1. 06-06-11 03:09 PM #1
    BiffTFinancial
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    Monday

    3* Twins/Tribe under 8.5 (-115)
    3* Dodgers/Phillies over 7.5 (-117)
    3* Jays/Royals under 9 (-120)

    BOL to all tonight.
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  2. 06-06-11 03:12 PM #2
    crazymonkey
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    whats ur thinking on the royals over? winds blowing out and we got two average pitches on the hill
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  3. 06-06-11 03:59 PM #3
    J-Ro11
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    Took the over on phils/dodgers last night, expecting a big game back

    GL
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  4. 06-06-11 04:06 PM #4
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by crazymonkey View Post
    whats ur thinking on the royals over? winds blowing out and we got two average pitches on the hill
    wind is out, but it's not terribly strong, about 10 mph, so a factor but not a major factor. i use a formula (xFIP and such) that predicts total number of runs for a game, and even with a bump to account for the wind, the formula comes up with around 8 runs. a big part of that is probably that Morrow's xFIP is appreciably lower than his ERA, and that Paulino's only start was solid. when you add that the public's on the over but the under is getting juiced, and KC's offense is in a bit of a funk (8 runs last five games), i like the under.
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  5. 06-06-11 04:09 PM #5
    Crnjak
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    I agree with Dodgers/Phillies over 7.5
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  6. 06-06-11 04:27 PM #6
    alling
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    STRAIGHT BET Jun 06 MLB [951] TOTAL o8EV (LOS vrs PHI) [T LILLY -L/C LEE -L]
    STRAIGHT BET Jun 06 MLB [958] TOTAL u6½-110 (COL vrs SDG) [C MORTENSE -R/C RICHARD -L]
    STRAIGHT BET Jun 06 MLB [971] TAM -145 [Action]
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  7. 06-06-11 05:13 PM #7
    crazymonkey
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    wind is out, but it's not terribly strong, about 10 mph, so a factor but not a major factor. i use a formula (xFIP and such) that predicts total number of runs for a game, and even with a bump to account for the wind, the formula comes up with around 8 runs. a big part of that is probably that Morrow's xFIP is appreciably lower than his ERA, and that Paulino's only start was solid. when you add that the public's on the over but the under is getting juiced, and KC's offense is in a bit of a funk (8 runs last five games), i like the under.
    Thanks for the input! BOL tonight biff
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  8. 06-06-11 07:43 PM #8
    letsgo
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    Looks like Indians crappy play screwed the first pick.
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  9. 06-06-11 09:10 PM #9
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by letsgo View Post
    Looks like Indians crappy play screwed the first pick.
    yep. they really stunk the joint up again tonight.
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  10. 06-06-11 09:12 PM #10
    BiffTFinancial
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    3* Twins/Tribe under 8.5 (-115) - LOSER
    3* Dodgers/Phillies over 7.5 (-117) - LOSER

    0-2 -6.96u start. both bad picks. Jays/Royals pending.
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  11. 06-07-11 05:34 AM #11
    BiffTFinancial
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    1-2 -3.96u.
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