked.
Hou tt un 3 ev
Went to fangraphs and pulled out the pitcher vs pitcher sabermetrics. Going with the better pitcher and these teams. High Juice today
CWS
ATL
REDS
KC
SD
CUBS
ZONA
PHILLY
BOS,SEA,PIT - Both pitchers equal no play.
How are Wakefield and Baker equal? Baker is clearly the better pitcher.Went to fangraphs and pulled out the pitcher vs pitcher sabermetrics. Going with the better pitcher and these teams. High Juice today
CWS
ATL
REDS
KC
SD
CUBS
ZONA
PHILLY
BOS,SEA,PIT - Both pitchers equal no play.
Especially at home.
Twins might be my only play today.
They were both rated 7 out of 10 for their metrics.
Last edited by LockPickMaster; 08-08-11 at 01:16 PM.
Leans for today.
Padres
Nationals
Rockies
Twins
Dodgers.
i wont be against any of these but not sure ill be playing any of them either. Like the under 6 in La.
you can have any stat that ranks Wake and Baker as equal.
Not like it matters but looking at Monday stats, the Nats are by far the worst hitting team on Mondays.
We're basing plays off how teams play on days now? Wow. Putting our money on superstitions. LMAO
In other news, the Dow is down 500 points.
closing somewhere around down 440.
economy. woke up thinking SDG CWS and maybe TEX RL,
but now I'm leaning Minny 2x. wakefield is in a tough spot tonight...
I'm a cradle to the grave red sox fan, and I know wake's tendency to get
lit up for 5ER in 3 innings on occasion. after traveling / jet lag and an
intense series w/ the bombers @ fenway... and, if wake catches fire,
the beantown pen is very faded right now. Albers? gimme a f@#kin' break.
leaning Minny 2x. thanks, bros- and good luck all around!
Under team total astros
few totals im playing w/o umps.fuk them...
fla/atl ov 8.5...seems like lotta ppl like the braves and the way i see it you almost have to give fish 4 with Lowe on the bump, with my advanced math skills i can say that if fish score 4 yet braves win = over 8.5
phi/lad u 6.....doc in CR sholdnt have much problem with this offense. Kuroda has had success against this team and not like CR is a easy place to score at night so under it is.
cws/balty un 8.5...already played the sox and generally when they win the game stays under as they are far from a offensive power.
like White Sox RL and Rockies/Reds OVER 9. when danks is hot tail his ass, guthrie throws batting practice. hammel and bailey, you know what to do.
that make this card pretty big once again for me...recapping
cws-115
kc+1.5 -135 ml +158
tex-1.5 -115
kc/tb u8..going for trifecta in this gm.
Hou tt un 3 ev
cws/balty un 8.5
fla/atl ov 8.5
phi/lad u 6
9 freaking plays seems like more than enough but of coarse im still looking at a few more
Last edited by BigDan; 08-08-11 at 03:32 PM.
figured chisox was cheap enough to just play ml but i agree with rl as well seeing how they dont win by 1 real often...kinda just ignored reds/rox gm for some reason, i will check it out....thanx for stopping by bro
my pleasure man, keep the great threads coming!figured chisox was cheap enough to just play ml but i agree with rl as well seeing how they dont win by 1 real often...kinda just ignored reds/rox gm for some reason, i will check it out....thanx for stopping by bro
Hmmm, Dodgers R/L +1 at plus odds. Phillies coming off emotional series...do I trust Kuroda's past success against Phil's that much.
On the W-sox, and grabbed K.C. at +155 I liked the game before I saw the ridiculous price.
Twins bat's are in such a funk I just can't trust them..maybe a Knuckler is what the Dr. ordered, or does it exacerbate the futility?
S.D seems very logical but the Mets have been a funny team this year, Collins usually gets them to play and they went on a roll last month with a ragtag lineup that was without Wright and Reyes amongst others. Pelf is a different pitcher at home. Gonna pass here.
Wang and Hand to much uncertainty there for my liking.
Zona and Tex very tempting on the R/L.
Can Morton give Pitt. a Quality start and steal one in S.F - Kinda tempted here, don't think the pitching match-up is as lopsided as it seems.
GL all on your plays
I've got texas and dbacks on RLs with big payout parlays, they better damn well crush the ball tonight!!
i could see a case for pit,lad, and nats to go along with kc which i already played. not sure if the case is strong enough in any of these to pull the trigger on the dog but wouldnt wanna be laying the juice against these guys (altho it real hard to argue with anyone that continues to fade pit, i havnt been against pads so dont think id start now)..Hmmm, Dodgers R/L +1 at plus odds. Phillies coming off emotional series...do I trust Kuroda's past success against Phil's that much.
On the W-sox, and grabbed K.C. at +155 I liked the game before I saw the ridiculous price.
Twins bat's are in such a funk I just can't trust them..maybe a Knuckler is what the Dr. ordered, or does it exacerbate the futility?
S.D seems very logical but the Mets have been a funny team this year, Collins usually gets them to play and they went on a roll last month with a ragtag lineup that was without Wright and Reyes amongst others. Pelf is a different pitcher at home. Gonna pass here.
Wang and Hand to much uncertainty there for my liking.
Zona and Tex very tempting on the R/L.
Can Morton give Pitt. a Quality start and steal one in S.F - Kinda tempted here, don't think the pitching match-up is as lopsided as it seems.
GL all on your plays
lad prob a decent bet as if anything phils bats seem to have a prob picking up Kuroda's pitches (small sample on everyone but the fact no one has done anything really in a few tries has to be a little telling).
Nats would just be on principal alone as seeing cubs as that big of fav is kinda ridiculous but really dont trust wang at all.
Tex rl seemed like a no brainer at -115, if it loses so what, think i have a better chance of cashing than -115 indicates.
Pads just seems wrong to me, normally im on these guys on the road but i didnt do this against pit so feel like im late to the party so im just staying away.
id say twinks the right side but like i already said i think i should be getting more to go against Sox, so even tho the spot seems great for minny, they are cold and playing the best team in baseball. i gotta have a better price to get involved in that, i hope they win cause a lot of peeps i respect are on them but ill be on sidelines.
Gl to you as well brother.
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