[70kgman]

Really like this play tonight.

-Nareveson struggles against Right handed batters, big difference in his stats between avg against from righties and lefties. And 7 of the Reds 9 batters are right handed, Votto and Bruce being the exceptions, but Votto actually hits LHP a lot better than RHP, and Bruce's numbers against RHP and LHP are pretty similar.

- Reds line-up today is a combined 124-385 (.322) against LHP pitching this year.

- Reds line-up today is a combined 18-47 (.382) against Nareveson in their career.

- Nareveson coming off a start in which he allowed 7 runs and 16 hits/walks in 4.2 innings. Only lasted 4 innings giving up 5 runs in a start against Cincy earlier this year.

- Milwaukee have a below average bullpen. Cincy are on the road (average 4.34 runs on road) so will be guaranteed to get at least 9 offensive innings to work with.

[Pick'nParlays]

bol i like it. lot of juice tho