When facing Davis, Baltimore is 4-1, winning 6-0, 5-1, 4-0, 8-7. Davis has only lasted 6 1/2 innings tops vs Baltimore. I don't see him reaching that point today, giving up just about 7 hits/a game vs the Orioles, giving up an average of 3-4 runs against Baltimore.
Matusz is 3-1 facing TB, with 1 ND start. That one losing start he got lit up, but other than that, he's been solid and strong thus far this year. Matusz has a lot more K's than Davis when comparing the two, averaging 7-8 K's. Davis only averages around 3-4.
Relievers for TB have pitched a total of 10 1/2 innings in the past 3 games. Will they be able to back Davis and hold the Orioles here?
Matusz can go deeper into the game, and the Orioles BP has pitched 9 2/3 innings the past 3 games.
Baltimore is coming off a heartbreaking loss yesterday, and I think Baltimore takes this game.