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Ok so I am really annoyed that those no scores lost last night. So i am gonna chase both for the series, not for the full amount but at least to get some of it back.. In both or their prior series there was at least 1 No Score game, so i am gonna see what happens.
Now that is the night i needed after that mess last night. Swept the card only got 1 leans left and if they hit i would even have won all the leans. Oh and thank god my chases with SD and SFG no scores hit tonight it could have gotten ugly.
Great night. Looking forward to tomorrow.
Not much today guys.
8/3/11
No Score 1st inning (72w-36L) 66.67%
Yes Series Chase (32w-7L) Open 0 82%
Score First (20-12) 63%
ML Series Chase (13-0) Open 0 100% (started july 22)
ML Series Chase
NP
Yes Score 1st Inning Chase
NP
No Score 1st Inning
LAD/SD - 1x W
Score First
NP
Leans
Yes Score
ATL/WAS W
OAK/SEA L
No Score
ARI/SFG W
BAL/KC L
MIN/LAA L
Score First
ATL W
PHI W
MIN W
Last edited by calmeat; 08-04-11 at 08:17 AM. Reason: W and L's
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Great picks last night! BOL today!
Well went 1-0 with system pick and 5-3 with leans not a bad night. Here is what i have for today so far.
8/4/11
No Score 1st inning (73w-36L) 66.97%
Yes Series Chase (32w-7L) Open 0 82%
Score First (20-12) 63%
ML Series Chase (13-0) Open 0 100% (started july 22)
ML Series Chase
NP
Yes Score 1st Inning Chase
STL/FLA - .5x W
No Score 1st Inning
MIN/LAA - 1x W
PHI/SFG - 2x W
Score First
NP
Leans
Yes Score
TOR/TB W
No Score
NP
Score First
TEX W
STL W
Last edited by calmeat; 08-04-11 at 09:35 PM. Reason: update W and L
So here you are. Good luck tonight!!!
Thanks for the Cardinals picks.
yeah no prob pretty happy so far 4-0 on the day. Now just hoping the no scores hit as well and it will be a very good day.
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Yeah here i am DoubleD. Just thought i would post here instead of on that thread.
With all the work you do on your spread sheet, it's no wonder that you win consistantly.
Originally Posted by calmeat
Awesome work, as usual.
Thanks, im actually winning money now since i stopped searching for games to play and instead just following the system. If it wasnt for monday's debacle i would be having a huge week.
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calmeat, thanks for sharing your picks !!
Thanks you too doubled, glad we both hit that philly game, my boys were about to score...had me real nervous for a bit.
Alright here is what i got for today lets hope it does as well as yesterday.
8/5/11
No Score 1st inning (75w-36L) 67.57%
Yes Series Chase (34w-7L) Open 0 83%
Score First (20-12) 63%
ML Series Chase (13-0) Open 0 100% (started july 22)
ML Series Chase
Gm1 MIL - 1x (I will risk 1x)
Yes Score 1st Inning Chase
Gm1 TOR/BAL - .5x W
Gm1 NYY/BOS - .5x L
Gm1 MIL/HOU - 1x W
No Score 1st Inning
LAD/ARI - 2x W
Score First
NP
Leans
Yes Score
CLE/TEX (Lean on series chase) W
No Score
WASH/COL L
SEA/LAA W
Score First
MIL - going to chase this for series W
ARI L
LAA
Last edited by calmeat; 08-05-11 at 09:26 PM. Reason: W and L
what's your juice for LAD/ARI no score 1st? My local shows up YES (-125)/NO (-105)
bodog has it at -130 for no
Legends has it at -120...
Didn't sweat that one at all hahah
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I just read the LAD/ARI play by play and so glad it cashed!! I pounded it cause the juice was only (-105)
looking forward to the weekend!!!
Thanks for the pts jaycin. Yeah i mean bases were loaded i thought it was pretty sunk then to get out of that and then ariz having a RISP i really thought it was over. Glad we all cashed that one!I just read the LAD/ARI play by play and so glad it cashed!! I pounded it cause the juice was only (-105)
looking forward to the weekend!!!
Good morning all, Lets hope for another good day. One thing i do on the weekends is tread lightly. eventhough my system has it as a 2x play you may want to go smaller. Weekends are tough for one reason or the other, just wanted to give you a heads up. Anyway here is the card today
8/6/11
No Score 1st inning (76w-36L) 67.86%
Yes Series Chase (34w-7L) Open 0 84%
Score First (20-12) 63%
ML Series Chase (14-0) Open 0 100% (started july 22)
ML Series Chase
NP
Yes Score 1st Inning Chase
Gm2 NYY/BOS - 1x (what you lost last game + .5x) L
No Score 1st Inning
PHI/SFG - 2x L (recommend playing this at 1x, just a gut feeling but SFG hits hamels well)
Score First
TOR - .5x W
MIN - .5x L
COL - .5x W
Leans
Yes Score
MIL/HOU W
No Score
NP
Score First
DET W
Last edited by calmeat; 08-06-11 at 07:58 PM.
Thanks for the great picks cal
i see u seem to be doing good...i only see percentage wins tho...how does it translate in terms of units? for the chase or the No SCORE or SCORE first? any idea? ,might follow u
well as for units i couldnt figure out a good way to show it since lines vary so much for each play. since 6/24 ive been tracking no scores and im up 20units on that. that is the prop that has the most juice. For Yes score most i have seen is -130 but usually goes between -110 to +110 so i am def up on that not sure how much though i would have to go through it all (i started playing it right before second interleague). For score first there is sometimes big juice on that since normally away team is automatically -130. for the most part the plays are between -120 and +120. I started with 15 dollars for a bank roll finally cracked 100 last night laying units of 2$.
Going strictly by units with no juice no score is at +51 units since 2 month MLB started.
Also the Yes chase series overall is 44-4, the record i post is becuase when i started doing it i posted other ones as system plays instead of making them leans so i counted it against my record since i posted them as plays.
Sorry if it really doesnt answer your question. Its my first time capping so wasnt really sure how to show the units and stuff like that.
nice....well the $15 bkroll u had, was it just for the score first and u took it all the way up to 100 or was it for everything?
I originally started with No Score to start the season and would win and lose. Then started coming up with the system with some help of banmanj and some others for the no score, played that awhile and got killed during interleague so started doing Yes scores which had good juice with it. yes was too unpredictable so we came up with doing a chase on the series instead and that seemed to work much better. Then recently just started trying to figure out score first and lastly added in the ML chase. And now that i have been doing it for the season so far i have me leans as well for those that just miss being a system play or ones that i research a bit more and have a feeling about.
So to answer your question No Score 1st was what i started with but i would say the Yes chase has been most profitable but it also could be the worse since you are doing a chase, which can always hurt. But playiing 5% of your bankroll for a unit is a good way to stay in the game.
Alright my bets are locked and loaded for the day, got a work party to go to in a bit so wont be back till later games. BOL everyone!!
not a good start to the night. Both early ones losers. Hopefully the score first plays can salvage the day
yeah. weekends don't always do so well for me for some reason; that's why i usually bet smaller on the weekends.tomorrow will be a better day!
yup same reason i was recommending the smaller bet on the phils game hopefully anyone who tailed played it smaller.
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