[BigDan]

Friday, June 17, 2011Line Changes made within the last 15 Minutes will have a G


Money LineTotal Runs Houston Astros at Los Angeles DodgersFri 6/17 901 Houston Astros B Myers - R +1½ -165 +144 Listed o7½ +110 10:10PM 902 Los Angeles Dodgers T Lilly - L -1½ +145 -154 Listed u7½ -130


New York Yankees at Chicago CubsFri 6/17 903 New York Yankees F Garcia - R
-135 Listed 2:20PM 904 Chicago Cubs D Davis - L +125 Listed

Baltimore Orioles at Washington NationalsFri 6/17 905 Baltimore Orioles Z Britton - L +1½ -210 +101 Listed o8 -105 7:05PM 906 Washington Nationals J Marquis - R -1½ +175 -111 Listed u8 -115

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland IndiansFri 6/17 907 Pittsburgh Pirates K Correia - R +1½ -175 +125 Listed o8 -125 7:05PM 908 Cleveland Indians J Tomlin - R -1½ +155 -135 Listed u8 +105

Los Angeles Angels at New York MetsFri 6/17 909 Los Angeles Angels J Pineiro - R +1½ -185 +123 Listed o8 +110 7:10PM 910 New York Mets C Capuano - L -1½ +160 -133 Listed u8 -130 Florida

Marlins at Tampa Bay RaysFri 6/17 911 Florida Marlins B Hand - L +1½ -170 +125 Listed o8½ -130 7:10PM 912 Tampa Bay Rays W Davis - R -1½ +150 -135 Listed u8½ +110

Toronto Blue Jays at Cincinnati RedsFri 6/17 913 Toronto Blue Jays JJ Reyes - L +1½ -160 +138 Listed o9½ -105 7:10PM 914 Cincinnati Reds M Leake - R -1½ +140 -148 Listed u9½ -115 Milwaukee Brewers at Boston

Red SoxFri 6/17 915 Milwaukee Brewers S Marcum - R +1½ -190 +105 Listed o9½ -105 7:10PM 916 Boston Red Sox J Lackey - R -1½ +165 -115 Listed u9½ -115

San Diego Padres at Minnesota
TwinsFri 6/17 919 San Diego Padres C Richard - L +1½ -185 +118 Listed o8 -105 8:10PM 920 Minnesota Twins B Duensing - L -1½ +160 -128 Listed u8 -115

Kansas City Royals at St. Louis CardinalsFri 6/17 921 Kansas City Royals F Paulino - R +1½ -145 +163 Listed o8 -110 8:15PM 922 St. Louis Cardinals C Carpenter - R -1½ +125 -173 Listed u8 -110

Detroit Tigers at Colorado RockiesFri 6/17 923 Detroit Tigers R Porcello - R +1½ -185 +112 Listed o9 -110 8:40PM 924 Colorado Rockies J Hammel - R -1½ +160 -122 Listed u9 -110

Chicago White Sox at Arizona DiamondbacksFri 6/17 925 Chicago White Sox E Jackson - R +1½ -175 +126 Listed o9 -110 9:40PM 926 Arizona Diamondbacks D Hudson - R -1½ +155 -136 Listed u9 -110

San Francisco Giants at Oakland AthleticsFri 6/17 927 San Francisco Giants T Lincecum - R -1½ +110 -152 Listed o7 +100 10:05PM 928 Oakland Athletics G Godfrey - R +1½ -130 +142 Listed u7 -120

Philadelphia Phillies at Seattle MarinersFri 6/17 929 Philadelphia Phillies R Oswalt - R +1½ -225 +100 Listed o6½ -115 10:10PM 930 Seattle Mariners M Pineda - R -1½ +185 -110 Listed u6½ -105


Who ya got?

[onacloud]

NYY ML

[BigDan]

It should be like a pinball machine at Wrigley. GL Doug Davis.

[Fernburn74]

cinny
cleveland
minny

[Hawk007]

Yanks only -135. Good value play!

[Bengals28]

Yankees ML all in

[$Burm$]

brewers...4 game series against the cubs were a tough spot in between the cards and bosox for the crew.. i think there out to prove something

[BigDan]

cinny
cleveland
minny

Im just not sure how anyone can back the Tribe right now, and laying juice? Buccos are def a step down from what they have been playing but no pushovers. was leaning to taking Pirates +127.

Cincy should hammer jo-jo.

lean minny and the un 8.

[ThaTopMoron]

STL will end their losing streak big time vs KC. I am going to be on STL RL... Pirates hot/Indians not... will chase Pitts to win 1 in CLE

NYY @ CHC on a friday afternoon? Don't the Cubs always lose on friday afternoons no matter who they play and they get to face the Yankees after a sweep and an extra inning win?

Yankees ML and RL please!!! and the OVER

Phillies r HOT... will only play them small tho. They are a team that all of a sudden could be fighting to score more than 2 runs vs Seattle's best arms.

Will Timmy be out to redeem himself and shutout the A's who scored 8 today so no more offense left for OAK ...will think about this one

Keep fading the Marlins? maybe in a parlay I will add this 1.

All these plays in a parlay... which 1 screws us? STL... or Philly? Or the Cubs beat the Yanks on a fri afternoon home game and the world ends

[BigDan]

brewers...4 game series against the cubs were a tough spot in between the cards and bosox for the crew.. i think there out to prove something

Marcum has very good numbers against Bos lineup. Hard not to see Brew Crew doing some damage to Lackey's washed up ass.

Hate trying to fade Bos (anyone know their interleague numbers?), but i agree Mil gotta be the play here.

[BigDan]

STL will end their losing streak big time in KC. I am going to be on STL RL... Pirates hot/Indians not... will chase Pitts to win 1 in CLE

NYY @ CHC on a friday afternoon? Don't the Cubs always lose on friday afternoons no matter who they play and they get to face the Yankees after a sweep and an extra inning win?

Yankees ML and RL please!!! and the OVER

Phillies r HOT... will only play them small tho. They are a team that all of a sudden could be fighting to score more than 2 runs vs Seattle's best arms.

Will Timmy be out to redeem himself and shutout the A's who scored 8 today so no more offense left for OAK ...will think about this one

Keep fading the Marlins? maybe in a parlay I will add this 1.

All these plays in a parlay... which 1 screws us? STL... or Philly? Or the Cubs beat the Yanks on a fri afternoon home game and the world ends

Dont really like Phi. Not saying i want to play Sea but i think it might be a little bit of a culture shock for Phils leaving Citizen and Marlins gascan pitchers to go play in Safco.

Cant lay the juice with STL right now. Holliday being back helps and Carp should pitch well, still dont trust the pen and Cards dont score when Carp pitches.

If Scrubbies and Doug Davis beat nyy so be it. I dont care how square it is this line has to go up. Im with you Nyy ml rl and over.

[ThaTopMoron]

Dont really like Phi. Not saying i want to play Sea but i think it might be a little bit of a culture shock for Phils leaving Citizen and Marlins gascan pitchers to go play in Safco.

Cant lay the juice with STL right now. Holliday being back helps and Carp should pitch well, still dont trust the pen and Cards dont score when Carp pitches.

If Scrubbies and Doug Davis beat nyy so be it. I dont care how square it is this line has to go up. Im with you Nyy ml rl and over.

Yep, after taking off my Phillie blinders ...I don't like it either. No side, but lean on the under for the game.

I think I will lay off STL as well, maybe put them in a big $2 parlay that will only hit if a miracle happens haha

[BigDan]

Really think Buccos are worth a shot at +127, really hard for me to find a reason to get off the Tribe fade train. Willing to chase Pirates if need be, they making some noise, play better on the road, and Correia has been very good on the road. Tomlin shoudl fare better against pit offense, un 8 at +110 is also on my radar, would like to see a favorable ump.

[BigDan]

Marcum vs Sox

ABH2B3BHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGOPS
Mike Cameron R 3 1 0 0 1 2 0 1 .333 .333 1.333 1.667
David Ortiz L 27 6 0 1 0 0 7 8 .222 .382 .296 .679
Jason Varitek S 10 4 0 0 0 0 3 2 .400 .538 .400 .938
J.D. Drew L22 5 2 0 3 7 4 10 .227 .346 .727 1.073
Darnell McDonald 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Carl Crawford L1 7 3 0 0 0 1 1 3 .176 .222 .176 .399
Marco Scutaro R 14 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 .143 .143 .143 .286
Kevin Youkilis R 22 4 2 0 1 1 1 9 .182 .217 .409 .626
Adrian Gonzalez L 3 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 .333 .333 1.333 1.667
Dustin Pedroia R 18 2 0 0 1 2 0 3 .111 .150 .278 .428
Jacoby Ellsbury L 12 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 .167 .154 .250 .404
Jarrod SaltalamacchiaS6 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Jed Lowrie S 8 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 .250 .400 .250 .650

Marcum has had a lot of success against Bos from his Tor days. Lackey wont be putting up a QS against the Brew Crew. Bos coming back home after a great road trip against their div. Seems like the spot to fade Bos if there ever was one. Gonna wait cause i need to see a high majority on sox to make me feel better about pushing my luck against them.

[blackeyeshamus]

ABH2B3BHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGOPSMike Cameron R3 1 0 0 1 2 0 1 .333 .333 1.333 1.667 David Ortiz L27 6 0 1 0 0 7 8 .222 .382 .296 .679 Jason Varitek S10 4 0 0 0 0 3 2 .400 .538 .400 .938 J.D. Drew L22 5 2 0 3 7 4 10 .227 .346 .727 1.073 Darnell McDonald R3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 Carl Crawford L17 3 0 0 0 1 1 3 .176 .222 .176 .399 Marco Scutaro R14 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 .143 .143 .143 .286 Kevin Youkilis R22 4 2 0 1 1 1 9 .182 .217 .409 .626 Adrian Gonzalez L3 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 .333 .333 1.333 1.667 Dustin Pedroia R18 2 0 0 1 2 0 3 .111 .150 .278 .428 Jacoby Ellsbury L12 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 .167 .154 .250 .404 Jarrod Saltalamacchia S6 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 Jed Lowrie S8 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 .250 .400 .250 .650

Marcum has had a lot of success against Bos from his Tor days. Lackey wont be putting up a QS against the Brew Crew. Bos coming back home after a great road trip against their div. Seems like the spot to fade Bos if there ever was one. Gonna wait cause i need to see a high majority on sox to make me feel better about pushing my luck against them.

very interesting, big dan!
excellent work. good luck!

[BigDan]

all leans so far.

Balt +103. Nats are on fire atm, Marquis has been pitching great but ive seen this guy his whole career and im not buying it.

Lee, Scott, and Vlad have all hit him well, did just see Vlad was gonna get the day off which bothers me. Brittan is capable and Nats struggle with lefties, how many gms in a row can Nats win?

STL/kc un 8. Carp has been much sharper as of late, the guy is a competitor and with stl really needing a W i would expect him to be at his best. Unfortunately he gets very little run support , ideally stl would get him a fw runs early and he can get aggressive.

Fla/Tb un 8.5. Hand has been solid for fla, TB struggles to score at home, fla struggles period.

cle/pit un8. Tomlin much better at home Correia very solid on road. Neither offense scaring anyone atm.

Pit +127. Fade Tribe until they start making me pay for it.


Mil +105. already explained this, still sux going against Sox.

NYY -150. rl and ov when available. super square day play. dont care if Davis beats them i can live with it.

Cin-149. reds smack lefties, even if jo-jo holds his own he not going deep against this lineup. bring on tor pen.
Laa/nym ov 8. Mets have been hitting the ball, dont trust either pitcher here


Lots of totals for me. just leans as of now. Would like to see the umps before i go crazy with totals, just putting them out there to see what everyone thinks.
.

[RockyMiavia]

I really really like MN against the Padres. Joe Mauer will be back in the lineup for tomorrow game. And I like the under for this game too, both offense can't really hit and relies on defense and pitching. I also like the Yankees and I too like the Cards to end the losing streak. They're too good to be in this funk.

[Avenger]

Why are the Rangers +130 v AA pitcher for Braves?

Too high.

Looks like a sucker bet, but Braves coming off a tough win v Mets, lots of hits. Rangers coming off an easy loss (did I just coin a term? easy-loss, ) Perfect spot for a Braves let-down game.

Thoughts?

[BigDan]

I really really like MN against the Padres. Joe Mauer will be back in the lineup for tomorrow game. And I like the under for this game too, both offense can't really hit and relies on defense and pitching. I also like the Yankees and I too like the Cards to end the losing streak. They're too good to be in this funk.

Dont trust Deunsing, but richard gets no run support. under def a strong possibility.

[BigDan]

Why are the Rangers +130 v AA pitcher for Braves?

Too high.

Looks like a sucker bet, but Braves coming off a tough win v Mets, lots of hits. Rangers coming off an easy loss (did I just coin a term? easy-loss, ) Perfect spot for a Braves let-down game.

Thoughts?

I try to avoid games with pitchers making their 1st big league start so i didnt even look into this one.

[BigDan]

Ok gotta get some work done and got some running to do after that so locking in.

NYY -140. will play total and rl as well but wont be able to post. (scared of smartphones)

cincy rl +140


Brew Crew +? not playing this yet hoping it gets drove up a little more.

Nyy and cincy only things played. will figure out the rest when i get off work. feel free to chime in and let me know what you think. GL everyone

[BigDan]

off to work, already late (good thing i make my own hours for the most part). should be back around 2 or so. hopefully i have a lot of you guys thoughts to read on these games

[thebertshow]

I hate interleague play but I think the Yankees look good today

[BiffTFinancial]

i agree with all three of your totals. haven't had time to run numbers, but after initially leaning over in Pirates/Tribe, i've rethought that and am leaning under (no word yet on if Hafner will return tonight). i love unders at the Trop, although the line movement is crazy on that one (from 8.5 to 9.5), so perhaps that's one to avoid (or you could think of it as getting the all-important 9th run for free). sounds as if you have a solid read on Royals/Cards, Carp is looking much better than he did a month ago and Paulino has been bringing it pretty well. BOL with your plays whatever you decide, Big Dan.

[BigDan]

Love that mil is up to +122 now. hopefully it keeps rising.

[BigDan]

well our supper square yanks play is looking like we gonna get what we deserve. I still cant believe Davis shuts these pricks down another time thru lineup.

[chantrain]

do we really deserve to lose because we picked the better team to win?

[BigDan]

i agree with all three of your totals. haven't had time to run numbers, but after initially leaning over in Pirates/Tribe, i've rethought that and am leaning under (no word yet on if Hafner will return tonight). i love unders at the Trop, although the line movement is crazy on that one (from 8.5 to 9.5), so perhaps that's one to avoid (or you could think of it as getting the all-important 9th run for free). sounds as if you have a solid read on Royals/Cards, Carp is looking much better than he did a month ago and Paulino has been bringing it pretty well. BOL with your plays whatever you decide, Big Dan.

yea i dont really trust either pitcher in the tb/fla gm, was thinking more along the lines of tb doesnt score at home and fla doesnt score period as of late.

Not sure how solid my read is on stl at the moment, had them pegged all last yr (for the most part) and started well this season but last few weeks i have struggled with Cards. actually banned myself from betting their gms during thee hou series, jumped on them gm 1 against Nats only to watch Larussa bring in the biggest scrubs in the pen we have to blow the lead. Not even sure if they gonna get this one in, havnt checked the weather but it started pouring while i was at work and is still raining now.

[BigDan]

do we really deserve to lose because we picked the better team to win?

When it is the only day game, when its the most popular team against a team everyone loves to fade, when the line opened way to short. Id say Yes we probably do deserve to lose, i would normally avoid this kind of bet like the plague but it seemed to good to pass up. Lots of game left though NYY the kind of team that can make a square's dreams come true

[BigDan]

Ok stl gm will be played, rain is moving out. Was some serious rain though, sucked ass driving in that shit.

[jay777]

Nats -111
Det + 112
sea/Phil Ov 6.5
bank it!

[chantrain]

I will agree with one thing though. Routinely fading the cubs has started to become suicide. They began to play better recently. They actually winning some games now.

[BigDan]

I will agree with one thing though. Routinely fading the cubs has started to become suicide. They began to play better recently. They actually winning some games now.

I mean yea they suck but certainly have some talent, most of it is overpaid underachievers but still talent none the less. Had to figure after their losing streak they would play a little better. Still i believe they just caught mil at the right time (emotional letdown after sweeping stl and taking over 1st place).

This is just normally the kind of gm i fade the easy play or pass, couldnt resist this one though, still not convinced Davis is gonna keep these guys down much longer.

[BigDan]

Now or never Spanks. by now these guys should have adjusted to the 80mph fastball i hope.

[HoulihansTX]

Cardinals lose today.