1. #1
    vegasal
    vegasal's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-01-11
    Posts: 47
    Betpoints: 24

    Atlanta (-116 ML) over Florida

    I like this play for today. after looking at the starting pitching matchup, it looks to me that Atlanta has the advantage there. Florida pitcher Volstad has a 2011 score rating of a (-63) and his last 3 starts (-17), and his last 3 starts against Atlanta his rating is (-2). While Atlanta pitcher Jurrjens has a 2011 score rating of a (+123) and his last 3 starts (+42), and his last 3 starts against Florida his rating is (+47). Both teams offenses has struggled recently though. Im going with Atlanta in this one.

  2. #2
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    not being rude, but these stats are worthless for a couple of reasons

    a) if they are relevant they are in the line already
    b) you determined the favourite with these stats, but not there % chance to win

  3. #3
    vegasal
    vegasal's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-01-11
    Posts: 47
    Betpoints: 24

    there are no true winning picks my friend. I'm only suggesting who i like to win and why i think so. the stats comes from game score pitching and by my own handicapping knowledge.

  4. #4
    clairvoyance
    clairvoyance's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-06-11
    Posts: 115

    Quote Originally Posted by rfr3sh View Post
    not being rude, but these stats are worthless for a couple of reasons

    a) if they are relevant they are in the line already
    b) you determined the favourite with these stats, but not there % chance to win

  5. #5
    Sportsbetting123
    Sportsbetting123's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-08
    Posts: 1,400
    Betpoints: 7617

    Tough call for me here. If I had to go with a side tonight, it would be Florida. Best of luck.

  6. #6
    TheLock
    TheLock's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-06-08
    Posts: 14,429
    Betpoints: 7931

    ATL ML is squarest play on the board. Good luck.

  7. #7
    linedrivr
    I'm your huckleberry
    linedrivr's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-04-10
    Posts: 2,223
    Betpoints: 432

    Quote Originally Posted by TheLock View Post
    ATL ML is squarest play on the board. Good luck.
    the Yankees and Phillies would give them a run for the money for square champion tonight.

  8. #8
    ColdBeerHere
    Tailing Wilson
    ColdBeerHere's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-25-11
    Posts: 3,626
    Betpoints: 8151

    Quote Originally Posted by vegasal View Post
    there are no true winning picks my friend. I'm only suggesting who i like to win and why i think so. the stats comes from game score pitching and by my own handicapping knowledge.
    Same here man...who cares if the play is square or not....If it's a winner go with it...I capped it for the Braves too....BOL

  9. #9
    TheLock
    TheLock's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-06-08
    Posts: 14,429
    Betpoints: 7931

    VegasAl are you also on NYY and PHI -1.5?

  10. #10
    pavyracer
    MOLON LABE
    pavyracer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-12-07
    Posts: 82,188
    Betpoints: 304

    Whoever scores the most runs wins tonight. Marlins have only scored 2 runs on a two run RBI single in the last 19 innings vs Braves.

  11. #11
    RudyRuetigger
    Leave of absence until March Madness
    RudyRuetigger's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-10
    Posts: 64,799
    Betpoints: 53

    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Whoever scores the most runs wins tonight. Marlins have only scored 2 runs on a two run RBI single in the last 19 innings vs Braves.
    and people say Pavy isnt sharp

  12. #12
    Dukebluejms
    Dukebluejms's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-21-09
    Posts: 1,633
    Betpoints: 18

    Hard to bet against Jurrjens here, but my gut says the fish win tonight.

  13. #13
    pavyracer
    MOLON LABE
    pavyracer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-12-07
    Posts: 82,188
    Betpoints: 304

    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    and people say Pavy isnt sharp
    What I meant is you can't count on Marlins to get out of their hitting slump tonight. They may start hitting again tonight, tomorrow or next week. There is no reason of chasing them until they start hitting again.

  14. #14
    rm18
    Update your status
    rm18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-05
    Posts: 22,291
    Betpoints: 207814

    Teams with the best bullpens almost never the worst play on the board, but Braves lineup is whoreshit right now though.

  15. #15
    BRAVES1985
    BRAVES1985's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-23-10
    Posts: 4,250
    Betpoints: 1957

    Quote Originally Posted by rm18 View Post
    Teams with the best bullpens almost never the worst play on the board, but Braves lineup is whoreshit right now though.
    and the marlins have been even worse

    and they lost 7 in a row

  16. #16
    pavyracer
    MOLON LABE
    pavyracer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-12-07
    Posts: 82,188
    Betpoints: 304

    I'm not touching this game. It will probably be a 1 run game either way. I would rather bet black on roulette and take my chances there.

  17. #17
    BRAVES1985
    BRAVES1985's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-23-10
    Posts: 4,250
    Betpoints: 1957

    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    i'm not touching this game. It will probably be a 1 run game either way. I would rather bet black on roulette and take my chances there.
    this

  18. #18
    RockyMiavia
    RockyMiavia's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-02-11
    Posts: 266

    One run lead it should have been 3 but it's okay. Lets go Atlanta and close out the Marlins. C'mon lets make it a perfect night.

  19. #19
    RockyMiavia
    RockyMiavia's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-02-11
    Posts: 266

    Congrats all.

  20. #20
    BRAVES1985
    BRAVES1985's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-23-10
    Posts: 4,250
    Betpoints: 1957


  21. #21
    lunchbawks
    NB#
    lunchbawks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-10
    Posts: 12,873
    Betpoints: 173

    Nice call. Jair is unbelievable

  22. #22
    vegasal
    vegasal's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-01-11
    Posts: 47
    Betpoints: 24

    close game, but it was a win.

  23. #23
    BRAVES1985
    BRAVES1985's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-23-10
    Posts: 4,250
    Betpoints: 1957

    venters is fukin sick im still hard

  24. #24
    beerman2619
    beerman2619's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-24-09
    Posts: 7,752
    Betpoints: 459

    Venters best reliever in the league Jair for Cy young kids

  25. #25
    mitmur1998
    mitmur1998's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-09
    Posts: 381
    Betpoints: 30

    Nice call. Close but still a winner

Top