1. 07-07-11 11:28 AM #36
    xxdjstriderxx
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    under
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  2. 07-07-11 11:28 AM #37
    borednaz
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    The truth about baseball is when a team faces injuries to key players & goes on a losing streak it is better to fade them till they do win than go after the "They are due" theory. Think about how much money people lost chasing Florida with this attitude.
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  3. 07-07-11 11:29 AM #38
    rfr3sh
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    hey borednaz, not an is due thoery, read 3 posts up
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  4. 07-07-11 11:34 AM #39
    BRAVES1985
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    Quote Originally Posted by BRAVES1985 View Post
    if anything im leaning over the total
    nm i passed on this game
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  5. 07-07-11 11:40 AM #40
    JamesBrown
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    Took the Rockies RL. Cheers
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  6. 07-07-11 11:43 AM #41
    borednaz
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    Quote Originally Posted by rfr3sh View Post
    hey borednaz, not an is due thoery, read 3 posts up
    Sorry rfr3sh,
    the posts sometimes fly faster than I type out responses . Your post was not even listed yet.
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  7. 07-07-11 11:46 AM #42
    BrianLaverty
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    One argument could be how well Colorado hits vs. Hudson... BUT.... Helton is 9-13 lifetime vs him and hes not even playing... Tulo is 4-9 vs him and hes not even playing.

    Outside of Giambi, (Who IS hitting 8-19), the lineup is 3-16 lifetime vs. Hudson. Not only is this Rockies team struggling, they are also facing an excellent pitcher who is in form (3 ER in last 20 IP), pitching during the day which is when he is at his best (2-0, 1.5 era this year in 5 starts... 10-3, 2.5 era 20 starts last 3 years) and most of them haven't even faced him in there careers.

    On the other side is a rookie pitcher who has given up 13 ER in 16 IP with a WHIP of 1.50 on the road this season..Hes coming off a start where he had his most pitches ever (111) .Also, they have limited his amount of pitches (only over 100 twice this season)... so ATL is likely to see the mediocre Colorado bullpen early... Also keep in mind, the start following his previous high of pitches, he got rocked.. giving up 6 runs, 7 hits and 2 walks in 4.2 IP.


    But yeah... if you wanna bet on a matchup like that, go right ahead. I'm sure your bookie must love you.
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  8. 07-07-11 11:49 AM #43
    rfr3sh
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    damn brian where'd u get all those stats!?!?! I wonder if vegas has used them in the line already omg pm me u must be pro
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  9. 07-07-11 11:51 AM #44
    rfr3sh
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    guys just like to hammer picks that they don't like that's fine, if you can get over my bet sizes, I will post my spreadsheet, then tell me my bookie loves me
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  10. 07-07-11 11:52 AM #45
    BrianLaverty
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    Quote Originally Posted by rfr3sh View Post
    damn brian where'd u get all those stats!?!?! I wonder if vegas has used them in the line already omg pm me u must be pro
    Talk to me like that when in 4 hours i'll be 3k richer...

    stfu.. no value today. Vegas doesn't care about the stats... as long as theres morons like you who think theres value in a rookie pitcher on the road vs. a vet who shines in the daytime.
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  11. 07-07-11 11:53 AM #46
    BrianLaverty
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    Quote Originally Posted by rfr3sh View Post
    guys just like to hammer picks that they don't like that's fine, if you can get over my bet sizes, I will post my spreadsheet, then tell me my bookie loves me
    How about giving an explanation? Instead of just pulling shit out your ass and saying

    "rockies win omgzzzzz +175"
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  12. 07-07-11 11:55 AM #47
    firedawg
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    rfr3sh........... i really fukkin hope you hit this
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  13. 07-07-11 11:56 AM #48
    Rod1010
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    good luck fresh.
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  14. 07-07-11 11:56 AM #49
    rfr3sh
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    I think they have a greater then 38% chance to win today
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  15. 07-07-11 11:57 AM #50
    BrianLaverty
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    Quote Originally Posted by rfr3sh View Post
    I think they have a greater then 38% chance to win today
    ...and yet, you still haven't come up with an explanation WHY.
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  16. 07-07-11 11:59 AM #51
    BRAVES1985
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    1st inning no score 3x for me
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  17. 07-07-11 11:59 AM #52
    firehoyt
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    Quote Originally Posted by BrianLaverty View Post
    ...and yet, you still haven't come up with an explanation WHY.

    OMGZZZZZZZZ!!!!!!!!!
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  18. 07-07-11 12:00 PM #53
    William Walters
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    Lots of posters PMSing today.
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  19. 07-07-11 12:01 PM #54
    Rod1010
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    Quote Originally Posted by William Walters View Post
    Lots of posters PMSing today.
    Yep.
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  20. 07-07-11 12:02 PM #55
    rfr3sh
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    brian there are no relivant stats a person can find that will give you and obvious edge, vegas is too sharp pal
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  21. 07-07-11 12:06 PM #56
    rfr3sh
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    alright men off to class gl with your wagers
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  22. 07-07-11 12:06 PM #57
    BrianLaverty
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    Quote Originally Posted by rfr3sh View Post
    brian there are no relivant stats a person can find that will give you and obvious edge, vegas is too sharp pal
    If you believe that.... then why are you even betting? You just flipping coins?
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  23. 07-07-11 12:07 PM #58
    jayc88
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  24. 07-07-11 12:12 PM #59
    NrmlCurvSurfr
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    Quote Originally Posted by BrianLaverty View Post

    If you believe that.... then why are you even betting? You just flipping coins?
    There are other methods to sports investing other than looking at stats...just saying...I rarely look at team/player stats...waste of time(for me anyway)
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  25. 07-07-11 12:12 PM #60
    face
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    pow one to nothin
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  26. 07-07-11 12:13 PM #61
    BRAVES1985
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    Quote Originally Posted by BRAVES1985 View Post
    1st inning no score 3x for me

    that was quick
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  27. 07-07-11 12:13 PM #62
    JamesBrown
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    Giambi with a clutch hit already. 1-0 Rocks
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  28. 07-07-11 12:14 PM #63
    rfr3sh
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    flipped my lucky penny today.
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  29. 07-07-11 12:15 PM #64
    face
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    Quote Originally Posted by rfr3sh View Post
    brian there are no relivant stats a person can find that will give you and obvious edge, vegas is too sharp pal
    that's bs. example yesterday: baseball stat minds really liked indians yesterday because of masterson's low home run numbers and the fact that yankees get most of their runs from home runs.
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  30. 07-07-11 12:19 PM #65
    rfr3sh
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    my penny gave me the indians too its pretty good
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  31. 07-07-11 12:21 PM #66
    Rod1010
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    Rfr is sharp.. Knows what hes doing dont worry.
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  32. 07-07-11 12:21 PM #67
    CHAZ
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    Quote Originally Posted by rfr3sh View Post
    flipped my lucky penny today.
    Lol gl to you sir

    Rockies can win as long as they keep it low
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  33. 07-07-11 12:23 PM #68
    BrianLaverty
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    Quote Originally Posted by rfr3sh View Post
    my penny gave me the indians too its pretty good
    Its 1-0 after 1... don't get ahead of yourself.
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  34. 07-07-11 12:24 PM #69
    rfr3sh
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    I know I'm just tellinh you about my penny
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  35. 07-07-11 12:26 PM #70
    Vin_vermillion
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    Just my two cents but the only stat I look at is whether a pick seems "too obvious" one way or the other. And then I bet against what is obvious. Had Brian given me the stats he posted earlier before I made a decision on this game myself - I would have bet Colorado all day. And I am up almost 30 units this year in baseball alone. .....
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