1. 06-03-11 12:08 PM #1
    topgame85
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    Tor/balt over 8.5 -105

    Coming off 2-0 day yesterday looking to hit another W tonight. This is a very playable Over and is my favorite on the card. GL boys.
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  2. 06-03-11 12:16 PM #2
    King Mayan
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    I'm on it, hommes.
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  3. 06-03-11 12:22 PM #3
    gilbert91016
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    Top what do you think of over on rangers/Indians
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  4. 06-03-11 12:29 PM #4
    firedawg
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    gl top
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  5. 06-03-11 12:36 PM #5
    azimm11
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    GL top. Keep the streak goin'
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  6. 06-03-11 12:45 PM #6
    thompsontw
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    Looks good to me both starters cough up lots of runs.
    And there bullpens are pretty weak and tired.
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  7. 06-03-11 12:49 PM #7
    topgame85
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    Quote Originally Posted by gilbert91016 View Post
    Top what do you think of over on rangers/Indians
    Can't confidently say one side or the other, would have to lean under but don't really have a good read on the matchup
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  8. 06-03-11 01:02 PM #8
    excel
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    I'm on this with you and toronto ml.
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  9. 06-03-11 01:14 PM #9
    Lord and Master
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    Quote Originally Posted by topgame85 View Post
    Coming off 2-0 day yesterday looking to hit another W tonight. This is a very playable Over and is my favorite on the card. GL boys.
    i'm fading thanks for this one
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  10. 06-03-11 01:23 PM #10
    Redscot
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    Like it, gonna ride along.
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  11. 06-03-11 01:27 PM #11
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lord and Master View Post
    i'm fading thanks for this one
    You aren't a very happy spirit, are you "lord"... So much negative energy from you
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  12. 06-03-11 01:31 PM #12
    RockyMiavia
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    That's a life of a better. UP and Down and Down and Up. I like to over too, only a little bit skeptical of Baltimore offense. .5 units on the over. Thanks for the pick.
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  13. 06-03-11 01:38 PM #13
    topgame85
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lord and Master View Post
    i'm fading thanks for this one

    I would expect as much, enjoy.
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  14. 06-03-11 01:46 PM #14
    gilbert91016
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    Quote Originally Posted by topgame85 View Post
    Can't confidently say one side or the other, would have to lean under but don't really have a good read on the matchup
    Thanks
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  15. 06-03-11 01:52 PM #15
    LGHT
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    Bal has one of the lowest hitting eras in the league. Their last 6 games they have only hit .231 Tor is hitting .315 almost .100 higher..

    It may go over, but I don't have much confidence in Bal so i'm taking Toronto at +112 for the win.
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  16. 06-03-11 02:10 PM #16
    TheCommish
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    I like it, too. Going with the Jays ML also.
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  17. 06-03-11 03:41 PM #17
    gilly6864
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    LM what would be your top play? since your so good at picking winners! have yet to see one of your plays posted and dont give us the bullshit that you work to hard on picking plays to give out for free...always an excuse
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  18. 06-03-11 03:44 PM #18
    gilbert91016
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  19. 06-03-11 03:49 PM #19
    VegasInsider
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    Quote Originally Posted by thompsontw View Post
    Looks good to me both starters cough up lots of runs.
    And there bullpens are pretty weak and tired.
    They do?

    Britton has a 2.93 ERA in his 11 starts this season and 1.91 ERA at home.

    Villanueva is a reliever-turned-starter and has a 2.62 ERA in 15 appearances (2 starts) this season


    Soooo....where do you get that both starters "cough up a lot of runs" ???

    Just another poster talking out of their ass..
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  20. 06-03-11 03:59 PM #20
    BiffTFinancial
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    like this one a lot. Jays hit LHP very well and Britton has slowed down a bit recently, not missing as many bats (his xFIP is about 1.4 runs higher than his ERA). Villanueva's xFIP also over a run higher than his ERA, Jays pen a little worn out too, and O's pen one of the worst in the majors.
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  21. 06-03-11 04:22 PM #21
    Lord and Master
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    Quote Originally Posted by gilly6864 View Post
    LM what would be your top play? since your so good at picking winners! have yet to see one of your plays posted and dont give us the bullshit that you work to hard on picking plays to give out for free...always an excuse
    i'm not on here to post picks, i gain nothing from doing it. i'm here to get a qualitative look at what the dumb money is thinking and where they are betting. this board is a surprisingly accurate gauge of market sentiment
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  22. 06-03-11 04:47 PM #22
    gilly6864
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lord and Master View Post

    i'm not on here to post picks, i gain nothing from doing it. i'm here to get a qualitative look at what the dumb money is thinking and where they are betting. this board is a surprisingly accurate gauge of market sentiment
    Then why bother to comment on ones plays..just join and look around to see what people are doing..the fact that you have a lot to say on here indicates to me that maybe these picks are not so dumb..there are many ways to handicap and not one is the right way but a combination..I would love to see a strict math approach go up against someone who is more old school..that would end the conversation about this topic..results tell all..not some back and forth conversation about dumb money and EV..
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  23. 06-03-11 04:52 PM #23
    Lord and Master
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    Quote Originally Posted by gilly6864 View Post

    Then why bother to comment on ones plays
    can't help myself sometimes

    I would love to see a strict math approach go up against someone who is more old school..that would end the conversation about this topic..results tell all..not some back and forth conversation about dumb money and EV..
    i don't even know why i bother to be honest
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  24. 06-03-11 04:56 PM #24
    gilly6864
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    Good luck on your non posted plays if you even bet
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  25. 06-03-11 05:16 PM #25
    DigBick86
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    made a monstebet on Jays first 5 innings,villanouva dosent pitch longer then the 6th at max and the BP of Jays is worthless,Jays hit lefties really good have 8 righthanders in the lineup today they will lead up to the fifth for sure
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  26. 06-03-11 05:30 PM #26
    Lord and Master
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    Quote Originally Posted by gilly6864 View Post
    Good luck on your non posted plays if you even bet
    thx you too.....just for you: best value tonight is pirates ml, fla/milwaukee under, cubs/stl under....these have value if you are betting at cheaper than -110 totals: yanks/angels under, reds/dodgers under
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  27. 06-03-11 05:32 PM #27
    donkdown
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasInsider View Post
    They do?

    Britton has a 2.93 ERA in his 11 starts this season and 1.91 ERA at home.

    Villanueva is a reliever-turned-starter and has a 2.62 ERA in 15 appearances (2 starts) this season


    Soooo....where do you get that both starters "cough up a lot of runs" ???

    Just another poster talking out of their ass..
    In Toppers defense LV the last game Villanova or whatever his name is pitched he got knocked around. Villanova has been a pitcher in the MLB for many yrs and is no good!! I like this pick and i think Balty wins!!
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  28. 06-03-11 05:33 PM #28
    gilly6864
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    LM...that a boy!! Like to see it...I have to say I like those picks
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  29. 06-03-11 05:34 PM #29
    donkdown
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lord and Master View Post
    thx you too.....just for you: best value tonight is pirates ml, fla/milwaukee under, cubs/stl under....these have value if you are betting at cheaper than -110 totals: yanks/angels under, reds/dodgers under
    So the best value is whoever the public% is on the most to bet opposite?? LOL Value!! Give me your reason y the fck the Pirates have good value tonight?? Then name me 5 players on the Pirates u have 1 minute!!
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  30. 06-03-11 05:40 PM #30
    Lord and Master
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    Quote Originally Posted by donkdown View Post
    So the best value is whoever the public is betting opposite to u.. LOL Value!!
    nope...if that was the case i'd also be telling you a's, tigers, twins, rockies. when the market moves a line off of the true line, that creates value. many times it coincides with a majority of the public on the opposite side but majority of the public on the opposite side does not mean there's value. its not a two way street
    Last edited by Lord and Master; 06-03-11 at 05:43 PM.
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  31. 06-03-11 05:45 PM #31
    steelyballs52
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    likin the jays ML and the over
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  32. 06-03-11 07:12 PM #32
    tatddy
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    You know what would be cool? If Baltimore got a hit
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  33. 06-03-11 07:23 PM #33
    rfr3sh
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    You know what would be cool? If Baltimore got a hit
    doesnt matter jp arancebia
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  34. 06-03-11 07:24 PM #34
    BiffTFinancial
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    arencibia, boom.
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  35. 06-03-11 07:38 PM #35
    letsgo
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    There is the over.
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