Reds hit lefties well, but this lefty they struggle against.
This current Reds lineup, in 120 career plate appearances against Kershaw are a miserable 21 for 104 (.202) and an even more miserable .282 on base percentage.
Only Joey Votto has had success hitting 2 homers off Kershaw, but he's struck out 7 times in 14 plate appearances, if you want to include Bradon Phillips seven singles, then fine, but the team struggles against Kershaw.
The guy up top, Stubbs, that sets the table can't touch him 0 for 11 lifetime, striking out 5 times.
The other big boy, Jay Bruce, faced Kershaw 6 times, struck out 3 times.
The whole Reds current roster has 120 plate appearances versus Kershaw, striking out 43 times, which is more than one strike out every three plate appearances.
For arguments sake, if the Reds get 4 plate appearances an inning tonight, and Kershaw goes 7 innings tonight, do the math, I did, the numbers in the past have proven that you should expect Kershaw to have 8 or 9 K's.
I don't want to tell the OP not to play the Reds tonight, but if you break it down, 'POUNDING' the Reds in this spot is risky business.
p.s. this Dodger roster has success against Cueto, their batting average against him is .270 BUT, BIG BUT, in 79 plate appearances against have a ridiculously high on base percentage of .373
Kemp owns Cueto he's .556 lifetime, with 2 bombs, and unlike Votto where his protection (Stubbs etc) can't touch Kershaw, Kemp's protection at the top of the order, does reach base.
In summary, Reds hit lefty's, not THIS lefty though, Reds strike out at a ridiculous clip, more than 1:3 ratio off of him, which is just dreadful, don't get on base off of THIS lefty Kershaw
You can't score if you can't get on base.
Dodgers get on base 15 percent more with their lineup against their pitcher than the Reds do against their pitcher.
Only reason why I don't POUND the Dodgers tonight is their scares me.
Good luck though, just thought I'd point out these glaring numbers, not to piss on your post.
good #s Nash, i always eyeball as well, however such small sampling (no more then 10-13 ABs for each Red vs Kershaw) doesn't concern me too much. as a whole they have confidence vs lefties and beat him week or so ago also. also factoring in Kershaw's last two poor starts and Cueto's solid month. on the other side i saw Kemp and Ethier with decent #s vs Cueto, but as a whole their lineup stinking it up. GL with your picks!
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Reds pound lefties. I pound Reds.
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