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DAY ACTION DAY 2: PITT/NYM Over 7.5 +100
Dropped yesterdays play with noone being able to generate any runs. 2-1 since return of daily total posts. this will most likely be leg 1 of a 2 play day. Just making sure there is not a pitcher change in the other game before I post it. Gl today and hope we can get back on track with this game. Have a feeling this will be a whacky game this afternoon. Few abnormalities in the numbers which I think can open this one up.
Thanx Top
Having Reyes back won't hurt either.
TG u got a horrible price the over 7.5 is available at a lot of places +110 or at least +105..
Mets Thursday lineup vs. Pittsburgh: Reyes-SS, Turner-3B, Beltran-RF, Bay-LF, Pagan-CF, Paulino-C, Evans-1B, Tejada-2B, Pelfrey-RHP
redscotlike it, donk only funded at betjam currently so ate what they were serving, glad other guys can get better prices though
Im going to ride with u!! Lets get it!!
thanks for the play.gl.
+110 at Pinny and +113 at Matchy.
I don't know about this. Books leaning pretty heavy on the under so far. I'd definitely take under FF.
Hey LB -- look at what Pinny and Matchy are offering the Giants at right now vs. other books, and look at the line movement after the pitching change was announced.Originally Posted by lakerboy
im on the under, not sure i like it that much but the pitchers have both shown better form in recent starts
Just dropped to 7 on my local and the Mets jumped to -135 for the side
Even split it seems as far as the players are concerned, there are def. some things that look like an under on the face but the more in depth you go there are some odd numbers which brought me to believe the Over is a good play especially at + money. Just hope I am not overthinking myself here but am confident in the data that has helped me in the past guide this to a cashed ticket. Enjoy the day baseball boys.
rather just bet on pittsburgh
i also like the over and am a little discouraged by the line movement. then again, i felt the same way yesterday when i had Phils/Nats under 7.5 and it went all the way to 8.5, and that worked out fine. BOL today.
under just got steamed its 7o -20 now
all you fukkers betting under realize that the wind is blowing out of right field right?
if anything, I like the over here...but the line movement is scaring me.
I think the wind is blowing in from the north west so any fly balls hit by right hand batters will be held in and most fly balls hit by left handed batters will be foul balls to right field.
So the wind is definitely not helping the over. In fact it is hurting it.
Wind is being overestimated here and part of the reason the number is what it is. Don't think these teams will be nailing down the runs hitting out of the park anyways although I would not mind if they did.
When a pitcher knows the wind is blowing in he throws more off speed strikes knowing that if contact is made the ball will stay in the park allowing him to be more agressive in attacking the strike zone.
total just jumped across the board. my over 7.5 +105 looking better.
Correct but is this not factored in as part of the line being posted? Weather played the largest roll in an o/u of 13 in wrigley the other day. the question is given the data and circumstances will the pitchers or hitters be more effective. From what I see I believe the runs will come.
Pauly is known to give up runs earlier, wouldn't mind if the Mets put up a 4 spot in the 1st, on Mets RL here, just too much value @ +175 to pass up. GL with the over.
Let's get this Top. Bol
I think the line was set at 7.5 because this is the last game of the series and they usually have back up catchers and position players play. I don't think the line was set last night for the wind. The wind is actually what moved the line this morning.
Last edited by pavyracer; 06-02-11 at 11:49 AM.
Well you are certainly correct that is a piece of the puzzle but I suppose we will see how this one plays out in about 30 minutes here. GL on your plays today pavy.
Windy
You better know the wind direction today
fukk it im in topergl
Lets get it FD. Sounds like JJ likes the Under, can't be a bad thing for us.
true
Actually it sounds like JJ doesn't even know what direction the wind blows and he lives closer to the ballpark than all of us.
Paver it is swirling although not there
Paver I have no desire to know
My main concern with wind is MPH and only because of my rug
Strong gusts could knock it off and cause a problem for me (right to left seems more of a threat to me)
Paver sometimes you do not get it
has dropped a lot since then
I am laying off this game
He is too busy throwing bubble gum to the kids outside his window. He noticed the wind was carrying the gum out into the street because all the big timers in cadillacs driving by had to swerve to miss the kids as they scrambled for the joe blow.
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