1. Det (-125) to win 2 units ======================================== === ***Results from June 28***
1. Ari (-155) to win 1.5 units..........................win 1.5 units
2. Det (-140) to win 1.3 units........................lose 1.82 units
3. Yanks (-125) to win 0.5 units....................win 0.5 units
4. Tex (-170) to win 0.75 units....................win 0.75 units
Total for June 28: 3-1, +0.93 units
Overall SU System Record: 47-47, -3.07 units
======================================== ============ ***Notes***
It took awhile, but we worked our record back to 50%. Down just a few units and continue to head in the right direction. We only have one official play today, but there is a good value play on the White Sox today according to my numbers. I'll play that game for sure. Light day...let's go Detroit!
======================================== ==========
Good luck,
1. Det RL (-105) to win 1.6 units
======================================== ======= ***Results from June 29***
1. Det (-125) to win 2 units................................... .......lose 2.5 units
Total for June 29: 0-1, -2.50 units
Overall SU System Record: 47-48, -5.57 units
======================================== ===== ***Notes***
Mets bats are on fire...30 runs in 2 games??? Here comes Verlander to put them back in their places. Run differential and runs scored are a part of the equation that determines the plays, so technically, Detroit has been pushed out of being a play today. However, we use the same logic here that we did on the Red Sox a couple weeks ago. Mets are a bit of an outlier because of the abnormally high number of runs they have scored the last two games. The system doesn't understand this anomaly and gives the Mets too much credit. We apply situational analysis here and stick with the play. At the same time, we back off on our bet and play to get back to even for the week, instead of the 3-3.5 units I might normally lay in this situation. We need to keep risk down and give ourselves a shot at staying up for the week. Even a Det loss today doesn't cripple us. Hopefully we'll get a full card on Friday to get the push we need to get the system in the black.
======================================== ====================
Good luck,
======================================== === ***Results from June 30***
1. Det RL (-105) to win 1.6 units.................win 1.6 units
Total for June 30: 1-0, +1.6 units
Overall SU System Record: 48-48, -3.97 units
======================================== == ***Notes***
Worked out just as we hoped with Detroit. Too bad we didn't hit it stronger, but hind sight is easy. I want this system to focus on keeping risk low. Not many good matchups this weekend. We may not even get enough plays to have a chance to get back to even. We'll have to see what Saturday brings. Enjoy your Friday.
======================================== =====
Good luck,
======================================== =========== ***Results from July 1***
1. Bos (-130) to win 1.3 units....................win 1.3 units
Total for July 1: 1-0, +1.3 units
Overall SU System Record: 48-48, -2.67 units ======================================== =
***Notes***
Nice Red Sox rally. Just the one small play today. No reason to force anything. Long weekend with lots going on so it's better not to have to watch the scores anyway
======================================== =======
Good luck,
====================================== ***Results from July 2***
1. Cinci (-150) to win 0.5 units.................lose 0.75 units
Total for July 2: 0-1, -0.75 units
Overall SU System Record: 49-49, -3.42 units ==================================
***Notes***
Last play of the week. Was a quiet weekend. Would like to risk 1 unit here, but a loss would put us negative on the week. I always do my best to have each week be positive, which we are assured by making this small play. Enjoy your Sunday.
======================================== =
1. Wash RL (+125) risk 1 unit
2. TB (-150) to win 1.5 units
3. CHW (-150) to win 1 unit
4. Tex (+100) risk 0.75 units
5. SF (-200) to win 0.5 units
6. Atl (-130) to win 1.5 units
7. Phi (+100) risk 0.5 units
====================================
***Results from July 3***
1. Cinci RL (+115) risk 0.5 units
Total for July 3: 1-0, +0.58 units
Overall SU System Record: 50-49, -2.84 units
====================================== ***Notes***
Another positive week. I think that's 3 in a row. Short on time today but lots on the board. Enjoy the fireworks, BBQ, friends and family!!
======================================== ========
Good luck,
1. TB (-110) to win 2 units
2. Wash (-125) to win 0.75 units
3. Mil (-170) to win 1 unit
4. SF (-145) to win 1.4 units
======================================== =======
***Results from July 4***
1. Wash RL (+125) risk 1 unit....................lose 1 unit
2. TB (-150) to win 1.5 units.....................lose 2.25 units
3. CHW (-150) to win 1 unit.....................win 1 unit
4. Tex RL (+100) risk 0.75 units....................win 0.75 units
5. SF (-200) to win 0.5 units........................lose 1 unit
6. Atl (-130) to win 1.5 units.......................win 1.5 units
7. Phi (+100) risk 0.5 units........................win 0.5 units
Total for July 4: 4-3, -0.50 units
The day started off rough but finished strong. Too bad the Natinals couldn't win by two for us. Just a small loss after the dust settled so let's pick it back up for Tuesday.
========================================
Good luck,
1. TB (+115) risk 1.2 units
2. CHW (-140) to win 0.5 units
3. Mil (-150) to win 1.5 units
4. SF (-150) to win 1.2 units
5. Special parlay SF (-150)/TB (+115): 1 unit to win 2.56 units
======================================== ==== ***Results from July 5***
1. TB (-110) to win 2 units............................lose 2.2 units
2. Wash (-125) to win 0.75 units...................win 0.75 units
3. Mil (-170) to win 1 unit.........................lose 1.7 units (line dropped big after I played this for some reason)
4. SF (-145) to win 1.4 units.....................lose 2.03 units
Total for July 5: 1-3, -5.18 units
Overall SU System Record: 55-55, -8.52 units
======================================== ======= ***Notes***
A devastating day for the system with two big losses. The curse of the week before All Star break seems to strike again. We have been on a solid run...if SF and TB can avoid sweeps, we'll get enough back to make this dent manageable. I should mention another strategy I use...not for official plays, but just an idea for your own strategy when sports betting. Often, when I'm in a situation with many units on the line and more than 3 plays, I will make a very small RR parlay of 2's and 3's on the otherside for insurance. I did this yesterday and actually ended up with a small profit on the day. This is only something I recommend for the ultra conservative bettor. I haven't tracked it, but I'd say I've come out ahead using this strategy over the past couple years. Let's get our wins today and try to get this system in the black where it belongs.
======================================== ============
Good luck,
1. Boston (-155) to win 0.75 units
2. Tex (-130) to win 1.2 units (ominous reminder of this week last year)
3. CHW (-150) to win 0.75 units
4. Hou (+120) risk 0.5 units
5. Mil (-115) to win 1 unit
6. SF (-115) to win 0.5 units
1. TB (+115) risk 1.2 units...........................win 1.38 units
2. CHW (-140) to win 0.5 units...................lose 0.7 units
3. Mil (-150) to win 1.5 units....................win 1.5 units
4. SF (-150) to win 1.2 units...........................win 1.2 units
5. Special parlay SF (-150)/TB (+115): 1 unit to win 2.56 units.................win 2.56 units
Total for July 6: 4-1, +5.94 units
Bounced right back! Nice. Took SF quite a few innings to get it done but it doesn't matter when you score 'em. We're back on track for this week and have a good shot once again at getting into the black. Extremely good considering where we started...not that anyone is paying attention. Patience usually pays off in this game. We are staying conservative for the next few days but we'll try to move forward nonetheless.
======================================== ==
Good luck,
1. CHW (-155) to win 1 unit
2. Pit (-120) to win 0.75 units
3. Wash (-130) to win 1.3 units
4. SF (-135) to win 0.75 units
======================================== === ***Results from July 7***
1. Boston (-155) to win 0.75 units..............win 0.75 units
2. Tex (-130) to win 1.2 units.....................win 1.2 units
3. CHW (-150) to win 0.75 units.................lose 1.13 units
4. Hou (+120) risk 0.5 units.....................lose 0.5 units
5. Mil (-115) to win 1 unit.........................win 1 unit
6. SF (-115) to win 0.5 units.......................win 0.5 units
Inching forward each day. Not bad for a system that was down 20 units a month ago. No reason we shouldn't get into positive numbers in another few days. Still trying to stay a little conservative with the all star break looming.
======================================== =======
Good luck,
1. Wash (+100) risk 1.2 units
2. Pit (-110) to win 0.5 units
3. Hou (+155) risk 0.5 units
4. Special parlay CHW RL (+140)/SF (-175): 0.5 units to win 1.39 units
======================================== ==
***Results from July 8***
1. CHW (-155) to win 1 unit.................................los e 1.55 units
2. Pit (-120) to win 0.75 units...........................win 0.75 units
3. Wash (-130) to win 1.3 units..............................lose 1.69 units
4. SF (-135) to win 0.75 units.............................lose 1.01 units
Rough day. Should have lost them all. Doesn't look like we'll be in the black after this weekend. Forgot to mention I'm on the road this weekend. Gonna be tough to post...especially tomorrow, but I'll do my best. Hope today goes better!
======================================== ====
Good luck,
1. Wash (+100) risk 1.2 units..........................lose 1.2 units
2. Pit (-110) to win 0.5 units........................lose 0.55 units
3. Hou (+155) risk 0.5 units.........................lose 0.5 units
4. Special parlay CHW RL (+140)/SF (-175): 0.5 units to win 1.39 units.......................lose 0.5 units
**Results from July 10***
1. Wash (-130) to win 2.5 units........................win 2.5 units
Total for July 9: 0-4, -2.75 units
Total For July 10: 1-0, +2.5 units
Had a losing weekend and had the first losing week in a month, dropping about 2 units. I'll be posting a 1st half summary sometime today or tomorrow.
======================================== =======
Good luck,
Thoughts on this data 7/13: After a rough start, the system got right on track with 4 straight winning weeks. Looking back at that first week, I made a few mistakes with the new implementation of the system. Since so much of the selection process is automated, I forgot to pay attention to factors that would have helped us avoid some losses. The system in general is still underperforming expectations by quite a bit. Since we aren't playing series this season, I expected our straight up win/loss record to approve and pave the way to more units. It's clear that this system will likely hit around 50% if we continue as such, which is fine as long as we are managing our units correctly.
If we remove our first week of play, this system would be an extremely respectable 61-52 and +14.5 units. That means we made some good adjustments, but in this game, you don't get the luxury of ignoring bets that were placed. I stated at the beginning of the year, that the main goal was to keep volatility low for this season. It seems that goal has been achieved well, again with the exception of the first week. We also had some medium sized fluctuation this past week which I didn't like. Overall, I'd say it's worth it to try and maintain our slow but sure forward progress. I'll keep running the system for at least 3 more weeks and then reevaluate at that point. I plan to use some of this information for next year, so while we are falling FAR short of expectations, the learning process does not end. Let's see if this system can push forward into the positive and stay there. Good luck to all as we start the second half.
Here we go! It was nice to have a few days off. A few plays today to get things started, including a Marlins-Cubs battle of the inept! I won't be watching any of these games tonight, that's for sure. Hopefully we can start off on the right foot after last week's small stumble.
======================================== =======
Good luck,
1. Yanks (+100) risk 1 unit
2. Bos (+140) risk 0.75 units
3a. Atl (-175) to win 0.5 units
3b. Atl RL (+120) risk 0.75 units
4. Pitt (+100) risk 1.5 units
5. Ari (+120) risk 0.75 units
======================================== ===========
***Results from July 14***
1. Yanks (-140) to win 1 unit................lose 1.4 units
2. Min (-150) to 1.2 units.....................win 1.2 units
3. Fla (+100) risk 0.75 units...................win 0.75 units
Always nice to have a winning day, no matter how small. Not sure how the Yanks got shelled in the 1st, but ouch. Hopefully they show up today. Let's hope the dogs are barking today. Not too much on the line today but potential for a nice step forward.
======================================== ====
Good luck,
One of those rare days where we lost the ones I thought we might lose and won the ones I thought we'd win. Had a nice side non system parlay that hit, but that's not so relevant here. We had another positive day, but will never get anywhere winning a half unit everyday. Seems like we are always one win away from making a bigger step forward. The Yanks were terribly disappointing the last 2 days, taking away 2.5 units from us and now they've fallen out of the system. Even worse, the Red Sox have Lackey on the mound which stops us from pushing hard on them today. The system just isn't giving us any plays today and we can't force it. Looks like these first 4 post all star days will be a wash or a very small gain at best. With very little on the line, looks like a good day for fun in the sun
======================================== =================
Good luck,
We finish the short week nicely up a couple units. Too bad we didn't have the Yanks one more time...would have got us out of the negative. Oh well, we follow the system and that's that. No plays for today so relax and enjoy a nice Sunday. I'll be watching the US ladies and cheering them on strong this afternoon. Let's go USA!!
======================================== ============
Good luck,
1. Min gm1 (-135) to win 1.5 units
2. Bos (-125) to win 1.5 units
3. Pit (-110) to win 1 unit
4. Philly RL (-125) to win 1.2 units
5. Wash (-110) to win 1 unit
6. Atl (+120) risk 1 unit
7. Ari (-125) to win 1 unit
8. SF (-130) to win 1.5 units
9. Conditional play. IF Min lose gm 1: Min (+100) risk 2 units
======================================== =========== ***Results from July 17***
Alright gang, today is one of the biggest days for this system this season. We have a lot of plays today so it's a good time to take a stab at making a slightly aggressive move on a few plays. Many of these plays show great value. Hoping for 5 wins here, but we'll take 4 if they are the bigger plays. Also, note the last play listed here is CONDITIONAL. It only goes if Minny loses the day game. Have to post it now because I won't be able to later. Let's get this damn system going today!!!
======================================== ===
Good luck,
Tuesday, July 19 MLB Series System Picks
1. Bos (-115) to win 0.5 units
2. Det (-140) to win 1.2 units
3. Phi (-150) to win 2 units (I don't care if it's hot...it's the freakin' Cubs!)
4. SF (-140) to win 0.5 units
======================================== ======
***Results from July 18***
1. Min gm1 (-135) to win 1.5 units....................lose 2.03 units
2. Bos (-125) to win 1.5 units..........................win 1.5 units
3. Pit (-110) to win 1 unit...............................win 1 unit
4. Philly RL (-125) to win 1.2 units.....................lose 1.5 units
5. Wash (-110) to win 1 unit..........................win 1 unit
6. Atl (+120) risk 1 unit..................................wi n 1.2 units
7. Ari (-125) to win 1 unit...............................win 1 unit
8. SF (-130) to win 1.5 units...........................win 1.5 units
9. Min gm2 (+100) risk 2 units...........................lose 2 units
Arrrrgh. Cleveland is single-handedly crushing this system. Can't win when we're on them, can't beat them when we are against them. Ruined what would have been a monster day for this system costing us 4 units. They are probably responsible for close to 15 lost units at this point. That's as much venting as I'll allow myself on a day that we won units. Minnesota has fallen out of the system after those two losses, so we take our lumps. Hard to stay disciplined but it's what has kept us from any real big hits since week one and allowed us to grind forward. Still need to find the right balance so we can start profiting more, but it's always a work in progress. A Philly win today puts this system in the black finally so let's hope we can get it done.
======================================== ====
Good luck,
1. Bos (-125) to win 0.75 units
2. Atl (+100) risk 0.5 units
3. Det (-130) to win 0.5 units
========================================
***Results from July 19***
1. Bos (-115) to win 0.5 units.....................lose 0.58 units
2. Det (-140) to win 1.2 units....................win 1.2 units
3. Phi (-150) to win 2 units.......................win 2 units
4. SF (-140) to win 0.5 units.....................win 0.5 units
Total for July 19: 3-1, +2.12 units
Boom...we continue a great roll and we can celebrate being officially in the black for the first time this season! It's been a long road but it's a good lesson that the season is a grind. We are teetering on the edge right now so we need a little more of a cushion still before we can truly get aggressive with this system. I'm happy with the past 5 weeks for sure, but being up just a unit or two is obviously not acceptable for the season. Looking at the Minnesota series and the Yanks series from last week, I hate that we left all those units just sitting out there. I need to focus on a way to get the most units with the least risk from this system. Risk part is looking good, but there is still some work to do. Just some teeny plays today as we are up units on all three of these series already.
1. Bos (-125) to win 0.75 units..........................win 0.75 units
2. Atl (+100) risk 0.5 units........................lose 0.5 units
3. Det (-130) to win 0.5 units....................lose 0.65 units
1. Yanks (-160) to win 1.2 units
2. TB (+100) risk 1.5 units
3. Phi RL (+115) risk 1.5 units
4a. Ari (-170) to win 0.5 units
4b. Ari RL (+120) risk 0.75 units
5. SF (-130) to win 2 units
====================================
***Results from July 21***
1. TB (-120) to win 2 units
2. Ari (-140) to win 1.5 units
3. SF (-135) to win 2.5 units
======================================== ==
***Results from July 22***
1. Yanks (-160) to win 1.2 units......................win 1.2 units
2. TB (+100) risk 1.5 units............................lose 1.5 units
3. Phi RL (+115) risk 1.5 units.......................win 1.73
4a. Ari (-170) to win 0.5 units...................lose 0.85 units
4b. Ari RL (+120) risk 0.75 units..............lose 0.75 units
5. SF (-130) to win 2 units...................lose 2.6 units
Damn...really needed the Giants to step up yesterday and they blew it. Gonna need them to win today to get back on the right side of the fence. Good value on our plays today so hopefully we can sweep the board!
======================================== =
Good luck,
Thanks Dexter...we actually crossed into the black for a couple days this week. Now we are back there again technically, but I wouldn't call .02 units anything to get excited about. Today will tell the tale.
1. Yanks RL (+115) risk 0.5 units
2. TB (-105) to win 2.5 units
3. SF (-110) to win 1 unit
====================================
***Results from July 23***
1. TB (-120) to win 2 units...................lose 2.4 units
2. Ari (-140) to win 1.5 units.................win 1.5 units
3. SF (-135) to win 2.5 units..................win 2.5 units
Total for July 23: 2-1, +1.60 units
Overall SU System Record: 85-79, +0.02 units
===================================
***Notes***
VERY painful loss in TB...give up the tying run in the bottom of the 9th, then get bases loaded, no outs in the 10th and fail to get a run! Brutal. That's a 4.5 units swing! This system, once again, teeters on the edge of a monster day but doesn't get there. That's the way it goes sometimes. We were up for the day, but today will tell if we end the week that way. I'll definitely be catching any games I can today.
======================================== ==
Good luck,
1a. Tex (-175) to win 0.5 units
1b. Tex RL (+110) risk 0.5 units
2. Philly RL (-115) to win 0.75 units
========================================
***Results from July 24***
1. Yanks RL (+115) risk 0.5 units...............win 0.58 units
2. TB (-105) to win 2.5 units...................win 2.5 units
3. SF (-110) to win 1 unit.....................win 1 unit
That's a solid way to end the week! I think that's just the second sweep this year. We end the week up a respectable 6.3 units. That's 6 out of 8 weeks of this system in the positive. As we go forward, that first week seems like it was more and more of an anomaly...but anomalies count in this game. Let's keep stringing these positive weeks together. It feels like our unit management is getting better as the season goes on. Not much out there today with a lot of super high lines. We'll play what we can and sit back and wait for another spot to get aggressive when value is on our side.
======================================== ==
Good luck,
A negligible profit but I'll take it. I actually made a mistake on the Philly play...was not for the system but was a personal play (I pretty much play Cliff Lee no matter what). Oh well, didn't cost us too much...although it seems like every time I've made a mistake with posting this year it's worked against us Today we don't have too much out there once again. Hopefully we can pick ourselves up another unit or so.
======================================== ===
Good luck,
1. Mil (-150) to win 0.5 units
2. Tex RL (+105) to win 0.75 units
======================================
***Results from July 26***
1a. Bos (-170) to win 0.5 units.....................win 0.5 units
1b. Bos RL (+100) risk 0.75 units..................win 0.75 units
2. Philly (-110) to win 1 unit..........................cancelled (see note below)
3. Mil (-140) to win 1.6 units........................win 1.6 units
The Philly game had a pitching change that I did not notice until after the start. I don't post these plays with listed pitchers, but I usually bet them that way. This time, because the line changed so much (went from -110 to -155) I can't count that win in good faith, even though the play would have been the same. From this point forward, all plays are listed as "action". If there is a pitching change, we accept the line move. Usually, I will come back and post the play again. I almost always check this in the late afternoon but I was in meetings yesterday and didn't have a chance.
Despite that, we still had a great day and the system has been on fire the last week. Let's hope it continues. More small plays today, but they have been moving us forward. You can tell we are getting close to August as the average lines are starting to inch way up. Looks like everyday has 4 or 5 games at -175 or higher. Might just be the matchups. Still, we stay patient and don't force anything.
======================================== =======
Good luck,
======================================== ==
***Results from July 27***
1. Mil (-150) to win 0.5 units..................win 0.5 units
2. Tex RL (+105) risk 0.75 units.............lose 0.75 units
Total for July 27: 1-1, -0.25 units
Splitsville. First negative day in awhile but it was minimal. Let's see if we make it back today. Hopefully we'll get a new batch of good games for Friday.
======================================== ===========
Good luck,
1. Yanks RL (+100) risk 1.2 units
2. Cle (-130) to win 0.75 units
3. Bos (+100) risk 1.2 units
4. Oak (-140) to win 0.75 unit
5. TB (-105) to win 1 unit
6a. Mil (-180) to win 0.5 units
6b. Mil RL (+110) risk 0.75 units
7. Ari (-120) to win 0.5 units
=====================================
***Results from July 28***
1. Tex (-150) to win 1 unit..........................win 1 unit
Got another nice victory. Lots of plays on the board today, but no room to really get aggressive with anything. In fact, the value is low on a lot of these plays so there are several sub 1 unit plays today. Unless there is a miraculous sweep, we'll hope to get ourselves about 3 units for this iweekend. Btw, If you're looking for a great value play today, it doesn't get much better than the Pitt RL. If we can end today positive, we'll be looking at crossing the 10 unit mark before the weekend is over! Happy Friday!
======================================== ==============
Good luck,
1. Yanks RL gm1 (-120) to win 1.5 units
2a. Cle (-155) to win 0.5 units
2b. Cle RL (+135) risk 0.5 units
3. Bos (-150) to win 1.5 units
4. Oak (-130) to win 1 unit
5. TB (+105) risk 0.5 units
6. Mil RL (-125) to win 0.5 units
7. Ari (-120) to win 0.5 units
8. Conditional Play (ONLY goes if Yanks lose on RL in gm 1): Yanks RL gm2 (+100) risk 2 units
===================================
***Results from July 29***
1. Yanks RL (+100) risk 1.2 units...............lose 1.2 units
2. Cle (-130) to win 0.75 units.................lose 0.98 units
3. Bos (+100) risk 1.2 units....................lose 1.2 units
4. Oak (-140) to win 0.75 unit.................lose 1.05 units
5. TB (-105) to win 1 unit......................win 1 unit
6a. Mil (-180) to win 0.5 units...................win 0.5 units
6b. Mil RL (+110) risk 0.75 units...................win 0.83 units
7. Ari (-120) to win 0.5 units....................lose 0.6 units
Well, we took an absolute beating yesterday...good thing we kept our plays pretty small. Minimized the damage and kept us in the positive for the week still. We basically have the same plays today, but with much better value this time around on a few. Still, I've heavily reduced what we would normally play on these today...I don't like the way the weekend is shaping up so we'll try to keep risk down. If we get a win by Yanks and Red Sox today, we should be okay. Yanks have a double header...almost no time in between games so I've listed a conditional play again in case I can't get to a computer. Let's get back to our winning ways.
======================================== ==
Good luck,
SBR Top-Rated Sportsbooks
June 29 plays
Reply With Quote
It's been a long road but it's a good lesson that the season is a grind. We are teetering on the edge right now so we need a little more of a cushion still before we can truly get aggressive with this system. I'm happy with the past 5 weeks for sure, but being up just a unit or two is obviously not acceptable for the season. Looking at the Minnesota series and the Yanks series from last week, I hate that we left all those units just sitting out there. I need to focus on a way to get the most units with the least risk from this system. Risk part is looking good, but there is still some work to do. Just some teeny plays today as we are up units on all three of these series already.
. The slow grind continues to pay off.
