INDIANS -102
Justin Masterson has been on fire he’s 2-1 with a 0.97 WHIP and 1.37 ERA over his last 3 starts he faces off against the red hot Yankees who return with Phil Hughes for the first time in some time. Masterson has a 1.85 ERA over his last 5 starts combined and he’s 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA in 3 career starts vs. the Yankees who have a combined .266 average and .619 OPS. A lot comes from Jeter who is 5-12 vs. Masterson and is likely to be sitting out tonight against the Indians, advantage Masterson. Masterson’s splits are impressive as he has a 5-3 record at night with a 2.34 ERA and 1.12 WHIP and I expect him to pitch well vs. a Yankees line up that gets most of it’s runs from home runs and they hit much better vs. LHP on the road. Masterson does not give up HR’s in fact he is #2 with 0.32 HR/9 innings pitched. He’s got a 55% ground ball rate which is also 10th in the league the perfect make up to shut down a hot hitting Yankees team that does not hit righties as well as lefties on the road. Hughes makes his first start in some time for the Yankees and I’m not sure he’s ready to face the Indians who are the #8 with a .766 OPS at home. Vs. RHP they have a .258 average and are averaging 5.32 runs per 9 vs. RHP with a 2.97 bullpen ERA. Hughes at Cleveland over his career has pitched 11 IP, 5 ER so nothing too impressive and although he’s been solid in AA in 3 starts with a 1.80 ERA he’s stepping up big time in competition and I expect him to show a little rust. Indians are 22-4 in their last 26 games as a home favorite and 22-9 in their last 31 home games vs. RH starter while the Yankees are 0-5 last 5 road starts with Hughes on the mound. Take Cleveland to win this one!!!
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Indains -102
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